Sunday , 16 August 2026

Atalanta BC vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
Sun 30 Nov 2025 · 17:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Atalanta BC vs ACF FiorentinaSerie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Matteo Marcenaro (Italy)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Nov ACF Fiorentina H 2–0 W
26 Nov Eintracht Frankfurt A 3–0 W
22 Nov SSC Napoli A 1–3 L
09 Nov US Sassuolo Calcio H 0–3 L
05 Nov Olympique de Marseille A 1–0 W
01 Nov Udinese Calcio A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Nov Atalanta BC A 0–2 L
22 Nov Juventus FC H 1–1 D
09 Nov Genoa CFC A 2–2 D
02 Nov US Lecce H 0–1 L
29 Oct FC Internazionale Milano A 0–3 L
26 Oct Bologna FC 1909 H 2–2 D

Season Stats

Atalanta BC ACF Fiorentina
#10 Position #18
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Atalanta BC are 10th (0 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 18th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Atalanta BC Lineups

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.91 Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.65 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 79% + Atalanta BC or Draw 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC43% Draw34% ACF Fiorentina23%
Actual: Atalanta BC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes30% 0% No70%
Avg goals/match: 1.56
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 76%
24%
± 1.5 47%
53%
± 2.5 21%
79%
± 3.5 8%
92%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw
77%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
57%
Atalanta BC or ACF Fiorentina
66%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Atalanta BC24% Draw61% ACF Fiorentina15%
Actual: Atalanta BC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
23.6%
1 – 0
17.6%
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 1
12%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
5.7%
0 – 2
4%
1 – 2
4%
3 – 0
2.5%
2 – 2
2%
3 – 1
1.8%
1 – 3
0.9%

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap Atalanta BC covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 24% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 17% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
53%
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
41%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.