AFC Ajax vs PSV, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AFC Ajax vs PSV — Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.
Match Details
- Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk
- Assistant 1 Erwin Zeinstra
- Assistant 2 Johan Balder
12 games this season
🟨 4.2/game
⚽ 13.9 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | AFC Ajax | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 12 | 24 |
| 5 | AZ | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | SC Heerenveen | 12 | 21 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 20 |
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 12 | 15 |
| 10 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | NEC | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 12 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 12 |
| 14 | FC Utrecht | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | SBV Excelsior | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | Telstar 1963 | 12 | 10 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | 9 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 12 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | PSV | H | 3–2 | W |
| 30 Oct | Feyenoord Rotterdam | A | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Oct | Willem II Tilburg | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | Qarabag Agdam FK | A | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Oct | Heracles Almelo | A | 4–3 | W |
| 06 Oct | FC Groningen | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | AFC Ajax | A | 2–3 | L |
| 26 Oct | PEC Zwolle | H | 6–0 | W |
| 22 Oct | Paris Saint-Germain FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Oct | AZ | A | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Oct | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Oct | Sporting Clube de Portugal | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| AFC Ajax | PSV | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #1 |
| 25 | Points | 26 |
| 12 | Played | 12 |
| 7 / 4 / 1 | W / D / L | 8 / 2 / 2 |
| 32 | Scored | 40 |
| 15 | Conceded | 15 |
| +17 | GD | +25 |
| 2.08 | PPG | 2.17 |
| 58% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
17%
Clean Sheets
PSV this season
PSV this season
AFC Ajax are 3rd (25 pts). PSV are 1st (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Ajax
0-15
3/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
8/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
PSV
0-15
5/4
16-30
8/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
6/3
61-75
3/–
76+
10/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AFC Ajax
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 7 G | 1 A |
| Julian Brandt | 6 G | 2 A |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 3 G | 1 A |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
PSV
| Sven Mijnans | 9 G | 2 A |
| Guus Til | 7 G | 1 A |
| Ruben van Bommel | 4 G | 3 A |
| Ricardo Pepi | 4 G | 1 A |
| Sergino Dest | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between AFC Ajax and PSV is underway.
- 5' AFC Ajax are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 10' AFC Ajax are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AFC Ajax needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 18' A stunning finish from Luuk de Jong — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 23' The referee has no hesitation. Ryan Flamingo is booked for PSV — card on 23.
- 28' Remko Pasveer is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for PSV so far.
- 33' Couhaib Driouech needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 38' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering PSV that had 452 games and scored 860 goals.
- 43' What composure from Davy Klaassen! The Netherlands international strokes it home. 1-1.
- 46' Time for substitution for PSV. Matteo Dams is replaced by Mauro Junior.
- 51' AFC Ajax currently sit 2 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 54' The Croatia Ivan Perisic breaks the deadlock on 54 minutes. 1-2!
- 59' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 61' Fresh legs for AFC Ajax! Mika Godts comes on to replace Chuba Akpom.
- 66' What an equalizer from Kian Fitz-Jim!
- 70' Controversy at the stadium! Brian Brobbey argues furiously but the card stands.
- 71' Wout Weghorst is replacing Brian Brobbey for the AFC Ajax side.
- 72' Johan Bakayoko gets the nod from PSV. He replaces Noa Lang and will look to change the dynamic.
- 74' Mika Godts does the damage! The net is bulging and AFC Ajax surge ahead!
- 76' Poor challenge from Rick Karsdorp. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 81' The crowd applauds Guus Til as he leaves the pitch. Ricardo Pepi steps in for PSV.
- 85' Time for substitution for AFC Ajax. Bertrand Traore is replaced by Steven Berghuis.
- 86' The whistle greets Davy Klaassen as he departs to be replaced by Daniele Rugani.
- 89' The supporters are chanting for Couhaib Driouech. He replaces Ryan Flamingo on 89 minute.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Steven Berghuis.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from AFC Ajax to claim maximum points.
Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
18
Davy Klaassen ↓ Daniele Rugani 86'
- 6
- 22
- 20
-
10
Chuba Akpom ↓ Mika Godts 61'
- 37
- 2
-
9
Brian Brobbey ↓ Wout Weghorst 71'
-
28
Kian Fitz-Jim ↓ Kenneth Taylor 71'
- 15
- 4
Bench
- 5
-
23
Steven Berghuis ↑ 85'
-
25
Wout Weghorst ↑ 71'
-
24
Daniele Rugani ↑ 86'
- 40
- 12
- 21
-
8
Kenneth Taylor ↑ 71'
- 13
- 29
-
11
Mika Godts ↑ 61'
- 3
Coach
Francesco Farioli
PSV Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 9
-
20
Guus Til ↓ Ricardo Pepi 81'
-
10
Noa Lang ↓ Johan Bakayoko 72'
- 18
- 1
- 2
-
5
Ivan Perisic ↓ Armando Obispo 89'
- 34
- 7
- 6
-
32
Matteo Dams ↓ Mauro Junior 46'
Bench
-
4
Armando Obispo ↑ 89'
-
17
Mauro Junior ↑ 46'
- 16
-
14
Ricardo Pepi ↑ 81'
-
21
Couhaib Driouech ↑ 89'
- 35
-
11
Johan Bakayoko ↑ 72'
- 24
- 37
- 28
- 26
Coach
Peter Bosz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luuk de Jong | 9 |
| Hirving Lozano | 4 |
| Eran Zahavi | 3 |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 |
| Dusan Tadic | 3 |
| Quincy Promes | 3 |
| Antony | 2 |
| Steven Berghuis | 2 |
Head to Head
AFC Ajax Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.93
AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2
PSV xG
I would bet for:
AFC Ajax or PSV 77% + Over 2.5 goals 74%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.93
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 4.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
Double Chance
AFC Ajax or Draw
65%
Draw or PSV
58%
AFC Ajax or PSV
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 1
7.1%
2 – 2
7%
1 – 3
4.8%
2 – 3
4.6%
3 – 1
4.6%
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
4%
2 – 0
3.8%
0 – 1
3.5%
1 – 0
3.3%
Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax
| Handicap | AFC Ajax covers | Push | PSV covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 11% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 17% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 17% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 12% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
PSV keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

