Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AFC Ajax vs FC Utrecht, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
1 – 2
Full Time
Sun 10 May 2026 · 14:45 UTC Johan Cruijff Arena 53,632 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 81' Niklas Vesterlund
Wout Weghorst 84' 1–1
1–2 90+6' Mike van der Hoorn

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs FC Utrecht — Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Jeroen Manschot
  • Assistant 1 Franca Overtoom (Netherlands)
  • Assistant 2 Mario Diks
4 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 24.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May FC Utrecht H 1–2 L
02 May PSV H 2–2 D
25 Apr NAC Breda A 2–0 W
11 Apr Heracles Almelo A 3–0 W
04 Apr FC Twente '65 H 1–2 L
22 Mar Feyenoord Rotterdam A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May AFC Ajax A 2–1 W
02 May NAC Breda H 2–0 W
26 Apr SBV Excelsior A 0–5 L
11 Apr Telstar 1963 H 4–1 W
04 Apr PSV A 3–4 L
22 Mar Go Ahead Eagles H 2–0 W

Season Stats

AFC Ajax FC Utrecht
#5 Position #15
14 Points 5
7 Played 7
4 / 2 / 1 W / D / L 1 / 2 / 4
21 Scored 11
9 Conceded 24
+12 GD -13
2.00 PPG 0.71
57% Win % 14%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
0% Clean Sheets
FC Utrecht this season

AFC Ajax are 5th (14 pts). FC Utrecht are 15th (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Ajax
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Utrecht
0-15
1/4
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/6
61-75
2/2
76+
5/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Johan Cruijff Arena that hosts another battle between AFC Ajax and FC Utrecht.
  • 4' Steven Berghuis has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 4.
  • 9' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 14' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Gjivai Zechiel suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' The referee shows FC Utrecht player a card on 15.
  • 20' AFC Ajax are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against FC Utrecht's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
  • 30' Denmark international Anton Gaaei has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 35' The home supporters are growing impatient. AFC Ajax must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 38' That is a card for FC Utrecht. Dani de Wit will be fuming at that decision.
  • 43' FC Utrecht started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 43.
  • 48' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 53' FC Utrecht seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 58' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 63' Youri Baas, a Netherlands , has 9 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 68' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jorthy Mokio made 306 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 73' FC Utrecht is showing some good football. However, FC Utrecht are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 78' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 81' GOAL! Niklas Vesterlund fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 84' Wout Weghorst has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 84 minutes.
  • 88' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Sean Steur on 88 minutes.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
4.05 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48 FC Utrecht xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 90% + Both teams to score 75%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Ajax65% Draw17% FC Utrecht18%
Actual: FC Utrecht win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes75% 0% No25%
Avg goals/match: 5.53
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 97%
3%
± 2.5 90%
10%
± 3.5 77%
23%
± 4.5 61%
39%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
82%
Draw or FC Utrecht
35%
AFC Ajax or FC Utrecht
83%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Ajax63% Draw26% FC Utrecht11%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–2 not predicted
1 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
6.7%
4 – 1
6.6%
5 – 1
5.4%
2 – 1
5.2%
3 – 2
4.9%
4 – 2
4.9%
3 – 0
4.7%
4 – 0
4.6%
5 – 2
4%
2 – 2
3.8%
2 – 0
3.7%
5 – 0
3.7%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push FC Utrecht covers
-2.5 46% — 54%
-2 46% 18% 36%
-1.5 64% — 36%
-1 64% 15% 21%
-0.5 79% — 21%
+0.5 90% — 10%
+1 90% 6% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
FC Utrecht keeps clean sheet
2% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.