AFC Ajax vs PSV, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AFC Ajax vs PSV — Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.
Match Details
- Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk
- Assistant 1 Erwin Zeinstra
- Assistant 2 Johan Balder
7 games this season
🟨 1.3/game
⚽ 4.0 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADO Den Haag | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | AFC Ajax | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | AZ | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | FC Groningen | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | FC Twente '65 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | FC Utrecht | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Fortuna Sittard | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | NEC | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | PEC Zwolle | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | PSV | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | SBV Excelsior | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | SC Heerenveen | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Telstar 1963 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | PSV | H | 3–2 | W |
| 30 Oct | Feyenoord Rotterdam | A | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Oct | Willem II Tilburg | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | Qarabag Agdam FK | A | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Oct | Heracles Almelo | A | 4–3 | W |
| 06 Oct | FC Groningen | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | AFC Ajax | A | 2–3 | L |
| 26 Oct | PEC Zwolle | H | 6–0 | W |
| 22 Oct | Paris Saint-Germain FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Oct | AZ | A | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Oct | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Oct | Sporting Clube de Portugal | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| AFC Ajax | PSV | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #12 |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0 | Played | 0 |
| 0 / 0 / 0 | W / D / L | 0 / 0 / 0 |
| 0 | Scored | 0 |
| 0 | Conceded | 0 |
| +0 | GD | +0 |
| – | PPG | – |
| – | Win % | – |
Key Stats
61%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
AFC Ajax are 2nd (0 pts). PSV are 12th (0 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! AFC Ajax vs PSV — let the football do the talking.
- 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 10' The travelling PSV supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 15' AFC Ajax are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against PSV's 4-3-3 shape.
- 18' Brilliant from the ! Luuk de Jong makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 18.
- 23' A moment of madness from Ryan Flamingo on 23 minutes earns him a card. PSV will be frustrated.
- 28' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 33' PSV are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 38' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AFC Ajax and PSV are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 43' Assisted by Jorrel Hato with the perfectly-timed delivery and Davy Klaassen makes no mistake. 1-1!
- 46' Time for substitution for PSV. Matteo Dams is replaced by Mauro Junior.
- 51' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 54' Ivan Perisic makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and PSV are in front.
- 59' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 61' Mika Godts gets the nod from AFC Ajax. He replaces Chuba Akpom and will look to change the dynamic.
- 66' Brilliant from the ! Kian Fitz-Jim makes it 2-2 with a superb finish on 66.
- 70' AFC Ajax player sees a card in front of him.
- 71' Wout Weghorst has so much to prove this time. He replaces Brian Brobbey on 71 minute.
- 72' PSV make a change. Noa Lang trudges off to be replaced by Johan Bakayoko on 72 minutes.
- 74' Mika Godts makes no mistake. The score reads 3-2 and AFC Ajax are in front.
- 76' Poor challenge from Rick Karsdorp. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 81' Another change for PSV made on 81 minute. Guus Til leaves to be changed by Ricardo Pepi.
- 85' Steven Berghuis has so much to prove this time. He replaces Bertrand Traore on 85 minute.
- 86' The whistle greets Davy Klaassen as he departs to be replaced by Daniele Rugani.
- 89' The PSV bench stirs into life. Ryan Flamingo is withdrawn and Couhaib Driouech gets his opportunity.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Steven Berghuis.
- It finishes all square. AFC Ajax and PSV share the spoils 3-2.
Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
18
Davy Klaassen ↓ Daniele Rugani 86'
- 6
- 22
- 20
-
10
Chuba Akpom ↓ Mika Godts 61'
- 37
- 2
-
9
Brian Brobbey ↓ Wout Weghorst 71'
-
28
Kian Fitz-Jim ↓ Kenneth Taylor 71'
- 15
- 4
Bench
- 5
-
23
Steven Berghuis ↑ 85'
-
25
Wout Weghorst ↑ 71'
-
24
Daniele Rugani ↑ 86'
- 40
- 12
- 21
-
8
Kenneth Taylor ↑ 71'
- 13
- 29
-
11
Mika Godts ↑ 61'
- 3
Coach
Francesco Farioli
PSV Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 9
-
20
Guus Til ↓ Ricardo Pepi 81'
-
10
Noa Lang ↓ Johan Bakayoko 72'
- 18
- 1
- 2
-
5
Ivan Perisic ↓ Armando Obispo 89'
- 34
- 7
- 6
-
32
Matteo Dams ↓ Mauro Junior 46'
Bench
-
4
Armando Obispo ↑ 89'
-
17
Mauro Junior ↑ 46'
- 16
-
14
Ricardo Pepi ↑ 81'
-
21
Couhaib Driouech ↑ 89'
- 35
-
11
Johan Bakayoko ↑ 72'
- 24
- 37
- 28
- 26
Coach
Peter Bosz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luuk de Jong | 9 |
| Hirving Lozano | 4 |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 |
| Dusan Tadic | 3 |
| Quincy Promes | 3 |
| Eran Zahavi | 3 |
| Steven Berghuis | 2 |
| Mika Godts | 2 |
Head to Head
AFC Ajax Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.95
AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97
PSV xG
I would bet for:
AFC Ajax or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 70%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 1.92
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 1.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 2.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 3.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
AFC Ajax or Draw
70%
Draw or PSV
62%
AFC Ajax or PSV
68%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–2 not predicted3 – 2Actual
0 – 0
17.2%
1 – 1
14.5%
0 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
12.5%
0 – 2
6.5%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
3.2%
1 – 3
2.1%
0 – 3
2.1%
3 – 1
2%
Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax
| Handicap | AFC Ajax covers | Push | PSV covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 9% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 20% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 20% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 9% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
PSV keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.