Thursday , 2 July 2026

Qarabag Agdam FK vs Ferencvarosi TC, Champions League Q 2025 PLAYOFFS

Wed 27 Aug 2025 · 16:45 UTC Tofig Bakhramov HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Qarabag Agdam FK vs Ferencvarosi TCChampions League Q at Tofig Bakhramov.

Match Details

  • Referee Clement Turpin
16 games this season 🟨 1.9/game 7.6 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Aug Ferencvarosi TC H 2–3 L
19 Aug Ferencvarosi TC A 3–1 W
12 Aug KF Shkendija 79 H 5–1 W
05 Aug KF Shkendija 79 A 1–0 W
30 Jul Shelbourne FC H 1–0 W
23 Jul Shelbourne FC A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Aug Qarabag Agdam FK A 3–2 W
19 Aug Qarabag Agdam FK H 1–3 L
12 Aug PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad H 3–0 W
06 Aug PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad A 0–0 D
30 Jul FC Noah H 4–3 W
22 Jul FC Noah A 2–1 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Qarabag Agdam FK this season
33% Clean Sheets
Ferencvarosi TC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Qarabag Agdam FK
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Ferencvarosi TC
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/2
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.72 Qarabag Agdam FK xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39 Ferencvarosi TC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Qarabag Agdam FK45% Draw26% Ferencvarosi TC29%
Actual: Ferencvarosi TC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.11
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Qarabag Agdam FK or Draw
71%
Draw or Ferencvarosi TC
55%
Qarabag Agdam FK or Ferencvarosi TC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Qarabag Agdam FK33% Draw43% Ferencvarosi TC24%
Actual: Qarabag Agdam FK win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
7.1%
1 – 0
6.9%
2 – 0
6.6%
0 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 1
5.4%
3 – 1
5.1%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Qarabag Agdam FK

Handicap Qarabag Agdam FK covers Push Ferencvarosi TC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 20% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 16% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Qarabag Agdam FK keeps clean sheet
26%
Ferencvarosi TC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.