Saturday , 14 November 2026

PSV vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
PSV
0 – 2
Full Time
AFC Ajax
Sun 30 Mar 2025 · 12:30 UTC Philips Stadion 34,400 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 35' Davy Klaassen
0–2 67' Bertrand Traore
Y 36' Brian Brobbey
Y 58' Kenneth Taylor
Noa Lang 75' Y

Overview

Match Preview

PSV vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at Philips Stadion.

  • PSV 12 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
  • AFC Ajax 12 games · 25 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

  • Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk
  • Assistant 1 Erwin Zeinstra
  • Assistant 2 Patrick Inia
12 games this season 🟨 4.2/game ⚽ 13.9 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 PSV 12 26
2 Feyenoord Rotterdam 12 25
3 AFC Ajax 12 25
4 FC Twente '65 12 24
5 AZ 12 23
6 SC Heerenveen 12 21
7 Fortuna Sittard 12 20
8 Go Ahead Eagles 12 17
9 FC Groningen 12 15
10 SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 12 15
11 NEC 12 14
12 Sparta Rotterdam 12 12
13 PEC Zwolle 12 12
14 FC Utrecht 12 12
15 SBV Excelsior 12 11
16 Telstar 1963 12 10
17 ADO Den Haag 12 9
18 Willem II Tilburg 12 3

Head-to-Head

5
6
8
PSV 19 games · Avg 3.2 goals AFC Ajax
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-30 PSV 0–2 AFC Ajax 2024-11-02 AFC Ajax 3–2 PSV 2024-02-03 AFC Ajax 1–1 PSV 2023-10-29 PSV 5–2 AFC Ajax 2023-04-23 PSV 3–0 AFC Ajax

Recent Form

PSV
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar AFC Ajax H 0–2 L
15 Mar RKC Waalwijk A 3–0 W
12 Mar Arsenal FC A 2–2 D
08 Mar SC Heerenveen H 2–1 W
04 Mar Arsenal FC H 1–7 L
01 Mar Go Ahead Eagles A 2–3 L
AFC Ajax
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar PSV A 2–0 W
16 Mar AZ H 2–2 D
13 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt A 1–4 L
09 Mar PEC Zwolle A 1–0 W
06 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–2 L
02 Mar Almere City FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

PSV AFC Ajax
#1 Position #3
26 Points 25
12 Played 12
8 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 7 / 4 / 1
40 Scored 32
15 Conceded 15
+25 GD +17
2.17 PPG 2.08
67% Win % 58%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
PSV this season
25% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

PSV are 1st (26 pts). AFC Ajax are 3rd (25 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

PSV
0-15
5/4
16-30
8/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
6/3
61-75
3/–
76+
10/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AFC Ajax
0-15
3/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
8/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

PSV
Sven Mijnans 9 G 2 A
Guus Til 7 G 1 A
Ruben van Bommel 4 G 3 A
Ricardo Pepi 4 G 1 A
Sergino Dest 2 G 2 A
AFC Ajax
Toluwalas Arokodare 7 G 1 A
Julian Brandt 6 G 2 A
Davy Klaassen 3 G 1 A
Jorthy Mokio 3 G 1 A
Kasper Dolberg 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. PSV host AFC Ajax — let the battle begin!
  • 5' It is a cagey affair so far. PSV in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past AFC Ajax's compact 4-3-3.
  • 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His PSV side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 15' Brian Brobbey is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AFC Ajax so far.
  • 20' Netherlands international Steven Berghuis has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
  • 25' AFC Ajax seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 30' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both PSV and AFC Ajax are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 35' Goal! Davy Klaassen scores his 69 goal in 425 matches.
  • 36' Poor challenge from Brian Brobbey. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 41' The 20-year-old Jorrel Hato has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 46' The PSV bench stirs into life. Guus Til is withdrawn and Malik Tillman gets his opportunity.
  • 51' Lucas Rosa has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 11 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 56' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 58' AFC Ajax player sees a card in front of him.
  • 61' The supporters are chanting for Daniele Rugani. He replaces Youri Baas on 61 minute.
  • 66' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 67' What a moment for Bertrand Traore! That strike on 67 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 72' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AFC Ajax needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 75' PSV player sees a card in front of him.
  • 76' The crowd applauds Mika Godts as he leaves the pitch. Oliver Edvardsen steps in for AFC Ajax.
  • 77' Sergino Dest makes way for Richie Ledezma at the 77 minute mark. A tactical switch from PSV.
  • 80' The supporters are chanting for Owen Wijndal. He replaces Davy Klaassen on 80 minute.
  • 85' The travelling AFC Ajax supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 86' Fresh legs for PSV! Tygo Land comes on to replace Mauro Junior.
  • With this win, AFC Ajax is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

PSV Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

AFC Ajax Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.97 PSV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.83 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: PSV or AFC Ajax 75% + Over 2.5 goals 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
PSV40% Draw25% AFC Ajax35%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes72% 0% No28%
Avg goals/match: 3.8
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

PSV or Draw
65%
Draw or AFC Ajax
60%
PSV or AFC Ajax
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
PSV32% Draw39% AFC Ajax29%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
5%
3 – 2
4.6%
2 – 0
4.4%
1 – 3
4.3%
2 – 3
4.2%
1 – 0
3.9%
0 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
3.6%

Asian Handicap — PSV

Handicap PSV covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 12% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 18% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 17% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 11% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

PSV keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
15% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.