Thursday , 2 July 2026

Ferencvarosi TC vs Qarabag Agdam FK, Champions League Q 2025 PLAYOFFS

Tue 19 Aug 2025 · 19:00 UTC Groupama Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Ferencvarosi TC vs Qarabag Agdam FKChampions League Q at Groupama Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Joao Pedro Pinheiro
20 games this season 🟨 1.4/game 5.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug Qarabag Agdam FK H 1–3 L
12 Aug PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad H 3–0 W
06 Aug PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad A 0–0 D
30 Jul FC Noah H 4–3 W
22 Jul FC Noah A 2–1 W
20 Feb FC Viktoria Plzen A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug Ferencvarosi TC A 3–1 W
12 Aug KF Shkendija 79 H 5–1 W
05 Aug KF Shkendija 79 A 1–0 W
30 Jul Shelbourne FC H 1–0 W
23 Jul Shelbourne FC A 3–0 W
30 Jan PAE Olympiakos SFP A 0–3 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
Ferencvarosi TC this season
50% Clean Sheets
Qarabag Agdam FK this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Ferencvarosi TC
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/2
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Qarabag Agdam FK
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.38 Ferencvarosi TC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.62 Qarabag Agdam FK xG
I would bet for: Ferencvarosi TC or Qarabag Agdam FK 73% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Ferencvarosi TC32% Draw27% Qarabag Agdam FK41%
Actual: Qarabag Agdam FK win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Ferencvarosi TC or Draw
58%
Draw or Qarabag Agdam FK
68%
Ferencvarosi TC or Qarabag Agdam FK
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Ferencvarosi TC25% Draw44% Qarabag Agdam FK31%
Actual: Ferencvarosi TC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
1 – 2
8.7%
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 1
7.2%
0 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
6.5%
1 – 0
6%
2 – 2
6%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Ferencvarosi TC

Handicap Ferencvarosi TC covers Push Qarabag Agdam FK covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 17% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 58% 42%
+1 58% 20% 22%
+1.5 78% 22%
+2 78% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Ferencvarosi TC keeps clean sheet
21%
Qarabag Agdam FK keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.