AC Milan vs SS Lazio, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Gianluca Manganiello
- Assistant 1 Matteo Passeri
- Assistant 2 Alessandro Costanzo
7 games this season
🟨 3.0/game
⚽ 12.3 goals/game
🟥 4 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | SS Lazio | H | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Feb | Bologna FC 1909 | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Feb | Torino FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Feb | Feyenoord Rotterdam | H | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Feb | Hellas Verona FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Feb | Feyenoord Rotterdam | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | AC Milan | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Feb | Venezia FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Feb | SSC Napoli | H | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Feb | AC Monza | H | 5–1 | W |
| 03 Feb | Cagliari Calcio | A | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Jan | Sporting Clube de Braga | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | SS Lazio | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #9 |
| 70 | Points | 54 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 20 / 10 / 8 | W / D / L | 14 / 12 / 12 |
| 53 | Scored | 41 |
| 35 | Conceded | 40 |
| +18 | GD | +1 |
| 1.84 | PPG | 1.42 |
| 53% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
46%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). SS Lazio are 9th (54 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Giuseppe Meazza. AC Milan are looking to make home advantage count against SS Lazio.
- 5' AC Milan currently sit 8 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 10' It looks surprising AC Milan does not make any changes. Matteo Gabbia has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Youssouf Fofana, as he is very good at scoring at Giuseppe Meazza with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 20' AC Milan are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 25' Both keepers have barely been tested. AC Milan and SS Lazio are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 28' Mattia Zaccagni makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and SS Lazio are in front.
- 33' The travelling SS Lazio supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 37' The supporters are chanting for Joao Felix. He replaces Yunus Musah on 37 minute.
- 42' AC Milan are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 46' A change in the SS Lazio ranks — Adam Marusic exits the field as Manuel Lazzari enters on 46.
- 51' The energy levels are beginning to show. Sergio Conceicao might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 56' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AC Milan side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 58' SS Lazio make a change. Loum Tchaouna trudges off to be replaced by Matias Vecino on 58 minutes.
- 63' AC Milan seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 67' Controversy at the stadium! Strahinja Pavlovic argues furiously but the card stands.
- 70' Samuel Chukwueze is replacing Christian Pulisic for the AC Milan side.
- 75' The 33-year-old Patric has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 76' It’s a booking for AC Milan player. Santiago Gimenez gets a card.
- 78' SS Lazio manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Patric is hanging Samuel Gigot on the field on 78 minute.
- 79' A tactical swap from SS Lazio — Pedro on, Mattia Zaccagni off on 79 minutes.
- 80' Controversy at the stadium! Rafael Leao argues furiously but the card stands.
- 83' A tactical swap from AC Milan — Luka Jovic on, Matteo Gabbia off on 83 minutes.
- 84' GOAL! Samuel Chukwueze scores on 84. Assisted by Rafael Leao
- 88' Tijjani Noslin is ready to make an impact after coming on for Boulaye Dia at the 88 minute mark.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Matias Vecino.
- The points are shared — AC Milan 1-2 SS Lazio. Honours even.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 14
-
29
Youssouf Fofana ↓ Malick Thiaw 70'
- 16
- 10
- 11
- 19
- 31
-
46
Matteo Gabbia ↓ Luka Jovic 83'
-
80
Yunus Musah ↓ Joao Felix 37'
- 7
-
20
Alex Jimenez ↓ Kyle Walker 46'
Bench
- 90
-
32
Kyle Walker ↑ 46'
- 23
-
9
Luka Jovic ↑ 83'
-
21
Samuel Chukwueze ↑ 70'
- 99
- 57
-
79
Joao Felix ↑ 37'
-
28
Malick Thiaw ↑ 70'
- 42
- 38
- 33
- 73
- 96
Coach
Sergio Conceicao
SS Lazio Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
-
10
Mattia Zaccagni ↓ Pedro 79'
-
77
Adam Marusic ↓ Manuel Lazzari 46'
- 94
-
2
Samuel Gigot ↓ Patric 78'
-
19
Boulaye Dia ↓ Tijjani Noslin 88'
- 6
- 30
- 18
-
20
Loum Tchaouna ↓ Matias Vecino 58'
- 34
Bench
-
9
Pedro ↑ 79'
-
5
Matias Vecino ↑ 58'
-
4
Patric ↑ 78'
-
29
Manuel Lazzari ↑ 46'
- 35
- 55
-
14
Tijjani Noslin ↑ 88'
- 21
- 27
- 25
Coach
Marco Baroni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joaquin Correa | 4 |
| Ciro Immobile | 4 |
| Rafael Leao | 2 |
| Franck Kessie | 2 |
| Mattia Zaccagni | 2 |
| Ante Rebic | 2 |
| Sergej Milinkovic-Savic | 2 |
| Hakan Calhanoglu | 2 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.29
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92
SS Lazio xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: SS Lazio win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
72%
Draw or SS Lazio
59%
AC Milan or SS Lazio
69%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SS Lazio win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
13.3%
1 – 0
13%
0 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
8.8%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
4.4%
2 – 2
3.8%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 1
3.6%
1 – 3
1.8%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | SS Lazio covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 13% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 23% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 16% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 7% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
40%
✓
SS Lazio keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.