Saturday , 22 August 2026

Ferencvarosi TC vs Qarabag Agdam FK, Champions League Q 2025 PLAYOFFS

Tue 19 Aug 2025 · 19:00 UTC Groupama Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Ferencvarosi TC vs Qarabag Agdam FKChampions League Q at Groupama Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Joao Pedro Pinheiro
13 games this season 🟨 1.6/game 7.5 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug Qarabag Agdam FK H 1–3 L
12 Aug PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad H 3–0 W
06 Aug PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad A 0–0 D
30 Jul FC Noah H 4–3 W
22 Jul FC Noah A 2–1 W
20 Feb FC Viktoria Plzen A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug Ferencvarosi TC A 3–1 W
12 Aug KF Shkendija 79 H 5–1 W
05 Aug KF Shkendija 79 A 1–0 W
30 Jul Shelbourne FC H 1–0 W
23 Jul Shelbourne FC A 3–0 W
30 Jan PAE Olympiakos SFP A 0–3 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Ferencvárosi TC welcome Qarabağ Ağdam FK for this crunch clash at Groupama Arena.
  • 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Qurban Qurbanov will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 10' It looks surprising Ferencvárosi TC does not make any changes. Denes Dibusz has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 15' Brazil international Daniel has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 20' The home supporters are growing impatient. Ferencvárosi TC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Stefan Gartenmann, as he is very good at scoring at Groupama Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 29' What a moment for Barnabas Varga! That strike on 29 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 34' Ferencvárosi TC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 39' The energy levels are beginning to show. Robbie Keane might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 44' The 28-year-old Gavriel Kanichowsky has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 46' Time for substitution for Ferencvarosi TC. Bence Otvos is replaced by Kristoffer Zachariassen.
  • 50' A goal from the Montenegro international Marko Jankovic! He fires home on 50 to make it 0-2!
  • 55' It looks like no one’s ball. Ferencvárosi TC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 58' Emmanuel Addai is ready to make an impact after coming on for Leandro Andrade at the 58 minute mark.
  • 63' Ibrahim Cisse is replacing Stefan Gartenmann for the Ferencvarosi TC side.
  • 67' What a strike from Kevin Medina! The score is 0-3.
  • 69' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Matheus Silva on 69 minutes.
  • 70' Aleksandar Pesic gets the nod from Ferencvarosi TC. He replaces Barnabas Varga and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 75' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 77' Ferencvarosi TC ring the changes. Gavriel Kanichowsky has done his job and it is now time for Jonathan Levi to step up.
  • 81' The Qarabag Agdam FK manager makes a substitution. Nəriman Axundzadə departs to be replaced by Musa Qurbanli.
  • 85' Magnificent from Musa Qurbanli! That is 1 goals in 252 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Gabor Szalai argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 90' Another change for Qarabag Agdam FK made on 90 minute. Matheus Silva leaves to be changed by Daniel.
  • Full Time. Qarabağ Ağdam FK beats Ferencvárosi TC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.38 Ferencvarosi TC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.62 Qarabag Agdam FK xG
I would bet for: Ferencvarosi TC or Qarabag Agdam FK 73% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Ferencvarosi TC32% Draw27% Qarabag Agdam FK41%
Actual: Qarabag Agdam FK win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Ferencvarosi TC or Draw
58%
Draw or Qarabag Agdam FK
68%
Ferencvarosi TC or Qarabag Agdam FK
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Ferencvarosi TC25% Draw44% Qarabag Agdam FK31%
Actual: Ferencvarosi TC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
1 – 2
8.7%
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 1
7.2%
0 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
6.5%
1 – 0
6%
2 – 2
6%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Ferencvarosi TC

Handicap Ferencvarosi TC covers Push Qarabag Agdam FK covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 17% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 58% 42%
+1 58% 20% 22%
+1.5 78% 22%
+2 78% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Ferencvarosi TC keeps clean sheet
21%
Qarabag Agdam FK keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.