1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga .
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
- RB Leipzig 4 games · 6 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Sven Jablonski
3 games this season
🟨 1.3/game
⚽ 6.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Bayern Munchen | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Koln | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep | RB Leipzig | H | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Aug | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Aug | 1. FC Koln | H | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Aug | SG Dynamo Dresden | A | 1–0 | W |
| 17 May | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 2–2 | D |
| 10 May | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 4–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | FC Bayern Munchen | A | 0–6 | L |
| 16 Aug | SV Sandhausen 1916 | A | 4–2 | W |
| 17 May | VfB Stuttgart | H | 2–3 | L |
| 10 May | SV Werder Bremen | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #9 |
| 7 | Points | 6 |
| 4 | Played | 4 |
| 2 / 1 / 1 | W / D / L | 2 / 0 / 2 |
| 10 | Scored | 9 |
| 6 | Conceded | 5 |
| +4 | GD | +4 |
| 1.75 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 50% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
50%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts). RB Leipzig are 9th (6 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 4 G | |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 3 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
RB Leipzig
| Antonio Nusa | 2 G | 2 A |
| Ridle Baku | 2 G | |
| Rocco Reitz | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: RB Leipzig gets underway.
- RB Leipzig celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
RB Leipzig Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Timo Werner | 9 |
| Yussuf Poulsen | 5 |
| Moussa Niakhate | 4 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 3 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 3 |
| Marcel Halstenberg | 2 |
| Marcel Sabitzer | 2 |
| Karim Onisiwo | 2 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.5
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41
RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for:
1. FSV Mainz 05 or RB Leipzig 72% + Both teams to score 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: RB Leipzig win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.91
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
66%
Draw or RB Leipzig
62%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or RB Leipzig
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: RB Leipzig win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7.8%
1 – 0
7.3%
0 – 0
7.2%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 2
3%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | RB Leipzig covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 19% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 18% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
23%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

