Saturday , 17 October 2026

Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Sat 15 Aug 2026 · 23:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 6' Emil Forsberg
Tristan Muyumba 69' 1–1
Fafa Picault 82' 2–1

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Aug New York Red Bulls H 2–1 W
01 Aug Philadelphia Union A 2–3 L
25 Jul New England Revolution A 1–4 L
23 Jul Charlotte FC A 2–2 D
18 Jul Nashville SC A 0–1 L
24 May Columbus Crew SC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Aug Atlanta United FC A 1–2 L
01 Aug Orlando City SC H 3–2 W
25 Jul Charlotte FC H 0–2 L
22 Jul Philadelphia Union A 1–3 L
24 May Sporting Kansas City A 2–1 W
16 May New York City FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Atlanta United FC New York Red Bulls
#14 Position #9
30 Points 36
29 Played 29
8 / 6 / 15 W / D / L 10 / 6 / 13
36 Scored 39
48 Conceded 54
-12 GD -15
1.03 PPG 1.24
28% Win % 34%

Key Stats

37% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
21% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

Atlanta United FC are 14th (30 pts). New York Red Bulls are 9th (36 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Atlanta United FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
4/5
31-45
3/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
5/7
76+
5/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York Red Bulls
0-15
7/6
16-30
4/3
31-45
5/7
46-60
5/9
61-75
3/6
76+
6/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Atlanta United FC
Aleksei Miranchuk 6 G 6 A
New York Red Bulls
Julian Hall 11 G 2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba 8 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 6' GOAL! Emil Forsberg fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 11' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 16' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Atlanta United FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 21' New York Red Bulls come into this ranked 9 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 26' Atlanta United FC currently sit 15 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 31' New York Red Bulls started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 31.
  • 36' Jorge Ruvalcaba has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 7 goals to his name this season.
  • 41' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ronald Donkor, as he is very good at scoring at Mercedes-Benz Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 46' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 46 minutes.
  • 48' A moment of madness from Tomas Jacob on 48 minutes earns him a card. Atlanta United FC will be frustrated.
  • 53' Atlanta United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 58' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 63' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 68' The Atlanta United FC manager makes a substitution. Matthew Edwards departs to be replaced by Stian Gregersen.
  • 69' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Tristan Muyumba makes no mistake. 1-1!
  • 71' New York Red Bulls make a change. Mijahir Jimenez trudges off to be replaced by Jorge Ruvalcaba on 71 minutes.
  • 76' Fafa Picault is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Atlanta United FC tonight.
  • 79' Another change for New York Red Bulls made on 79 minute. Cade Cowell leaves to be changed by Cameron Harper.
  • 80' The supporters are chanting for Ronald Hernandez. He replaces Elias Baez on 80 minute.
  • 82' Sensational shot from Fafa Picault. Atlanta United FC is back in the lead.
  • 82' The referee calls foul for Fafa Picault. He receives a card.
  • 86' The whistle greets Adri Mehmeti as he departs to be replaced by Maxim Choupo-Moting.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Mohammed Sofo. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.7 Atlanta United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26 New York Red Bulls xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Atlanta United FC48% Draw26% New York Red Bulls26%
Actual: Atlanta United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.96
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Atlanta United FC or Draw
74%
Draw or New York Red Bulls
52%
Atlanta United FC or New York Red Bulls
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Atlanta United FC34% Draw44% New York Red Bulls22%
Actual: New York Red Bulls win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8%
2 – 0
7.4%
0 – 0
7%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC

Handicap Atlanta United FC covers Push New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 14% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 21% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 15% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.