Bologna FC 1909 vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Bologna FC 1909 vs AC Milan — Serie A at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara.
- Bologna FC 1909 11 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
- AC Milan 11 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Maurizio Mariani
- Assistant 1 Alessandro Lo Cicero
- Assistant 2 Vito Mastrodonato
7 games this season
🟨 3.7/game
⚽ 11.0 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SS Lazio | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Como 1907 | 11 | 23 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 11 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari Calcio | 11 | 16 |
| 10 | SSC Napoli | 11 | 15 |
| 11 | Torino FC | 11 | 14 |
| 12 | Atalanta BC | 11 | 14 |
| 13 | Genoa CFC | 11 | 13 |
| 14 | US Lecce | 11 | 10 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 11 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 11 | 8 |
| 18 | AC Monza | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia FC | 11 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese Calcio | 11 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb | AC Milan | H | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Feb | Parma Calcio 1913 | A | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Feb | Torino FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 09 Feb | US Lecce | A | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Feb | Como 1907 | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Jan | Sporting Clube de Portugal | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb | Bologna FC 1909 | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Feb | Torino FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Feb | Feyenoord Rotterdam | H | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Feb | Hellas Verona FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Feb | Feyenoord Rotterdam | A | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Feb | Empoli FC | A | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Bologna FC 1909 | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #4 |
| 17 | Points | 24 |
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 5 / 2 / 4 | W / D / L | 7 / 3 / 1 |
| 16 | Scored | 23 |
| 14 | Conceded | 13 |
| +2 | GD | +10 |
| 1.55 | PPG | 2.18 |
| 45% | Win % | 64% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
9%
Clean Sheets
Bologna FC 1909 this season
Bologna FC 1909 this season
27%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
Bologna FC 1909 are 8th (17 pts). AC Milan are 4th (24 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Bologna FC 1909
0-15
3/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/2
61-75
3/3
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Bologna FC 1909
| Federico Bernardeschi | 3 G |
| Samuel Mbangula | 3 G |
AC Milan
| Adrien Rabiot | 5 G | 4 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 5 G | |
| Diego Moreira | 4 G | 3 A |
| Christian Pulisic | 4 G | 1 A |
| Goncalo Ramos | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Bologna FC 1909 launch into their encounter with AC Milan.
- 5' Giovanni Fabbian has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 10' Remo Freuler is a natural midfielder and has been asked to do a very specific job for AC Milan tonight.
- 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 20' It’s high time Paulo Fonseca made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 25' Tijjani Reijnders has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 16 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 30' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 35' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Bologna FC 1909 and AC Milan are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 40' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Bologna FC 1909 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 43' Assisted by Santiago Gimenez with the perfectly-timed delivery and Rafael Leao makes no mistake. 0-1!
- 47' A meaty challenge results in booking for Theo Hernandez on 47.
- 48' Santiago Castro has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 48 minutes.
- 53' Nicolo Casale has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 53.
- 54' Poor challenge from Malick Thiaw. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 59' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 61' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Joao Felix is replaced by Christian Pulisic.
- 66' AC Milan are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 71' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Bologna FC 1909 and AC Milan are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 72' Tommaso Pobega is replacing Lewis Ferguson for the Bologna FC 1909 side.
- 73' Giovanni Fabbian makes way for Jens Odgaard at the 73 minute mark. A tactical switch from Bologna FC 1909.
- 77' The crowd applauds Santiago Gimenez as he leaves the pitch. Luka Jovic steps in for AC Milan.
- 80' The Bologna FC 1909 bench stirs into life. Santiago Castro is withdrawn and Thijs Dallinga gets his opportunity.
- 82' Sensational shot from Dan Ndoye. Bologna FC 1909 is back in the lead.
- 84' AC Milan ring the changes. Alex Jimenez has done his job and it is now time for Tammy Abraham to step up.
- 89' It is a cagey affair so far. Bologna FC 1909 in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past AC Milan's compact 4-2-3-1.
- It finishes all square. Bologna FC 1909 and AC Milan share the spoils 2-1.
Lineups
Bologna FC 1909 Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 33
- 8
- 1
- 29
- 31
-
19
Lewis Ferguson ↓ Tommaso Pobega 72'
- 11
- 15
- 9
- 30
-
80
Giovanni Fabbian ↓ Jens Odgaard 73'
Bench
- 22
-
14
Davide Calabria ↑ 84'
- 7
-
21
Jens Odgaard ↑ 73'
- 5
- 26
- 20
-
24
Thijs Dallinga ↑ 80'
- 6
-
28
Nicolo Cambiaghi ↑ 80'
-
18
Tommaso Pobega ↑ 72'
- 34
- 17
- 23
Coach
Vincenzo Italiano
AC Milan Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 14
- 29
- 16
- 10
- 19
-
79
Joao Felix ↓ Christian Pulisic 61'
- 31
- 28
- 80
-
7
Santiago Gimenez ↓ Luka Jovic 77'
-
20
Alex Jimenez ↓ Tammy Abraham 84'
Bench
-
90
Tammy Abraham ↑ 84'
- 23
-
11
Christian Pulisic ↑ 61'
-
9
Luka Jovic ↑ 77'
- 21
- 99
- 57
- 46
- 42
- 38
- 33
- 73
- 96
Coach
Paulo Fonseca
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 3 |
| Nicola Sansone | 3 |
| Samuel Mbangula | 3 |
| Rafael Leao | 3 |
| Ruben Loftus-Cheek | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Santiago Gimenez | 2 |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 2 |
Head to Head
Bologna FC 1909 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.45
Bologna FC 1909 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47
AC Milan xG
I would bet for:
Bologna FC 1909 or AC Milan 74% + Both teams to score 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Bologna FC 1909 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.92
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
Bologna FC 1909 or Draw
67%
Draw or AC Milan
59%
Bologna FC 1909 or AC Milan
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
7.2%
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 0
6.9%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 0
5.6%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 1
3.9%
2 – 3
3%
Asian Handicap — Bologna FC 1909
| Handicap | Bologna FC 1909 covers | Push | AC Milan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 18% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 19% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Bologna FC 1909 keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

