Nottingham Forest FC vs FC Porto, Europe 2025-26 QUARTER FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Nottingham Forest FC vs FC Porto — Europe at City Ground, Nottingham.
- Nottingham Forest FC 8 games · 14 pts (2026/27)
- FC Porto 8 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Danny Makkelie
- Assistant 1 Hessel Steegstra
- Assistant 2 Jan de Vries
18 games this season
🟨 3.2/game
⚽ 11.3 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olympique Lyonnais | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | Aston Villa FC | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | FC Midtjylland | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Real Betis Balompié | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Porto | 8 | 17 |
| 6 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 8 | 17 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 8 | 17 |
| 8 | AS Roma | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | KRC Genk | 8 | 16 |
| 10 | Bologna FC 1909 | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 15 |
| 12 | Ferencvárosi TC | 8 | 15 |
| 13 | Nottingham Forest FC | 8 | 14 |
| 14 | FC Viktoria Plzeň | 8 | 14 |
| 15 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 8 | 14 |
| 16 | RC Celta de Vigo | 8 | 13 |
| 17 | PAOK Thessaloniki FC | 8 | 12 |
| 18 | Lille OSC | 8 | 12 |
| 19 | Fenerbahçe SK | 8 | 12 |
| 20 | Panathinaikos AO | 8 | 12 |
| 21 | Celtic FC | 8 | 11 |
| 22 | PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 8 | 10 |
| 24 | SK Brann | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | BSC Young Boys | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | SK Sturm Graz | 8 | 7 |
| 27 | FCSB Bukarest | 8 | 7 |
| 28 | Go Ahead Eagles | 8 | 7 |
| 29 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 8 | 6 |
| 30 | FC Basel 1893 | 8 | 6 |
| 31 | FC Red Bull Salzburg | 8 | 6 |
| 32 | Rangers FC | 8 | 4 |
| 33 | OGC Nice | 8 | 3 |
| 34 | FC Utrecht | 8 | 1 |
| 35 | Malmo FF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | Maccabi Tel Aviv FC | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr | FC Porto | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | Aston Villa FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Apr | FC Porto | A | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Mar | Tottenham Hotspur FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Mar | FC Midtjylland | A | 5–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | Fulham FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr | Nottingham Forest FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Apr | GD Estoril Praia | A | 3–1 | W |
| 09 Apr | Nottingham Forest FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Apr | FC Famalicão | H | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Mar | Sporting Clube de Braga | A | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Mar | VfB Stuttgart | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Nottingham Forest FC | FC Porto | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #5 |
| 14 | Points | 17 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 4 / 2 / 2 | W / D / L | 5 / 2 / 1 |
| 15 | Scored | 13 |
| 7 | Conceded | 7 |
| +8 | GD | +6 |
| 1.75 | PPG | 2.13 |
| 50% | Win % | 63% |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Nottingham Forest FC are 13th (14 pts). FC Porto are 5th (17 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Nottingham Forest FC launch into their encounter with FC Porto.
- 5' Nottingham Forest FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against FC Porto's 4-3-3 shape.
- 8' Jan Bednarek has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 8.
- 12' Brilliant from the ! Morgan Gibbs-White makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 12.
- 16' Another substitution for Nottingham Forest FC to replace Chris Wood by Igor Jesus on 16 minute.
- 21' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 26' FC Porto come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 31' FC Porto started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 31.
- 32' FC Porto receives a card for a hard tackle on 32.
- 36' The referee has no hesitation. Alberto Baio is booked for FC Porto — card on 36.
- 40' A moment of madness from Omari Hutchinson on 40 minutes earns him a card. Nottingham Forest FC will be frustrated.
- 45' Omari Hutchinson has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 15 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 46' Fresh legs for Nottingham Forest FC! Callum Hudson-Odoi comes on to replace Omari Hutchinson.
- 51' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 56' Supporters expect more eagerness from Pablo Rosario, as he is very good at scoring at City Ground, Nottingham with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 61' The energy levels are beginning to show. Francesco Farioli might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 65' Nikola Milenkovic is ready to make an impact after coming on for Dan Ndoye at the 65 minute mark.
- 66' FC Porto ring the changes. Terem Moffi has done his job and it is now time for Deniz Gul to step up.
- 71' Nottingham Forest FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 72' Another change for Nottingham Forest FC made on 72 minute. Murillo leaves to be changed by Morato.
- 77' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 82' It’s high time Francesco Farioli made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 87' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Borja Sainz made 277 appearances and scored 31 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. William da Silva is booked for FC Porto — card on 90.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Nottingham Forest FC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Nottingham Forest FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
11
Chris Wood ↓ Igor Jesus 16'
- 10
- 6
- 27
- 34
- 16
- 3
-
14
Dan Ndoye ↓ Nikola Milenkovic 65'
- 21
- 5
- 23
Bench
- 20
-
7
Callum Hudson-Odoi ↑ 46'
- 22
- 26
-
31
Nikola Milenkovic ↑ 65'
-
4
Morato ↑ 72'
- 29
- 24
- 44
-
19
Igor Jesus ↑ 16'
- 67
- 61
Coach
Vítor Pereira
FC Porto Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 13
- 5
- 3
- 42
-
29
Terem Moffi ↓ Deniz Gul 66'
- 99
-
12
Zaidu Sanusi ↓ Moura 46'
-
17
Borja Sainz ↓ Alan Varela 46'
-
10
Gabriel Veiga ↓ Jakub Kiwior 46'
- 7
-
20
Alberto Baio ↓ Victor Froholdt 46'
Bench
- 24
- 11
- 14
-
74
Moura ↑ 46'
-
22
Alan Varela ↑ 46'
-
4
Jakub Kiwior ↑ 46'
-
27
Deniz Gul ↑ 66'
-
8
Victor Froholdt ↑ 46'
- 73
- 86
- 21
- 58
Coach
Francesco Farioli
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| William da Silva | 1 |
| Morgan Gibbs-White | 1 |
Head to Head
Nottingham Forest FC Form
2026-04-16
Nottingham Forest FC
1–0
FC Porto
W
2026-04-12
Nottingham Forest FC
1–1
Aston Villa FC
D
2026-04-09
FC Porto
1–1
Nottingham Forest FC
D
2026-03-22
Tottenham Hotspur FC
0–3
Nottingham Forest FC
W
2026-03-19
FC Midtjylland
1–5
Nottingham Forest FC
W
2026-03-15
Nottingham Forest FC
0–0
Fulham FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.26
Nottingham Forest FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88
FC Porto xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nottingham Forest FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.14
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 2.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 3.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
Nottingham Forest FC or Draw
77%
Draw or FC Porto
52%
Nottingham Forest FC or FC Porto
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Nottingham Forest FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.1%
1 – 1
14%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
9%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
5.5%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
3.7%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 1
3.4%
1 – 3
1.6%
Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC
| Handicap | Nottingham Forest FC covers | Push | FC Porto covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 13% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 23% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 16% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
FC Porto keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.