Monday , 17 August 2026

Qarabag Agdam FK vs KF Shkendija 79, Champions League Q 2025 ROUND 3

Tue 12 Aug 2025 · 16:00 UTC Tofig Bakhramov HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Qarabag Agdam FK vs KF Shkendija 79Champions League Q at Tofig Bakhramov.

Match Details

  • Referee Danny Makkelie
18 games this season 🟨 2.5/game 8.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug KF Shkendija 79 H 5–1 W
05 Aug KF Shkendija 79 A 1–0 W
30 Jul Shelbourne FC H 1–0 W
23 Jul Shelbourne FC A 3–0 W
30 Jan PAE Olympiakos SFP A 0–3 L
23 Jan FCSB Bukarest H 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug Qarabag Agdam FK A 1–5 L
05 Aug Qarabag Agdam FK H 0–1 L
30 Jul FCSB Bukarest A 2–1 W
22 Jul FCSB Bukarest H 1–0 W
15 Jul The New Saints FC H 2–1 W
08 Jul The New Saints FC A 0–0 D

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Qarabag Agdam FK and KF Shkendija 79 has kicked off!
  • 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Qarabag Agdam FK side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 10' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Fabrice Tamba makes it 0-1.
  • 15' The -year-old Fiton Ademi has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 16' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Klisman Cake makes no mistake. 0-2!
  • 18' The deadlock is broken! Kady Borges gets on the scoresheet on 18 minutes.
  • 23' Liridon Latifi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 28' Kamer Qaka is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Qarabag Agdam FK tonight.
  • 33' Nəriman Axundzadə doubles the advantage! 2-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 35' The Montenegro Marko Jankovic breaks the deadlock on 35 minutes. 3-2!
  • 35' Controversy at the stadium! Kamer Qaka argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 40' Qarabag Agdam FK currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 45' Supporters expect more eagerness from Leandro Andrade, as he is very good at scoring at Tofig Bakhramov with 5 goals in the last 5 games.
  • 48' The referee shows KF Shkendija 79 player a card on 48.
  • 53' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 58' Besart Ibraimi has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 59' Assisted by Elvin Cəfərquliyev with the perfectly-timed delivery and Leandro Andrade makes no mistake. 4-2!
  • 62' Fresh legs for KF Shkendija 79! Fiton Ademi comes on to replace Besart Ibraimi.
  • 63' Samy Mmaee has so much to prove this time. He replaces Matheus Silva on 63 minute.
  • 68' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 70' The whistle greets Nəriman Axundzadə as he departs to be replaced by Musa Qurbanli.
  • 74' The supporters are chanting for Florent Ramadani. He replaces Fabrice Tamba on 74 minute.
  • 77' Hikmət Cəbrayilzadə is ready to make an impact after coming on for Leandro Andrade at the 77 minute mark.
  • 82' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Qarabag Agdam FK needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 83' Arbin Zejnulai makes way for Lorik Jakupi at the 83 minute mark. A tactical switch from KF Shkendija 79.
  • 88' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Aleksander Trumci made 191 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 5-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.99 Qarabag Agdam FK xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 KF Shkendija 79 xG
I would bet for: Qarabag Agdam FK to win 59% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Qarabag Agdam FK59% Draw23% KF Shkendija 7918%
Actual: Qarabag Agdam FK win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 3.07
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Qarabag Agdam FK or Draw
81%
Draw or KF Shkendija 79
41%
Qarabag Agdam FK or KF Shkendija 79
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Qarabag Agdam FK41% Draw42% KF Shkendija 7917%
Actual: Qarabag Agdam FK win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
9.1%
1 – 0
8.6%
3 – 1
6.3%
0 – 0
6.3%
3 – 0
5.9%
1 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
3.5%
4 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Qarabag Agdam FK

Handicap Qarabag Agdam FK covers Push KF Shkendija 79 covers
-2.5 17% 83%
-2 17% 18% 65%
-1.5 35% 65%
-1 35% 22% 43%
-0.5 57% 43%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 12% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Qarabag Agdam FK keeps clean sheet
35%
KF Shkendija 79 keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.