Wednesday , 30 September 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 13 Sep 2025 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Sven Jablonski
3 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 6.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep RB Leipzig H 0–1 L
31 Aug VfL Wolfsburg A 1–1 D
24 Aug 1. FC Koln H 0–1 L
18 Aug SG Dynamo Dresden A 1–0 W
17 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–2 D
10 May VfL Bochum 1848 A 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–0 W
30 Aug 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–0 W
22 Aug FC Bayern Munchen A 0–6 L
16 Aug SV Sandhausen 1916 A 4–2 W
17 May VfB Stuttgart H 2–3 L
10 May SV Werder Bremen A 0–0 D

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 RB Leipzig
#6 Position #9
7 Points 6
4 Played 4
2 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 2 / 0 / 2
10 Scored 9
6 Conceded 5
+4 GD +4
1.75 PPG 1.50
50% Win % 50%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
50% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts). RB Leipzig are 9th (6 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G
RB Leipzig
Antonio Nusa 2 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G
Rocco Reitz 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: RB Leipzig gets underway.
  • RB Leipzig celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.5 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or RB Leipzig 72% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0538% Draw28% RB Leipzig34%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.91
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
66%
Draw or RB Leipzig
62%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or RB Leipzig
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0529% Draw45% RB Leipzig26%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7.8%
1 – 0
7.3%
0 – 0
7.2%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 19% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 18% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
23% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.