Sunday , 4 October 2026

AFC Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
Sat 14 Feb 2026 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard — Eredivisie .

Match Details

  • Referee Rob Dieperink

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb Fortuna Sittard H 4–1 W
08 Feb AZ A 1–1 D
01 Feb SBV Excelsior A 2–2 D
28 Jan PAE Olympiakos SFP H 1–2 L
24 Jan FC Volendam H 2–0 W
20 Jan Villarreal CF A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb AFC Ajax A 1–4 L
07 Feb Sparta Rotterdam H 2–2 D
01 Feb Heracles Almelo A 1–2 L
25 Jan FC Groningen A 2–1 W
17 Jan PSV H 1–2 L
11 Jan Go Ahead Eagles A 2–2 D

Season Stats

AFC Ajax Fortuna Sittard
#5 Position #6
14 Points 13
7 Played 7
4 / 2 / 1 W / D / L 4 / 1 / 2
21 Scored 13
9 Conceded 14
+12 GD -1
2.00 PPG 1.86
57% Win % 57%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
81% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
14% Clean Sheets
Fortuna Sittard this season

AFC Ajax are 5th (14 pts). Fortuna Sittard are 6th (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Ajax
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fortuna Sittard
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/3
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between AFC Ajax and Fortuna Sittard.
  • With this win, AFC Ajax is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

AFC Ajax Lineups

Fortuna Sittard Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.27 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15 Fortuna Sittard xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 80% + AFC Ajax to win 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax73% Draw15% Fortuna Sittard12%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 4.42
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 80%
20%
± 3.5 62%
38%
± 4.5 44%
56%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
88%
Draw or Fortuna Sittard
27%
AFC Ajax or Fortuna Sittard
85%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax59% Draw30% Fortuna Sittard11%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 1
7.9%
2 – 1
7.4%
3 – 0
7.1%
2 – 0
6.8%
4 – 1
Actual
4 – 0
5.7%
1 – 1
5.3%
3 – 2
4.5%
5 – 1
4.2%
2 – 2
4.2%
1 – 0
4%
5 – 0
3.7%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push Fortuna Sittard covers
-2.5 39% — 61%
-2 39% 20% 41%
-1.5 59% — 41%
-1 59% 18% 24%
-0.5 76% — 24%
+0.5 90% — 10%
+1 90% 6% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Fortuna Sittard keeps clean sheet
5% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.