Wednesday , 30 September 2026

PSV vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
0 – 2
Full Time
Sun 30 Mar 2025 · 12:30 UTC Philips Stadion 34,400 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 35' Davy Klaassen
0–2 67' Bertrand Traore

Overview

Match Preview

PSV vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at Philips Stadion.

  • PSV 7 games · 16 pts (2026/27)
  • AFC Ajax 7 games · 14 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

  • Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk
  • Assistant 1 Erwin Zeinstra
  • Assistant 2 Patrick Inia
6 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 9.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar AFC Ajax H 0–2 L
15 Mar RKC Waalwijk A 3–0 W
12 Mar Arsenal FC A 2–2 D
08 Mar SC Heerenveen H 2–1 W
04 Mar Arsenal FC H 1–7 L
01 Mar Go Ahead Eagles A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar PSV A 2–0 W
16 Mar AZ H 2–2 D
13 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt A 1–4 L
09 Mar PEC Zwolle A 1–0 W
06 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–2 L
02 Mar Almere City FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

PSV AFC Ajax
#3 Position #5
16 Points 14
7 Played 7
5 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 4 / 2 / 1
24 Scored 21
10 Conceded 9
+14 GD +12
2.29 PPG 2.00
71% Win % 57%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
PSV this season
29% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

PSV are 3rd (16 pts). AFC Ajax are 5th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

PSV
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
2/–
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AFC Ajax
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: PSV gets underway.
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 15' PSV seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 20' AFC Ajax have won 824 goals from 483 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 30' PSV is showing some good football. However, PSV are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 35' The deadlock is broken! Davy Klaassen gets on the scoresheet on 35 minutes.
  • 36' A moment of madness from Brian Brobbey on 36 minutes earns him a card. AFC Ajax will be frustrated.
  • 41' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 46' Malik Tillman is replacing Guus Til for the PSV side.
  • 51' PSV are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against AFC Ajax's 4-3-3 shape.
  • 56' AFC Ajax fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 58' The referee calls foul for Kenneth Taylor. He receives a card.
  • 61' The crowd applauds Youri Baas as he leaves the pitch. Daniele Rugani steps in for AFC Ajax.
  • 66' Mika Godts has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 67' Bertrand Traore does the damage! The net is bulging and AFC Ajax surge ahead!
  • 72' PSV is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 75' Noa Lang is having his name booked by the referee on 75.
  • 76' Time for substitution for AFC Ajax. Mika Godts is replaced by Oliver Edvardsen.
  • 77' Richie Ledezma is ready to make an impact after coming on for Sergino Dest at the 77 minute mark.
  • 80' AFC Ajax manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Owen Wijndal is hanging Davy Klaassen on the field on 80 minute.
  • 85' France international Olivier Boscagli has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 86' Another substitution for PSV to replace Mauro Junior by Tygo Land on 86 minute.
  • PSV will have plenty to reflect on. AFC Ajax were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.07 PSV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.09 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + PSV or AFC Ajax 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PSV38% Draw24% AFC Ajax38%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes76% 0% No24%
Avg goals/match: 4.16
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 77%
23%
± 3.5 59%
41%
± 4.5 40%
60%

Double Chance

PSV or Draw
62%
Draw or AFC Ajax
62%
PSV or AFC Ajax
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
PSV31% Draw37% AFC Ajax32%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7.5%
2 – 2
7%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 3
4.8%
3 – 2
4.8%
1 – 3
4.7%
3 – 1
4.7%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
3.5%
3 – 3
3.4%
0 – 1
2.9%

Asian Handicap — PSV

Handicap PSV covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 12% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 17% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 17% 23%
+1.5 77% — 23%
+2 77% 12% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

PSV keeps clean sheet
13% ✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
13% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.