Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Brentford FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 17:30 UTC Brentford Community Stadium 17,171 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 49' Ollie Watkins

Overview

Match Preview

Brentford FC vs Aston Villa FC — Premier League at Brentford Community Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Jarred Gillett
  • Assistant 1 Darren Cann
  • Assistant 2 Mark Scholes
4 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 8.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Aston Villa FC H 0–1 L
26 Feb Everton FC H 1–1 D
21 Feb Leicester City FC A 4–0 W
15 Feb West Ham United FC A 1–0 W
02 Feb Tottenham Hotspur FC H 0–2 L
26 Jan Crystal Palace FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Brentford FC A 1–0 W
04 Mar Club Brugge KV A 3–1 W
28 Feb Cardiff City FC H 2–0 W
25 Feb Crystal Palace FC A 1–4 L
22 Feb Chelsea FC H 2–1 W
19 Feb Liverpool FC H 2–2 D

Season Stats

Brentford FC Aston Villa FC
#4 Position #16
9 Points 4
5 Played 5
2 / 3 / 0 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 3
10 Scored 4
4 Conceded 9
+6 GD -5
1.80 PPG 0.80
40% Win % 20%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
Brentford FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Brentford FC are 4th (9 pts). Aston Villa FC are 16th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Brentford FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/1
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/–
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Brentford FC
Kevin Schade 3 G
Vitaly Janelt 2 G
Keane Lewis-Potter 1 G 1 A
Michael Kayode 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Brentford FC gets underway.
  • 5' Brentford FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Aston Villa FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Aston Villa FC that had 357 games and scored 498 goals.
  • 15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 20' Aston Villa FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 25' Brentford FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Aston Villa FC backline.
  • 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 35' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Brentford FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 40' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 42' John McGinn has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 42.
  • 46' Leon Bailey makes way for Matty Cash at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Aston Villa FC.
  • 49' Brilliant from the ! Ollie Watkins makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 49.
  • 54' Aston Villa FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 59' Ethan Pinnock has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 10 cards already picked up this season.
  • 61' It is a substitution in Aston Villa FC team. John McGinn is replaced by Boubacar Kamara on 61 minute.
  • 66' Kristoffer Ajer has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 67' Poor challenge from Kristoffer Ajer. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 68' Another change for Aston Villa FC made on 68 minute. Jacob Ramsey leaves to be changed by Marcus Rashford.
  • 73' Both keepers have barely been tested. Brentford FC and Aston Villa FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 75' Time for substitution for Brentford FC. Vitaly Janelt is replaced by Mathias Jensen.
  • 80' It looks surprising Aston Villa FC does not make any changes. Mikkel Damsgaard has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 81' Aston Villa FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 86' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 90' Nathan Collins has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • 90' Another change for Brentford FC made on 90 minute. Kristoffer Ajer leaves to be changed by Ji-soo Kim.
  • Another three points for Aston Villa FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.99 Brentford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 58% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Brentford FC49% Draw25% Aston Villa FC26%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 3.07
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Brentford FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
51%
Brentford FC or Aston Villa FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Brentford FC41% Draw42% Aston Villa FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
9%
1 – 0
8.6%
3 – 1
6.3%
0 – 0
6.3%
3 – 0
5.9%
1 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 1
Actual
3 – 2
3.5%
4 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Brentford FC

Handicap Brentford FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 17% — 83%
-2 17% 18% 66%
-1.5 34% — 66%
-1 34% 22% 43%
-0.5 57% — 43%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 12% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Brentford FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
15% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.