Thursday , 2 July 2026

Atalanta BC vs FC Internazionale Milano, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
Sun 28 Dec 2025 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Atalanta BC vs FC Internazionale MilanoSerie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Federico La Penna
6 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 3.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Dec FC Internazionale Milano H 0–1 L
21 Dec Genoa CFC A 1–0 W
13 Dec Cagliari Calcio H 2–1 W
09 Dec Chelsea FC H 2–1 W
06 Dec Hellas Verona FC A 1–3 L
30 Nov ACF Fiorentina H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Dec Atalanta BC A 1–0 W
14 Dec Genoa CFC A 2–1 W
09 Dec Liverpool FC H 0–1 L
06 Dec Como 1907 H 4–0 W
30 Nov AC Pisa 1909 A 2–0 W
26 Nov Club Atletico de Madrid A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Atalanta BC FC Internazionale Milano
#7 Position #1
59 Points 87
38 Played 38
15 / 14 / 9 W / D / L 27 / 6 / 5
51 Scored 89
36 Conceded 35
+15 GD +54
1.55 PPG 2.29
39% Win % 71%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Atalanta BC are 7th (59 pts). FC Internazionale Milano are 1st (87 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Atalanta BC Lineups

FC Internazionale Milano Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.93 Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.77 FC Internazionale Milano xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC22% Draw26% FC Internazionale Milano52%
Actual: FC Internazionale Milano win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.7
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw
48%
Draw or FC Internazionale Milano
78%
Atalanta BC or FC Internazionale Milano
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC15% Draw45% FC Internazionale Milano40%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
10.3%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 0
8.6%
0 – 3
5.9%
1 – 3
5.6%
1 – 0
5.3%
2 – 1
5%
2 – 2
4.4%
2 – 0
2.9%
2 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap Atalanta BC covers Push FC Internazionale Milano covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 12% 81%
-0.5 19% 81%
+0.5 44% 56%
+1 44% 24% 32%
+1.5 68% 32%
+2 68% 17% 15%
+2.5 85% 15%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
18%
FC Internazionale Milano keeps clean sheet
40%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.