Thursday , 2 July 2026

Bologna FC 1909 vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Bologna FC 1909
2 – 1
Full Time
AC Milan
Thu 27 Feb 2025 · 19:45 UTC Stadio Renato Dall'Ara 31,784 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 43' Rafael Leao
Santiago Castro 48' 1–1
Dan Ndoye 82' 2–1
Y 47' Theo Hernandez
Nicolo Casale 53' Y
Y 54' Malick Thiaw

Overview

Match Preview

Bologna FC 1909 vs AC Milan — Serie A at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara.

Match Details

  • Referee Maurizio Mariani
  • Assistant 1 Alessandro Lo Cicero
  • Assistant 2 Vito Mastrodonato
14 games this season 🟨 1.0/game ⚽ 4.4 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Internazionale Milano 38 87
2 SSC Napoli 38 76
3 AS Roma 38 73
4 Como 1907 38 71
5 AC Milan 38 70
6 Juventus FC 38 69
7 Atalanta BC 38 59
8 Bologna FC 1909 38 56
9 SS Lazio 38 54
10 Udinese Calcio 38 50
11 US Sassuolo Calcio 38 49
12 Parma Calcio 1913 38 45
13 Torino FC 38 45
14 Cagliari Calcio 38 43
15 ACF Fiorentina 38 42
16 Genoa CFC 38 41
17 US Lecce 38 38
18 US Cremonese 38 34
19 Hellas Verona FC 38 21
20 AC Pisa 1909 38 18

Head-to-Head

5
5
14
Bologna FC 1909 24 games · Avg 3.0 goals AC Milan
Last 5 meetings
2025-02-27 Bologna FC 1909 2–1 AC Milan 2024-01-27 AC Milan 2–2 Bologna FC 1909 2023-08-21 Bologna FC 1909 0–2 AC Milan 2023-04-15 Bologna FC 1909 1–1 AC Milan 2022-08-27 AC Milan 2–0 Bologna FC 1909

Recent Form

Bologna FC 1909
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Feb AC Milan H 2–1 W
22 Feb Parma Calcio 1913 A 0–2 L
14 Feb Torino FC H 3–2 W
09 Feb US Lecce A 0–0 D
01 Feb Como 1907 H 2–0 W
29 Jan Sporting Clube de Portugal A 1–1 D
AC Milan
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Feb Bologna FC 1909 A 1–2 L
22 Feb Torino FC A 1–2 L
18 Feb Feyenoord Rotterdam H 1–1 D
15 Feb Hellas Verona FC H 1–0 W
12 Feb Feyenoord Rotterdam A 0–1 L
08 Feb Empoli FC A 2–0 W

Season Stats

Bologna FC 1909 AC Milan
#8 Position #5
56 Points 70
38 Played 38
16 / 8 / 14 W / D / L 20 / 10 / 8
49 Scored 53
46 Conceded 35
+3 GD +18
1.47 PPG 1.84
42% Win % 53%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Bologna FC 1909 are 8th (56 pts). AC Milan are 5th (70 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Bologna FC 1909 host AC Milan — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' It is a cagey affair so far. Bologna FC 1909 in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past AC Milan's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 15' Bologna FC 1909 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined AC Milan backline.
  • 20' Argentina international Benjamin Dominguez has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 25' Bologna FC 1909 are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against AC Milan's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 30' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Bologna FC 1909 and AC Milan are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 35' AC Milan fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 40' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 43' Brilliant from the ! Rafael Leao makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 43.
  • 47' The referee has no hesitation. Theo Hernandez is booked for AC Milan — card on 47.
  • 48' The Argentina Santiago Castro breaks the deadlock on 48 minutes. 1-1!
  • 53' It’s gonna be a card for Nicolo Casale.
  • 54' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Malick Thiaw on 54 minutes.
  • 59' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 61' A tactical swap from AC Milan — Christian Pulisic on, Joao Felix off on 61 minutes.
  • 66' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Bologna FC 1909 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 71' Dan Ndoye has been relatively quiet despite scoring 13 goals in his last 442 appearances.
  • 72' A change in the Bologna FC 1909 ranks — Lewis Ferguson exits the field as Tommaso Pobega enters on 72.
  • 73' The Bologna FC 1909 manager makes a substitution. Giovanni Fabbian departs to be replaced by Jens Odgaard.
  • 77' Luka Jovic is ready to make an impact after coming on for Santiago Gimenez at the 77 minute mark.
  • 80' Thijs Dallinga gets the nod from Bologna FC 1909. He replaces Santiago Castro and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 82' GOAL! Dan Ndoye fires home to make it 2-1!
  • 84' Another change for AC Milan made on 84 minute. Alex Jimenez leaves to be changed by Tammy Abraham.
  • 89' Bologna FC 1909 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Bologna FC 1909 Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Vincenzo Italiano

AC Milan Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Paulo Fonseca

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Nicola Sansone 3
Rafael Leao 3
Zlatan Ibrahimovic 3
Theo Hernandez 2
Santiago Gimenez 2
Ante Rebic 2
Olivier Giroud 2
Davide Calabria 2

Head to Head

2025-02-27 Bologna FC 1909 2–1 AC Milan 2024-01-27 AC Milan 2–2 Bologna FC 1909 2023-08-21 Bologna FC 1909 0–2 AC Milan 2023-04-15 Bologna FC 1909 1–1 AC Milan 2022-08-27 AC Milan 2–0 Bologna FC 1909

Bologna FC 1909 Form

2025-02-27 Bologna FC 1909 2–1 AC Milan W 2025-02-22 Parma Calcio 1913 2–0 Bologna FC 1909 L 2025-02-14 Bologna FC 1909 3–2 Torino FC W 2025-02-09 US Lecce 0–0 Bologna FC 1909 D 2025-02-01 Bologna FC 1909 2–0 Como 1907 W 2025-01-29 Sporting Clube de Portugal 1–1 Bologna FC 1909 D

AC Milan Form

2025-02-27 Bologna FC 1909 2–1 AC Milan L 2025-02-22 Torino FC 2–1 AC Milan L 2025-02-18 AC Milan 1–1 Feyenoord Rotterdam D 2025-02-15 AC Milan 1–0 Hellas Verona FC W 2025-02-12 Feyenoord Rotterdam 1–0 AC Milan L 2025-02-08 Empoli FC 0–2 AC Milan W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.37 Bologna FC 1909 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Bologna FC 1909 or AC Milan 73% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bologna FC 190942% Draw27% AC Milan31%
Actual: Bologna FC 1909 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Bologna FC 1909 or Draw
69%
Draw or AC Milan
58%
Bologna FC 1909 or AC Milan
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Bologna FC 190927% Draw47% AC Milan26%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 0
8.8%
1 – 0
8.3%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 0
6.3%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
3.7%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 0
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Bologna FC 1909

Handicap Bologna FC 1909 covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 19% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 19% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Bologna FC 1909 keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.