AC Milan vs SS Lazio, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Gianluca Manganiello
- Assistant 1 Matteo Passeri
- Assistant 2 Alessandro Costanzo
3 games this season
🟨 2.0/game
⚽ 4.7 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SS Lazio | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Como 1907 | 11 | 23 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 11 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari Calcio | 11 | 16 |
| 10 | SSC Napoli | 11 | 15 |
| 11 | Torino FC | 11 | 14 |
| 12 | Atalanta BC | 11 | 14 |
| 13 | Genoa CFC | 11 | 13 |
| 14 | US Lecce | 11 | 10 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 11 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 11 | 8 |
| 18 | AC Monza | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia FC | 11 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese Calcio | 11 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | SS Lazio | H | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Feb | Bologna FC 1909 | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Feb | Torino FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Feb | Feyenoord Rotterdam | H | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Feb | Hellas Verona FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Feb | Feyenoord Rotterdam | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | AC Milan | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Feb | Venezia FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Feb | SSC Napoli | H | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Feb | AC Monza | H | 5–1 | W |
| 03 Feb | Cagliari Calcio | A | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Jan | Sporting Clube de Braga | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | SS Lazio | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #1 |
| 24 | Points | 29 |
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 7 / 3 / 1 | W / D / L | 9 / 2 / 0 |
| 23 | Scored | 25 |
| 13 | Conceded | 9 |
| +10 | GD | +16 |
| 2.18 | PPG | 2.64 |
| 64% | Win % | 82% |
Key Stats
48%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
36%
Clean Sheets
SS Lazio this season
SS Lazio this season
AC Milan are 4th (24 pts). SS Lazio are 1st (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SS Lazio
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
5/2
61-75
3/2
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AC Milan
| Adrien Rabiot | 5 G | 4 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 5 G | |
| Diego Moreira | 4 G | 3 A |
| Christian Pulisic | 4 G | 1 A |
| Goncalo Ramos | 2 G | 2 A |
SS Lazio
| Tijjani Noslin | 4 G | 4 A |
| Gustav Isaksen | 4 G | 1 A |
| Davide Frattesi | 4 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. AC Milan is hosting SS Lazio for another epic battle.
- 5' Yunus Musah, a USA midfielder, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 10' It looks surprising SS Lazio does not make any changes. Boulaye Dia has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 15' Denmark international Gustav Isaksen has been a key figure this campaign — 4 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 20' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Matteo Gabbia made 530 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 28' GOAL! Mattia Zaccagni scores on 28.
- 33' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 37' AC Milan ring the changes. Yunus Musah has done his job and it is now time for Joao Felix to step up.
- 42' It is a cagey affair so far. AC Milan in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past SS Lazio's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 46' SS Lazio manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Manuel Lazzari is hanging Adam Marusic on the field on 46 minute.
- 51' Mike Maignan is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SS Lazio so far.
- 56' Over 56 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 58' It is a substitution in SS Lazio team. Loum Tchaouna is replaced by Matias Vecino on 58 minute.
- 63' SS Lazio has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
- 67' That looks like a foul for a card for Strahinja Pavlovic.
- 70' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Christian Pulisic is replaced by Samuel Chukwueze.
- 75' A quiet spell here at Giuseppe Meazza. SS Lazio seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 76' It’s a booking for AC Milan player. Santiago Gimenez gets a card.
- 78' Fresh legs for SS Lazio! Patric comes on to replace Samuel Gigot.
- 79' The supporters are chanting for Pedro. He replaces Mattia Zaccagni on 79 minute.
- 80' The referee shows AC Milan player a card on 80.
- 83' Luka Jovic is replacing Matteo Gabbia for the AC Milan side.
- 84' The Nigeria forward Samuel Chukwueze breaks the deadlock on 84 minutes. 1-1!
- 88' Tijjani Noslin is replacing Boulaye Dia for the SS Lazio side.
- 90' It’s a booking for SS Lazio player. Matias Vecino gets a card.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 14
-
29
Youssouf Fofana ↓ Malick Thiaw 70'
- 16
- 10
- 11
- 19
- 31
-
46
Matteo Gabbia ↓ Luka Jovic 83'
-
80
Yunus Musah ↓ Joao Felix 37'
- 7
-
20
Alex Jimenez ↓ Kyle Walker 46'
Bench
- 90
-
32
Kyle Walker ↑ 46'
- 23
-
9
Luka Jovic ↑ 83'
-
21
Samuel Chukwueze ↑ 70'
- 99
- 57
-
79
Joao Felix ↑ 37'
-
28
Malick Thiaw ↑ 70'
- 42
- 38
- 33
- 73
- 96
Coach
Sergio Conceicao
SS Lazio Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
-
10
Mattia Zaccagni ↓ Pedro 79'
-
77
Adam Marusic ↓ Manuel Lazzari 46'
- 94
-
2
Samuel Gigot ↓ Patric 78'
-
19
Boulaye Dia ↓ Tijjani Noslin 88'
- 6
- 30
- 18
-
20
Loum Tchaouna ↓ Matias Vecino 58'
- 34
Bench
-
9
Pedro ↑ 79'
-
5
Matias Vecino ↑ 58'
-
4
Patric ↑ 78'
-
29
Manuel Lazzari ↑ 46'
- 35
- 55
-
14
Tijjani Noslin ↑ 88'
- 21
- 27
- 25
Coach
Marco Baroni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ciro Immobile | 4 |
| Joaquin Correa | 4 |
| Franck Kessie | 2 |
| Mattia Zaccagni | 2 |
| Ante Rebic | 2 |
| Sergej Milinkovic-Savic | 2 |
| Diego Moreira | 2 |
| Hakan Calhanoglu | 2 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.23
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35
SS Lazio xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan or SS Lazio 70%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SS Lazio win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.58
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
63%
Draw or SS Lazio
67%
AC Milan or SS Lazio
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SS Lazio win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 0
9.6%
0 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
3.1%
0 – 3
3%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | SS Lazio covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 9% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 18% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 20% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
SS Lazio keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.