Saturday , 14 November 2026

Bologna FC 1909 vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Thu 27 Feb 2025 · 19:45 UTC Stadio Renato Dall'Ara 31,784 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 43' Rafael Leao
Santiago Castro 48' 1–1
Dan Ndoye 82' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Bologna FC 1909 vs AC Milan — Serie A at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara.

Match Details

  • Referee Maurizio Mariani
  • Assistant 1 Alessandro Lo Cicero
  • Assistant 2 Vito Mastrodonato
7 games this season 🟨 3.7/game ⚽ 11.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Feb AC Milan H 2–1 W
22 Feb Parma Calcio 1913 A 0–2 L
14 Feb Torino FC H 3–2 W
09 Feb US Lecce A 0–0 D
01 Feb Como 1907 H 2–0 W
29 Jan Sporting Clube de Portugal A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Feb Bologna FC 1909 A 1–2 L
22 Feb Torino FC A 1–2 L
18 Feb Feyenoord Rotterdam H 1–1 D
15 Feb Hellas Verona FC H 1–0 W
12 Feb Feyenoord Rotterdam A 0–1 L
08 Feb Empoli FC A 2–0 W

Season Stats

Bologna FC 1909 AC Milan
#8 Position #4
17 Points 24
11 Played 11
5 / 2 / 4 W / D / L 7 / 3 / 1
16 Scored 23
14 Conceded 13
+2 GD +10
1.55 PPG 2.18
45% Win % 64%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
9% Clean Sheets
Bologna FC 1909 this season
27% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

Bologna FC 1909 are 8th (17 pts). AC Milan are 4th (24 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bologna FC 1909
0-15
3/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/2
61-75
3/3
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Bologna FC 1909
Federico Bernardeschi 3 G
Samuel Mbangula 3 G
AC Milan
Adrien Rabiot 5 G 4 A
Alphadjo Cisse 5 G
Diego Moreira 4 G 3 A
Christian Pulisic 4 G 1 A
Goncalo Ramos 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.45 Bologna FC 1909 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Bologna FC 1909 or AC Milan 74% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bologna FC 190941% Draw26% AC Milan33%
Actual: Bologna FC 1909 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.92
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Bologna FC 1909 or Draw
67%
Draw or AC Milan
59%
Bologna FC 1909 or AC Milan
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Bologna FC 190927% Draw45% AC Milan28%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
7.2%
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 0
6.9%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 0
5.6%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 1
3.9%
2 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — Bologna FC 1909

Handicap Bologna FC 1909 covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 18% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 19% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Bologna FC 1909 keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.