AC Milan vs SS Lazio, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Serie A · 2024-25

AC Milan

1 – 2

Full Time

SS Lazio

Sun 2 Mar 2025 · 19:45 UTC Giuseppe Meazza 65,969 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 28' Mattia Zaccagni

Samuel Chukwueze 84' 1–1

1–2 90+8' Pedro pen

Strahinja Pavlovic 67' R

Santiago Gimenez 76' Y

Rafael Leao 80' Y

Y 90' Matias Vecino

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs SS Lazio — Serie A at Giuseppe Meazza.

AC Milan 5 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
SS Lazio 5 games · 13 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Gianluca Manganiello
Assistant 1 Matteo Passeri
Assistant 2 Alessandro Costanzo

3 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 4.7 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	13
2	FC Internazionale Milano	5	13
3	SS Lazio	5	13
4	Cagliari Calcio	5	12
5	AC Milan	5	11
6	Frosinone Calcio	5	10
7	Juventus FC	5	10
8	Como 1907	5	10
9	SSC Napoli	5	7
10	US Sassuolo Calcio	5	7
11	Atalanta BC	5	6
12	US Lecce	5	6
13	Udinese Calcio	5	4
14	Torino FC	5	4
15	Parma Calcio 1913	5	4
16	AC Monza	5	4
17	ACF Fiorentina	5	4
18	Bologna FC 1909	5	2
19	Genoa CFC	5	1
20	Venezia FC	5	0

Head-to-Head

AC Milan 25 games · Avg 2.7 goals SS Lazio

Last 5 meetings

2025-03-02 AC Milan 1–2 SS Lazio 2024-08-31 SS Lazio 2–2 AC Milan 2024-03-01 SS Lazio 0–1 AC Milan 2023-09-30 AC Milan 2–0 SS Lazio 2023-05-06 AC Milan 2–0 SS Lazio

Recent Form

AC Milan

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Mar	SS Lazio	H	1–2	L
27 Feb	Bologna FC 1909	A	1–2	L
22 Feb	Torino FC	A	1–2	L
18 Feb	Feyenoord Rotterdam	H	1–1	D
15 Feb	Hellas Verona FC	H	1–0	W
12 Feb	Feyenoord Rotterdam	A	0–1	L

SS Lazio

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Mar	AC Milan	A	2–1	W
22 Feb	Venezia FC	A	0–0	D
15 Feb	SSC Napoli	H	2–2	D
09 Feb	AC Monza	H	5–1	W
03 Feb	Cagliari Calcio	A	2–1	W
30 Jan	Sporting Clube de Braga	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

AC Milan		SS Lazio
#5	Position	#3
11	Points	13
5	Played	5
3 / 2 / 0	W / D / L	4 / 1 / 0
10	Scored	8
4	Conceded	3
+6	GD	+5
2.20	PPG	2.60
60%	Win %	80%

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

60% Clean Sheets
SS Lazio this season

AC Milan are 5th (11 pts). SS Lazio are 3rd (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/–

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/–

61-75

8/–

76+

–/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

SS Lazio

0-15

1/–

16-30

1/–

31-45

1/–

46-60

3/1

61-75

1/2

76+

1/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AC Milan

Diego Moreira	3 G
Adrien Rabiot	2 G	2 A
Alphadjo Cisse	2 G
Goncalo Ramos	1 G	1 A

SS Lazio

Davide Frattesi	3 G
Tijjani Noslin	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to Giuseppe Meazza that hosts another battle between AC Milan and SS Lazio.
5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
15' SS Lazio seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AC Milan that had 518 games and scored 604 goals.
25' Gustav Isaksen has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
28' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Mattia Zaccagni makes no mistake. 0-1!
33' AC Milan currently sit 8 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
37' Another change for AC Milan made on 37 minute. Yunus Musah leaves to be changed by Joao Felix.
42' Loum Tchaouna is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SS Lazio so far.
46' Manuel Lazzari is replacing Adam Marusic for the SS Lazio side.
51' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
56' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AC Milan side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
58' Matias Vecino has so much to prove this time. He replaces Loum Tchaouna on 58 minute.
63' The travelling SS Lazio supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
67' Strahinja Pavlovic was booked on 67.
70' Christian Pulisic makes way for Samuel Chukwueze at the 70 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Milan.
75' The 23-year-old Yunus Musah has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
76' The referee shows AC Milan player a card on 76.
78' Patric has so much to prove this time. He replaces Samuel Gigot on 78 minute.
79' A tactical swap from SS Lazio — Pedro on, Mattia Zaccagni off on 79 minutes.
80' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Rafael Leao on 80 minutes.
83' AC Milan ring the changes. Matteo Gabbia has done his job and it is now time for Luka Jovic to step up.
84' Samuel Chukwueze doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
88' A tactical swap from SS Lazio — Tijjani Noslin on, Boulaye Dia off on 88 minutes.
90' Matias Vecino catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
With this win, SS Lazio is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

14
Tijjani Reijnders
29
Youssouf Fofana ↓ Malick Thiaw 70'
16
Mike Maignan
10
Rafael Leao
11
Christian Pulisic ↓ Samuel Chukwueze 70'
19
Theo Hernandez
31
Strahinja Pavlovic
46
Matteo Gabbia ↓ Luka Jovic 83'
80
Yunus Musah ↓ Joao Felix 37'
7
Santiago Gimenez
20
Alex Jimenez ↓ Kyle Walker 46'

Bench

Coach Sergio Conceicao

SS Lazio Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marco Baroni

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ciro Immobile	4
Joaquin Correa	4
Franck Kessie	2
Mattia Zaccagni	2
Ante Rebic	2
Sergej Milinkovic-Savic	2
Diego Moreira	2
Hakan Calhanoglu	2

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

0 / 4

1.07 AC Milan xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.95 SS Lazio xG

I would bet for: AC Milan or Draw 69% + Under 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

AC Milan36% Draw33% SS Lazio31%

Actual: SS Lazio win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes41% 0% No59%

Avg goals/match: 2.02

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	84%	16%
± 1.5	60%	40%
± 2.5	33%	67%
± 3.5	15%	85%
± 4.5	6%	94%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw

69%

Draw or SS Lazio

64%

AC Milan or SS Lazio

67%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

AC Milan25% Draw54% SS Lazio21%

Actual: SS Lazio win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

15.7%

1 – 1

14.4%

1 – 0

12.9%

0 – 1

11.3%

2 – 0

7.2%

2 – 1

1 – 2

Actual

0 – 2

5.7%

2 – 2

3.5%

3 – 1

2.6%

3 – 0

2.5%

1 – 3

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap	AC Milan covers	Push	SS Lazio covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	10%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	21%	64%
-0.5	36%	—	64%
+0.5	70%	—	30%
+1	70%	19%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	8%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet

39% ✓

SS Lazio keeps clean sheet

35% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

AC Milan vs SS Lazio, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Match Details

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Season Stats

Key Stats

Goal Timing (This Season)

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

SS Lazio Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

AC Milan Form

SS Lazio Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Clean Sheet