Aston Villa FC vs Nottingham Forest FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Aston Villa FC vs Nottingham Forest FC — Premier League at Villa Park.
- Aston Villa FC 10 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
- Nottingham Forest FC 10 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Simon Hooper
- Assistant 1 Adrian Holmes
- Assistant 2 Simon Long
4 games this season
🟨 4.0/game
⚽ 16.3 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 10 | 27 |
| 2 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Manchester City FC | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | Liverpool FC | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | Chelsea FC | 10 | 16 |
| 6 | Everton FC | 10 | 16 |
| 7 | AFC Bournemouth | 10 | 15 |
| 8 | Brentford FC | 10 | 14 |
| 9 | Leeds United FC | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | Aston Villa FC | 10 | 13 |
| 11 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 10 | 12 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 10 | 12 |
| 13 | Hull City AFC | 10 | 11 |
| 14 | Ipswich Town FC | 10 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham FC | 10 | 10 |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest FC | 10 | 9 |
| 17 | Coventry City FC | 10 | 9 |
| 18 | Manchester United FC | 10 | 8 |
| 19 | Sunderland AFC | 10 | 8 |
| 20 | Crystal Palace FC | 10 | 7 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr | Nottingham Forest FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Apr | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Mar | Preston North End FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Mar | Club Brugge KV | H | 3–0 | W |
| 08 Mar | Brentford FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Mar | Club Brugge KV | A | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr | Aston Villa FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Apr | Manchester United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Mar | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | A | 4–3 | W |
| 15 Mar | Ipswich Town FC | A | 4–2 | W |
| 08 Mar | Manchester City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Mar | Ipswich Town FC | H | 5–4 | W |
Season Stats
| Aston Villa FC | Nottingham Forest FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #16 |
| 13 | Points | 9 |
| 10 | Played | 10 |
| 3 / 4 / 3 | W / D / L | 2 / 3 / 5 |
| 14 | Scored | 9 |
| 17 | Conceded | 13 |
| -3 | GD | -4 |
| 1.30 | PPG | 0.90 |
| 30% | Win % | 20% |
Key Stats
69%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
Aston Villa FC this season
10%
Clean Sheets
Nottingham Forest FC this season
Nottingham Forest FC this season
Aston Villa FC are 10th (13 pts). Nottingham Forest FC are 16th (9 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Aston Villa FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/–
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nottingham Forest FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/–
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
2/1
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Aston Villa FC
| Nicolas Jackson | 6 G | 1 A |
| Johan Manzambi | 2 G | 3 A |
| Alysson | 2 G |
Nottingham Forest FC
| Liam Delap | 3 G | |
| Dan Ndoye | 2 G | |
| Morgan Gibbs-White | 1 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Aston Villa FC and Nottingham Forest FC get this one started.
- 5' England international Ryan Yates has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Nottingham Forest FC winning 100% of all matches.
- 13' GOAL! Morgan Rogers fires home to make it 1-0!
- 15' Against the run of play, Donyell Malen has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Aston Villa FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Aston Villa FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Callum Hudson-Odoi, as he is very good at scoring at Villa Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 35' Aston Villa FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Nottingham Forest FC's 3-4-1-2 shape.
- 40' Nottingham Forest FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 45' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 46' Aston Villa FC make a change. Andres Garcia trudges off to be replaced by Ezri Konsa on 46 minutes.
- 49' Morato was booked on 49.
- 51' Aston Villa FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 51.
- 56' Aston Villa FC is showing some good football. However, Aston Villa FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 57' What composure from Jota Silva! The Portugal international strokes it home. 2-1.
- 62' Another change for Aston Villa FC made on 62 minute. Ollie Watkins leaves to be changed by Marcus Rashford.
- 67' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 72' It looks like no one’s ball. Nottingham Forest FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 73' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Jota Silva.
- 73' John McGinn has so much to prove this time. He replaces Marco Asensio on 73 minute.
- 74' Ramon Sosa has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nicolas Dominguez on 74 minute.
- 75' Willy Boly has so much to prove this time. He replaces Morato on 75 minute.
- 80' Nottingham Forest FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 85' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 90' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 2-1 the final result. Nottingham Forest FC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Aston Villa FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
17
Donyell Malen ↓ Jacob Ramsey 62'
- 23
- 27
- 5
-
11
Ollie Watkins ↓ Marcus Rashford 62'
- 8
- 3
-
21
Marco Asensio ↓ John McGinn 73'
- 22
-
24
Amadou Onana ↓ Boubacar Kamara 62'
-
16
Andres Garcia ↓ Ezri Konsa 46'
Bench
- 12
-
9
Marcus Rashford ↑ 62'
- 2
-
4
Ezri Konsa ↑ 46'
-
7
John McGinn ↑ 73'
-
44
Boubacar Kamara ↑ 62'
- 14
- 25
-
41
Jacob Ramsey ↑ 62'
Coach
Unai Emery
Nottingham Forest FC Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 14
- 22
- 10
- 26
- 31
-
16
Nicolas Dominguez ↓ Ramon Sosa 74'
-
4
Morato ↓ Willy Boly 75'
- 7
- 8
-
21
Anthony Elanga ↓ Jota Silva 46'
- 5
Bench
-
30
Willy Boly ↑ 75'
- 15
- 6
- 33
- 28
-
24
Ramon Sosa ↑ 74'
-
20
Jota Silva ↑ 46'
- 46
- 17
Coach
Nuno Espírito Santo
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tammy Abraham | 4 |
| John McGinn | 4 |
| Ollie Watkins | 3 |
| Douglas Luiz | 2 |
| Lewis Grabban | 2 |
| Joao Carvalho | 1 |
| Ola Aina | 1 |
| Jota Silva | 1 |
Head to Head
Aston Villa FC Form
2025-04-05
Aston Villa FC
2–1
Nottingham Forest FC
W
2025-04-02
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
0–3
Aston Villa FC
W
2025-03-30
Preston North End FC
0–3
Aston Villa FC
W
2025-03-12
Aston Villa FC
3–0
Club Brugge KV
W
2025-03-08
Brentford FC
0–1
Aston Villa FC
W
2025-03-04
Club Brugge KV
1–3
Aston Villa FC
W
Nottingham Forest FC Form
2025-04-05
Aston Villa FC
2–1
Nottingham Forest FC
L
2025-04-01
Nottingham Forest FC
1–0
Manchester United FC
W
2025-03-29
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
3–4
Nottingham Forest FC
W
2025-03-15
Ipswich Town FC
2–4
Nottingham Forest FC
W
2025-03-08
Nottingham Forest FC
1–0
Manchester City FC
W
2025-03-03
Nottingham Forest FC
5–4
Ipswich Town FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.88
Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35
Nottingham Forest FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Aston Villa FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.23
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
Aston Villa FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Nottingham Forest FC
49%
Aston Villa FC or Nottingham Forest FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Aston Villa FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
6.9%
1 – 0
6.7%
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 0
5.5%
0 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
4.2%
3 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC
| Handicap | Aston Villa FC covers | Push | Nottingham Forest FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 15% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 21% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 15% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.