Aston Villa FC vs Nottingham Forest FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Aston Villa FC vs Nottingham Forest FC — Premier League at Villa Park.
- Aston Villa FC 5 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
- Nottingham Forest FC 5 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Simon Hooper
- Assistant 1 Adrian Holmes
- Assistant 2 Simon Long
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City FC | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Arsenal FC | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | Brentford FC | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Leeds United FC | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | Liverpool FC | 5 | 9 |
| 7 | Everton FC | 5 | 9 |
| 8 | Hull City AFC | 5 | 8 |
| 9 | Newcastle United FC | 5 | 8 |
| 10 | Chelsea FC | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Ipswich Town FC | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | Manchester United FC | 5 | 5 |
| 13 | Nottingham Forest FC | 5 | 5 |
| 14 | Sunderland AFC | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace FC | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | Aston Villa FC | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | AFC Bournemouth | 5 | 3 |
| 18 | Coventry City FC | 5 | 3 |
| 19 | Fulham FC | 5 | 2 |
| 20 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 5 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr | Nottingham Forest FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Apr | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Mar | Preston North End FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Mar | Club Brugge KV | H | 3–0 | W |
| 08 Mar | Brentford FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Mar | Club Brugge KV | A | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr | Aston Villa FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Apr | Manchester United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Mar | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | A | 4–3 | W |
| 15 Mar | Ipswich Town FC | A | 4–2 | W |
| 08 Mar | Manchester City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Mar | Ipswich Town FC | H | 5–4 | W |
Season Stats
| Aston Villa FC | Nottingham Forest FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #13 |
| 4 | Points | 5 |
| 5 | Played | 5 |
| 1 / 1 / 3 | W / D / L | 1 / 2 / 2 |
| 4 | Scored | 4 |
| 9 | Conceded | 5 |
| -5 | GD | -1 |
| 0.80 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 20% | Win % | 20% |
Key Stats
69%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
Aston Villa FC this season
20%
Clean Sheets
Nottingham Forest FC this season
Nottingham Forest FC this season
Aston Villa FC are 16th (4 pts). Nottingham Forest FC are 13th (5 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nottingham Forest FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nottingham Forest FC
| Morgan Gibbs-White | 1 G | 2 A |
| Dan Ndoye | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Aston Villa FC have kicked off against Nottingham Forest FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Ian Maatsen is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Nottingham Forest FC tonight.
- 10' Morgan Gibbs-White is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Aston Villa FC so far.
- 13' Goal! Morgan Rogers scores his 33 goal in 382 matches.
- 15' Against the run of play, Donyell Malen has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 20' It is a cagey affair so far. Aston Villa FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Nottingham Forest FC's compact 3-4-1-2.
- 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 30' Aston Villa FC is showing some good football. However, Aston Villa FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 35' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 40' Nottingham Forest FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 45' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Aston Villa FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 46' Ezri Konsa gets the nod from Aston Villa FC. He replaces Andres Garcia and will look to change the dynamic.
- 49' Morato catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 49.
- 51' Marco Asensio picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 56' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 57' GOAL! Jota Silva fires home to make it 2-1!
- 62' Another change for Aston Villa FC made on 62 minute. Ollie Watkins leaves to be changed by Marcus Rashford.
- 67' Both keepers have barely been tested. Aston Villa FC and Nottingham Forest FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 72' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 73' That is a card for Nottingham Forest FC. Jota Silva will be fuming at that decision.
- 73' Fresh legs for Aston Villa FC! John McGinn comes on to replace Marco Asensio.
- 74' The whistle greets Nicolas Dominguez as he departs to be replaced by Ramon Sosa.
- 75' The Nottingham Forest FC manager makes a substitution. Morato departs to be replaced by Willy Boly.
- 80' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 85' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 90' Nottingham Forest FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- With this win, Aston Villa FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Aston Villa FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
17
Donyell Malen ↓ Jacob Ramsey 62'
- 23
- 27
- 5
-
11
Ollie Watkins ↓ Marcus Rashford 62'
- 8
- 3
-
21
Marco Asensio ↓ John McGinn 73'
- 22
-
24
Amadou Onana ↓ Boubacar Kamara 62'
-
16
Andres Garcia ↓ Ezri Konsa 46'
Bench
- 12
-
9
Marcus Rashford ↑ 62'
- 2
-
4
Ezri Konsa ↑ 46'
-
7
John McGinn ↑ 73'
-
44
Boubacar Kamara ↑ 62'
- 14
- 25
-
41
Jacob Ramsey ↑ 62'
Coach
Unai Emery
Nottingham Forest FC Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 14
- 22
- 10
- 26
- 31
-
16
Nicolas Dominguez ↓ Ramon Sosa 74'
-
4
Morato ↓ Willy Boly 75'
- 7
- 8
-
21
Anthony Elanga ↓ Jota Silva 46'
- 5
Bench
-
30
Willy Boly ↑ 75'
- 15
- 6
- 33
- 28
-
24
Ramon Sosa ↑ 74'
-
20
Jota Silva ↑ 46'
- 46
- 17
Coach
Nuno Espírito Santo
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tammy Abraham | 4 |
| John McGinn | 4 |
| Ollie Watkins | 3 |
| Douglas Luiz | 2 |
| Lewis Grabban | 2 |
| Joao Carvalho | 1 |
| Ola Aina | 1 |
| Jota Silva | 1 |
Head to Head
Aston Villa FC Form
2025-04-05
Aston Villa FC
2–1
Nottingham Forest FC
W
2025-04-02
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
0–3
Aston Villa FC
W
2025-03-30
Preston North End FC
0–3
Aston Villa FC
W
2025-03-12
Aston Villa FC
3–0
Club Brugge KV
W
2025-03-08
Brentford FC
0–1
Aston Villa FC
W
2025-03-04
Club Brugge KV
1–3
Aston Villa FC
W
Nottingham Forest FC Form
2025-04-05
Aston Villa FC
2–1
Nottingham Forest FC
L
2025-04-01
Nottingham Forest FC
1–0
Manchester United FC
W
2025-03-29
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
3–4
Nottingham Forest FC
W
2025-03-15
Ipswich Town FC
2–4
Nottingham Forest FC
W
2025-03-08
Nottingham Forest FC
1–0
Manchester City FC
W
2025-03-03
Nottingham Forest FC
5–4
Ipswich Town FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.44
Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31
Nottingham Forest FC xG
I would bet for:
Aston Villa FC or Nottingham Forest FC 74% + Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Aston Villa FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Aston Villa FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Nottingham Forest FC
56%
Aston Villa FC or Nottingham Forest FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Aston Villa FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.3%
1 – 2
7.6%
0 – 1
7.4%
2 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
5.5%
0 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
4%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC
| Handicap | Aston Villa FC covers | Push | Nottingham Forest FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 20% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 18% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.