AFC Ajax vs PSV, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AFC Ajax vs PSV — Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.
Match Details
- Referee Allard Lindhout
- Assistant 1 Johan Balder
- Assistant 2 Freek Vandeursen
9 games this season
🟨 1.7/game
⚽ 6.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | AFC Ajax | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 12 | 24 |
| 5 | AZ | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | SC Heerenveen | 12 | 21 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 20 |
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 12 | 15 |
| 10 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | NEC | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 12 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 12 |
| 14 | FC Utrecht | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | SBV Excelsior | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | Telstar 1963 | 12 | 10 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | 9 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 12 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May | PSV | H | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Apr | NAC Breda | A | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | Heracles Almelo | A | 3–0 | W |
| 04 Apr | FC Twente '65 | H | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | Feyenoord Rotterdam | A | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Mar | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 4–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May | AFC Ajax | A | 2–2 | D |
| 23 Apr | PEC Zwolle | H | 6–1 | W |
| 11 Apr | Sparta Rotterdam | A | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Apr | FC Utrecht | H | 4–3 | W |
| 22 Mar | Telstar 1963 | A | 1–3 | L |
| 14 Mar | NEC | H | 2–3 | L |
Season Stats
| AFC Ajax | PSV | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #1 |
| 25 | Points | 26 |
| 12 | Played | 12 |
| 7 / 4 / 1 | W / D / L | 8 / 2 / 2 |
| 32 | Scored | 40 |
| 15 | Conceded | 15 |
| +17 | GD | +25 |
| 2.08 | PPG | 2.17 |
| 58% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
17%
Clean Sheets
PSV this season
PSV this season
AFC Ajax are 3rd (25 pts). PSV are 1st (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Ajax
0-15
3/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
8/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
PSV
0-15
5/4
16-30
8/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
6/3
61-75
3/–
76+
10/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AFC Ajax
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 7 G | 1 A |
| Julian Brandt | 6 G | 2 A |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 3 G | 1 A |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
PSV
| Sven Mijnans | 9 G | 2 A |
| Guus Til | 7 G | 1 A |
| Ruben van Bommel | 4 G | 3 A |
| Ricardo Pepi | 4 G | 1 A |
| Sergino Dest | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Johan Cruijff Arena will turn into a battlefield for AFC Ajax and PSV.
- 1' The USA Ricardo Pepi breaks the deadlock on 1 minutes. 0-1!
- 6' Supporters expect more eagerness from Matej Kovar, as he is very good at scoring at Johan Cruijff Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 11' Brilliant from the ! Anton Gaaei makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 11.
- 16' Kasper Dolberg, a Denmark , has 13 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 21' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. PSV needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 26' The 34-year-old Steven Berghuis has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
- 31' Josip Sutalo has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 36' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 41' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering PSV that had 449 games and scored 847 goals.
- 46' It’s high time Óscar García made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 51' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 56' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 56 minutes.
- 61' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 66' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 71' It looks surprising PSV does not make any changes. Guus Til has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 75' Sean Steur has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 75.
- 77' A goal from the Netherlands international Myron Boadu! He fires home on 77 to make it 1-2!
- 82' Joey Veerman is a natural midfielder and has been asked to do a very specific job for AFC Ajax tonight.
- 83' The referee shows PSV player a card on 83.
- 88' The referee shows PSV player a card on 88.
- Game over. The scoreline of 2-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 26
- 9
- 23
- 4
- 37
- 6
- 15
- 2
- 11
- 3
- 24
Bench
- 32
- 17
- 10
- 7
- 19
- 52
- 30
- 43
- 48
- 62
- 45
Coach
Óscar García
PSV Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 17
- 20
- 9
- 23
- 32
- 25
- 11
- 10
- 6
- 19
- 3
Bench
- 4
- 21
- 27
- 1
- 8
- 24
- 56
- 35
- 52
- 31
Coach
Peter Bosz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luuk de Jong | 9 |
| Hirving Lozano | 4 |
| Quincy Promes | 3 |
| Eran Zahavi | 3 |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 |
| Dusan Tadic | 3 |
| Antony | 2 |
| Steven Berghuis | 2 |
Head to Head
AFC Ajax Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.99
AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.84
PSV xG
I would bet for:
AFC Ajax or PSV 77% + Over 2.5 goals 72%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.83
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 4.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
Double Chance
AFC Ajax or Draw
68%
Draw or PSV
56%
AFC Ajax or PSV
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
5%
3 – 2
4.6%
2 – 0
4.4%
1 – 3
4.3%
2 – 3
4.3%
1 – 0
3.8%
0 – 2
3.8%
0 – 1
3.5%
Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax
| Handicap | AFC Ajax covers | Push | PSV covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 12% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 18% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 17% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 11% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
PSV keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

