Atalanta BC vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Serie A · 2025-26

Atalanta BC

2 – 0

Full Time

ACF Fiorentina

Sun 30 Nov 2025 · 17:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Atalanta BC vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A .

Atalanta BC 5 games · 6 pts (2026/27)
ACF Fiorentina 5 games · 4 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Matteo Marcenaro (Italy)

3 games this season 🟨 4.7/game ⚽ 18.7 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	13
2	FC Internazionale Milano	5	13
3	SS Lazio	5	13
4	Cagliari Calcio	5	12
5	AC Milan	5	11
6	Frosinone Calcio	5	10
7	Juventus FC	5	10
8	Como 1907	5	10
9	SSC Napoli	5	7
10	US Sassuolo Calcio	5	7
11	Atalanta BC	5	6
12	US Lecce	5	6
13	Udinese Calcio	5	4
14	Torino FC	5	4
15	Parma Calcio 1913	5	4
16	AC Monza	5	4
17	ACF Fiorentina	5	4
18	Bologna FC 1909	5	2
19	Genoa CFC	5	1
20	Venezia FC	5	0

Head-to-Head

Atalanta BC 24 games · Avg 2.7 goals ACF Fiorentina

Last 5 meetings

2025-11-30 Atalanta BC 2–0 ACF Fiorentina 2025-03-30 ACF Fiorentina 1–0 Atalanta BC 2024-09-15 Atalanta BC 3–2 ACF Fiorentina 2024-06-02 Atalanta BC 2–3 ACF Fiorentina 2023-09-17 ACF Fiorentina 3–2 Atalanta BC

Recent Form

Atalanta BC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Nov	ACF Fiorentina	H	2–0	W
26 Nov	Eintracht Frankfurt	A	3–0	W
22 Nov	SSC Napoli	A	1–3	L
09 Nov	US Sassuolo Calcio	H	0–3	L
05 Nov	Olympique de Marseille	A	1–0	W
01 Nov	Udinese Calcio	A	0–1	L

ACF Fiorentina

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Nov	Atalanta BC	A	0–2	L
22 Nov	Juventus FC	H	1–1	D
09 Nov	Genoa CFC	A	2–2	D
02 Nov	US Lecce	H	0–1	L
29 Oct	FC Internazionale Milano	A	0–3	L
26 Oct	Bologna FC 1909	H	2–2	D

Season Stats

Atalanta BC		ACF Fiorentina
#11	Position	#17
6	Points	4
5	Played	5
2 / 0 / 3	W / D / L	1 / 1 / 3
5	Scored	6
7	Conceded	12
-2	GD	-6
1.20	PPG	0.80
40%	Win %	20%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
Atalanta BC this season

0% Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season

Atalanta BC are 11th (6 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 17th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Atalanta BC

0-15

1/–

16-30

–/2

31-45

1/–

46-60

1/1

61-75

1/1

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

ACF Fiorentina

0-15

–/–

16-30

2/4

31-45

–/1

46-60

2/2

61-75

1/2

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Atalanta BC

Ederson	1 G
Giacomo Raspadori	1 G
Nikola Krstovic	1 G
Lazar Samardzic	1 G

ACF Fiorentina

Franco Mastantuono	3 G
Mateo Pellegrino	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at . Atalanta BC are looking to make home advantage count against ACF Fiorentina.
Another three points for Atalanta BC.

Lineups

Atalanta BC Lineups

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Dusan Vlahovic	4
Ademola Lookman	4
Duvan Zapata	4
Josip Ilicic	3
Andrea Belotti	2
Robin Gosens	2
Moise Kean	2
Federico Chiesa	2

Head to Head

Atalanta BC Form

2025-11-30 Atalanta BC 2–0 ACF Fiorentina W 2025-11-26 Eintracht Frankfurt 0–3 Atalanta BC W 2025-11-22 SSC Napoli 3–1 Atalanta BC L 2025-11-09 Atalanta BC 0–3 US Sassuolo Calcio L 2025-11-05 Olympique de Marseille 0–1 Atalanta BC W 2025-11-01 Udinese Calcio 1–0 Atalanta BC L

ACF Fiorentina Form

2025-11-30 Atalanta BC 2–0 ACF Fiorentina L 2025-11-22 ACF Fiorentina 1–1 Juventus FC D 2025-11-09 Genoa CFC 2–2 ACF Fiorentina D 2025-11-02 ACF Fiorentina 0–1 US Lecce L 2025-10-29 FC Internazionale Milano 3–0 ACF Fiorentina L 2025-10-26 ACF Fiorentina 2–2 Bologna FC 1909 D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.87 Atalanta BC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.21 ACF Fiorentina xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Atalanta BC52% Draw24% ACF Fiorentina24%

Actual: Atalanta BC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes59% 0% No41%

Avg goals/match: 3.08

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	81%	19%
± 2.5	58%	42%
± 3.5	37%	63%
± 4.5	20%	80%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw

77%

Draw or ACF Fiorentina

48%

Atalanta BC or ACF Fiorentina

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Atalanta BC38% Draw43% ACF Fiorentina19%

Actual: Atalanta BC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.3%

2 – 1

9.4%

2 – 0

Actual

1 – 0

7.9%

0 – 0

6.3%

1 – 2

6.1%

3 – 1

5.8%

2 – 2

5.6%

3 – 0

4.9%

0 – 1

4.8%

3 – 2

3.6%

0 – 2

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap	Atalanta BC covers	Push	ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5	14%	—	86%
-2	14%	16%	70%
-1.5	30%	—	70%
-1	30%	22%	49%
-0.5	51%	—	49%
+0.5	76%	—	24%
+1	76%	14%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet

31% ✗

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.