Atalanta BC vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Atalanta BC vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A .
- Atalanta BC 38 games · 59 pts (2026/27)
- ACF Fiorentina 38 games · 42 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Matteo Marcenaro (Italy)
9 games this season
🟨 1.3/game
⚽ 21.7 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov | ACF Fiorentina | H | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Nov | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Nov | SSC Napoli | A | 1–3 | L |
| 09 Nov | US Sassuolo Calcio | H | 0–3 | L |
| 05 Nov | Olympique de Marseille | A | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Nov | Udinese Calcio | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov | Atalanta BC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Nov | Juventus FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Nov | Genoa CFC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 02 Nov | US Lecce | H | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Oct | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 0–3 | L |
| 26 Oct | Bologna FC 1909 | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Atalanta BC | ACF Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #15 |
| 59 | Points | 42 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 15 / 14 / 9 | W / D / L | 9 / 15 / 14 |
| 51 | Scored | 41 |
| 36 | Conceded | 50 |
| +15 | GD | -9 |
| 1.55 | PPG | 1.11 |
| 39% | Win % | 24% |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Atalanta BC are 7th (59 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. ACF Fiorentina kicks off things out of here…
- With this win, Atalanta BC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Atalanta BC Lineups
ACF Fiorentina Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Dusan Vlahovic | 4 |
| Ademola Lookman | 4 |
| Duvan Zapata | 4 |
| Josip Ilicic | 3 |
| Andrea Belotti | 2 |
| Robin Gosens | 2 |
| Moise Kean | 2 |
| Federico Chiesa | 2 |
Head to Head
Atalanta BC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.75
Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Atalanta BC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Atalanta BC or Draw
78%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
47%
Atalanta BC or ACF Fiorentina
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Atalanta BC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
1 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
7.9%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
3%
Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC
| Handicap | Atalanta BC covers | Push | ACF Fiorentina covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 16% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 23% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 13% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.