Sunday , 16 August 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 13 Sep 2025 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB LeipzigBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Sven Jablonski
7 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 1.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep RB Leipzig H 0–1 L
31 Aug VfL Wolfsburg A 1–1 D
24 Aug 1. FC Köln H 0–1 L
18 Aug SG Dynamo Dresden A 1–0 W
17 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–2 D
10 May VfL Bochum 1848 A 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–0 W
30 Aug 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–0 W
22 Aug FC Bayern München A 0–6 L
16 Aug SV Sandhausen 1916 A 4–2 W
17 May VfB Stuttgart H 2–3 L
10 May SV Werder Bremen A 0–0 D

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 RB Leipzig
#16 Position #9
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts). RB Leipzig are 9th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.56 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.56 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 89% + Under — clean sheet likely 79%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0529% Draw42% RB Leipzig29%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes21% 0% No79%
Avg goals/match: 1.12
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 64%
36%
± 1.5 32%
68%
± 2.5 11%
89%
± 3.5 3%
97%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
72%
Draw or RB Leipzig
71%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or RB Leipzig
58%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0515% Draw71% RB Leipzig14%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
35.6%
1 – 0
16.4%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 0
4.5%
0 – 2
4.5%
2 – 1
3.1%
1 – 2
3.1%
2 – 2
1%
3 – 0
0.8%
0 – 3
0.8%
3 – 1
0.6%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 20% 74%
-0.5 26% 74%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 20% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
58%
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
58%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.