PSV vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
PSV vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at Philips Stadion.
Match Details
- Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk
- Assistant 1 Erwin Zeinstra
- Assistant 2 Patrick Inia
6 games this season
🟨 2.7/game
⚽ 9.7 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | PSV | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | AFC Ajax | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 7 | 13 |
| 7 | SBV Excelsior | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | FC Groningen | 7 | 11 |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | SC Heerenveen | 7 | 9 |
| 11 | NEC | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar 1963 | 7 | 5 |
| 14 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | FC Utrecht | 7 | 5 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 4 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 7 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 7 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | AFC Ajax | H | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Mar | RKC Waalwijk | A | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Mar | Arsenal FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 08 Mar | SC Heerenveen | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Mar | Arsenal FC | H | 1–7 | L |
| 01 Mar | Go Ahead Eagles | A | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | PSV | A | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | AZ | H | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Mar | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 1–4 | L |
| 09 Mar | PEC Zwolle | A | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Mar | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Mar | Almere City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| PSV | AFC Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #5 |
| 16 | Points | 14 |
| 7 | Played | 7 |
| 5 / 1 / 1 | W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 1 |
| 24 | Scored | 21 |
| 10 | Conceded | 9 |
| +14 | GD | +12 |
| 2.29 | PPG | 2.00 |
| 71% | Win % | 57% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
PSV this season
PSV this season
29%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
PSV are 3rd (16 pts). AFC Ajax are 5th (14 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
PSV
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
2/–
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AFC Ajax
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
PSV
| Sven Mijnans | 4 G | 1 A |
| Guus Til | 4 G | |
| Ricardo Pepi | 3 G | |
| Sergino Dest | 2 G | 2 A |
| Ruben van Bommel | 2 G | 2 A |
AFC Ajax
| Julian Brandt | 4 G | |
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 3 G | 1 A |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: PSV gets underway.
- 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 15' PSV seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 20' AFC Ajax have won 824 goals from 483 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 30' PSV is showing some good football. However, PSV are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 35' The deadlock is broken! Davy Klaassen gets on the scoresheet on 35 minutes.
- 36' A moment of madness from Brian Brobbey on 36 minutes earns him a card. AFC Ajax will be frustrated.
- 41' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 46' Malik Tillman is replacing Guus Til for the PSV side.
- 51' PSV are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against AFC Ajax's 4-3-3 shape.
- 56' AFC Ajax fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 58' The referee calls foul for Kenneth Taylor. He receives a card.
- 61' The crowd applauds Youri Baas as he leaves the pitch. Daniele Rugani steps in for AFC Ajax.
- 66' Mika Godts has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 67' Bertrand Traore does the damage! The net is bulging and AFC Ajax surge ahead!
- 72' PSV is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 75' Noa Lang is having his name booked by the referee on 75.
- 76' Time for substitution for AFC Ajax. Mika Godts is replaced by Oliver Edvardsen.
- 77' Richie Ledezma is ready to make an impact after coming on for Sergino Dest at the 77 minute mark.
- 80' AFC Ajax manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Owen Wijndal is hanging Davy Klaassen on the field on 80 minute.
- 85' France international Olivier Boscagli has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 86' Another substitution for PSV to replace Mauro Junior by Tygo Land on 86 minute.
- PSV will have plenty to reflect on. AFC Ajax were simply the better side today.
Lineups
PSV Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
17
Mauro Junior ↓ Tygo Land 86'
- 9
-
20
Guus Til ↓ Malik Tillman 46'
- 10
- 18
- 1
- 5
-
8
Sergino Dest ↓ Richie Ledezma 77'
-
23
Joey Veerman ↓ Tyrell Malacia 46'
- 34
- 6
Bench
- 4
-
3
Tyrell Malacia ↑ 46'
- 16
- 2
-
7
Malik Tillman ↑ 46'
- 21
- 39
-
11
Johan Bakayoko ↑ 77'
- 19
-
37
Richie Ledezma ↑ 77'
-
28
Tygo Land ↑ 86'
- 26
AFC Ajax Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
18
Davy Klaassen ↓ Owen Wijndal 80'
- 6
- 23
- 37
- 8
- 9
-
15
Youri Baas ↓ Daniele Rugani 61'
- 16
- 2
- 4
-
11
Mika Godts ↓ Oliver Edvardsen 76'
Bench
-
5
Owen Wijndal ↑ 80'
-
20
Bertrand Traore ↑ 61'
-
24
Daniele Rugani ↑ 61'
- 12
- 21
- 13
- 28
- 51
-
17
Oliver Edvardsen ↑ 76'
- 31
- 36
- 59
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luuk de Jong | 9 |
| Hirving Lozano | 4 |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 |
| Dusan Tadic | 3 |
| Quincy Promes | 3 |
| Eran Zahavi | 3 |
| Steven Berghuis | 2 |
| Mika Godts | 2 |
Head to Head
PSV Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.07
PSV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.09
AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 77% + PSV or AFC Ajax 76%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.16
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 3.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 4.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
Double Chance
PSV or Draw
62%
Draw or AFC Ajax
62%
PSV or AFC Ajax
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AFC Ajax win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7.5%
2 – 2
7%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 3
4.8%
3 – 2
4.8%
1 – 3
4.7%
3 – 1
4.7%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
3.5%
3 – 3
3.4%
0 – 1
2.9%
Asian Handicap — PSV
| Handicap | PSV covers | Push | AFC Ajax covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 12% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 17% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 17% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 12% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
PSV keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
13%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

