AZ vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AZ vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie .
Match Details
- Referee Danny Makkelie
12 games this season
🟨 3.7/game
⚽ 11.9 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | PSV | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | AFC Ajax | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 7 | 13 |
| 7 | SBV Excelsior | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | FC Groningen | 7 | 11 |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | SC Heerenveen | 7 | 9 |
| 11 | NEC | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar 1963 | 7 | 5 |
| 14 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | FC Utrecht | 7 | 5 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 4 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 7 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 7 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb | AFC Ajax | H | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Jan | NEC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 25 Jan | Telstar 1963 | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Jan | SBV Excelsior | H | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Jan | PEC Zwolle | A | 1–3 | L |
| 10 Jan | FC Volendam | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb | AZ | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Feb | SBV Excelsior | A | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Jan | PAE Olympiakos SFP | H | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Jan | FC Volendam | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Jan | Villarreal CF | A | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Jan | Go Ahead Eagles | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| AZ | AFC Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #5 |
| 19 | Points | 14 |
| 7 | Played | 7 |
| 6 / 1 / 0 | W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 1 |
| 18 | Scored | 21 |
| 6 | Conceded | 9 |
| +12 | GD | +12 |
| 2.71 | PPG | 2.00 |
| 86% | Win % | 57% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
AZ this season
AZ this season
29%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
AZ are 1st (19 pts). AFC Ajax are 5th (14 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AZ
0-15
2/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/–
46-60
4/–
61-75
4/1
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AFC Ajax
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AZ
| Ro-Zangelo Daal | 4 G | |
| Mexx Meerdink | 3 G | 2 A |
| Jizz Hornkamp | 2 G | |
| Ayoub Oufkir | 2 G | |
| Calvin Stengs | 1 G | 1 A |
AFC Ajax
| Julian Brandt | 4 G | |
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 3 G | 1 A |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 1 G |
Events
Lineups
AZ Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Vangelis Pavlidis | 4 |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 |
| Myron Boadu | 2 |
| Ruben van Bommel | 2 |
| Zakaria Aboukhlal | 1 |
| Troy Parrott | 1 |
| Ricardo van Rhijn | 1 |
| Edson Alvarez | 1 |
Head to Head
AZ Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.74
AZ xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29
AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.03
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
AZ or Draw
73%
Draw or AFC Ajax
52%
AZ or AFC Ajax
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 0
7.6%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 1
5.4%
3 – 1
5.3%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — AZ
| Handicap | AZ covers | Push | AFC Ajax covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 14% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 21% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 15% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
AZ keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

