Athletic Club vs Qarabag Agdam FK, Champions League 2025-26 LEAGUE STAGE

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UEFA Champions League · 2025-26

Athletic Club

3 – 1

Full Time

Qarabag Agdam FK

Wed 22 Oct 2025 · 16:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Athletic Club vs Qarabag Agdam FK — Champions League .

Athletic Club 8 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
Qarabag Agdam FK 8 games · 10 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Igor Pajac

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Arsenal FC	8	24
2	FC Bayern München	8	21
3	Liverpool FC	8	18
4	Tottenham Hotspur FC	8	17
5	FC Barcelona	8	16
6	Chelsea FC	8	16
7	Sporting Clube de Portugal	8	16
8	Manchester City FC	8	16
9	Real Madrid CF	8	15
10	FC Internazionale Milano	8	15
11	Paris Saint-Germain FC	8	14
12	Newcastle United FC	8	14
13	Juventus FC	8	13
14	Club Atlético de Madrid	8	13
15	Atalanta BC	8	13
16	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	8	12
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11
18	PAE Olympiakos SFP	8	11
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10
20	Galatasaray SK	8	10
21	AS Monaco FC	8	10
22	Qarabag Agdam FK	8	10
23	FK Bodø/Glimt	8	9
24	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	8	9
25	Olympique de Marseille	8	9
26	Paphos FC	8	9
27	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	8	9
28	PSV	8	8
29	Athletic Club	8	8
30	SSC Napoli	8	8
31	FC København	8	8
32	AFC Ajax	8	6
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4
34	SK Slavia Praha	8	3
35	Villarreal CF	8	1
36	FK Kairat	8	1

Head-to-Head

Athletic Club 1 games · Avg 4.0 goals Qarabag Agdam FK

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-22 Athletic Club 3–1 Qarabag Agdam FK

Recent Form

Athletic Club

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
22 Oct	Qarabag Agdam FK	H	3–1	W
19 Oct	Elche CF	A	0–0	D
04 Oct	RCD Mallorca	H	2–1	W
01 Oct	Borussia Dortmund	A	1–4	L
27 Sep	Villarreal CF	A	0–1	L
23 Sep	Girona FC	H	1–1	D

Qarabag Agdam FK

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
22 Oct	Athletic Club	A	1–3	L
01 Oct	FC København	H	2–0	W
16 Sep	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	A	3–2	W
27 Aug	Ferencvárosi TC	H	2–3	L
19 Aug	Ferencvárosi TC	A	3–1	W
12 Aug	KF Shkendija 79	H	5–1	W

Season Stats

Athletic Club		Qarabag Agdam FK
#29	Position	#22
8	Points	10
8	Played	8
2 / 2 / 4	W / D / L	3 / 1 / 4
9	Scored	13
14	Conceded	21
-5	GD	-8
1.00	PPG	1.25
25%	Win %	38%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)

100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Athletic Club are 29th (8 pts). Qarabag Agdam FK are 22nd (10 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Athletic Club Lineups

Qarabag Agdam FK Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.32 Athletic Club xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.51 Qarabag Agdam FK xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Athletic Club54% Draw22% Qarabag Agdam FK24%

Actual: Athletic Club win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes70% 0% No30%

Avg goals/match: 3.83

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	89%	11%
± 2.5	72%	28%
± 3.5	52%	48%
± 4.5	33%	67%

Double Chance

Athletic Club or Draw

76%

Draw or Qarabag Agdam FK

46%

Athletic Club or Qarabag Agdam FK

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Athletic Club41% Draw38% Qarabag Agdam FK21%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

8.6%

1 – 1

8.5%

3 – 1

Actual

2 – 2

6.4%

2 – 0

5.9%

1 – 2

5.6%

3 – 2

4.9%

1 – 0

4.7%

3 – 0

4.5%

4 – 1

3.8%

0 – 0

3.4%

2 – 3

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Athletic Club

Handicap	Athletic Club covers	Push	Qarabag Agdam FK covers
-2.5	18%	—	82%
-2	18%	16%	66%
-1.5	34%	—	66%
-1	34%	20%	46%
-0.5	54%	—	46%
+0.5	76%	—	24%
+1	76%	13%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	7%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Athletic Club keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Qarabag Agdam FK keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.