1. FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Koln, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

1. FSV Mainz 05

0 – 1

Full Time

1. FC Koln

Sun 24 Aug 2025 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

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1. FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Koln — Bundesliga .

1. FSV Mainz 05 3 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
1. FC Koln 3 games · 4 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Tobias Stieler

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	SC Freiburg	3	9
2	Borussia Dortmund	3	9
3	FC Augsburg	3	7
4	FC Bayern Munchen	3	7
5	RB Leipzig	3	6
6	SV 07 Elversberg	3	6
7	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	3	4
8	1. FSV Mainz 05	3	4
9	Eintracht Frankfurt	3	4
10	SV Werder Bremen	3	4
11	FC Schalke 04	3	4
12	1. FC Koln	3	4
13	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	3	3
14	VfB Stuttgart	3	3
15	SC Paderborn 07	3	1
16	1. FC Union Berlin	3	1
17	Borussia Monchengladbach	3	0
18	Hamburger SV	3	0

Head-to-Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 16 games · Avg 2.6 goals 1. FC Koln

Last 5 meetings

2025-08-24 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 1. FC Koln 2024-04-28 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 1. FC Koln 2023-12-10 1. FC Koln 0–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-04-15 1. FC Koln 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2022-10-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 5–0 1. FC Koln

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Aug	1. FC Koln	H	0–1	L
18 Aug	SG Dynamo Dresden	A	1–0	W
17 May	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	2–2	D
10 May	VfL Bochum 1848	A	4–1	W
04 May	Eintracht Frankfurt	H	1–1	D
26 Apr	FC Bayern Munchen	A	0–3	L

1. FC Koln

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Aug	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	1–0	W
17 Aug	SSV Jahn Regensburg	A	2–1	W
18 May	1. FC Kaiserslautern	H	4–0	W
09 May	1. FC Nurnberg	A	2–1	W
03 May	SSV Jahn Regensburg	H	1–1	D
27 Apr	Hannover 96	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05		1. FC Koln
#8	Position	#12
4	Points	4
3	Played	3
1 / 1 / 1	W / D / L	1 / 1 / 1
6	Scored	5
3	Conceded	7
+3	GD	-2
1.33	PPG	1.33
33%	Win %	33%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

67% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

0% Clean Sheets
1. FC Koln this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 8th (4 pts). 1. FC Koln are 12th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/–

31-45

1/1

46-60

1/1

61-75

–/–

76+

3/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

1. FC Koln

0-15

1/–

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/1

46-60

1/1

61-75

1/3

76+

1/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05

Phillip Tietz	3 G
Sheraldo Becker	1 G	2 A
Philipp Mwene	1 G	1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer	1 G

1. FC Koln

Thijs Dallinga	2 G
Said El Mala	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
Game over. The scoreline of 0-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

1. FC Koln Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jonathan Burkardt	3
Karim Onisiwo	3
Leandro Barreiro Martins	2
Ellyes Skhiri	2
Jean-Paul Boetius	2
Dejan Ljubicic	2
Florian Kainz	2
Anton Stach	1

Head to Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2025-08-24 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 1. FC Koln L 2025-08-18 SG Dynamo Dresden 0–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-05-17 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D 2025-05-10 VfL Bochum 1848 1–4 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-05-04 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt D 2025-04-26 FC Bayern Munchen 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L

1. FC Koln Form

2025-08-24 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 1. FC Koln W 2025-08-17 SSV Jahn Regensburg 1–2 1. FC Koln W 2025-05-18 1. FC Koln 4–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern W 2025-05-09 1. FC Nurnberg 1–2 1. FC Koln W 2025-05-03 1. FC Koln 1–1 SSV Jahn Regensburg D 2025-04-27 Hannover 96 1–0 1. FC Koln L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.92 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.96 1. FC Koln xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong

1. FSV Mainz 0551% Draw26% 1. FC Koln23%

Actual: 1. FC Koln win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes53% 0% No47%

Avg goals/match: 2.88

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	78%	22%
± 2.5	54%	46%
± 3.5	33%	67%
± 4.5	17%	83%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw

77%

Draw or 1. FC Koln

49%

1. FSV Mainz 05 or 1. FC Koln

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

1. FSV Mainz 0542% Draw43% 1. FC Koln15%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.2%

2 – 0

10.2%

1 – 0

10%

2 – 1

9.6%

0 – 0

7.3%

3 – 0

6.4%

3 – 1

6.1%

1 – 2

4.8%

2 – 2

4.6%

0 – 1

Actual

4 – 0

3.1%

3 – 2

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers	Push	1. FC Koln covers
-2.5	17%	—	83%
-2	17%	18%	65%
-1.5	35%	—	65%
-1	35%	23%	42%
-0.5	58%	—	42%
+0.5	83%	—	17%
+1	83%	11%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

39% ✓

1. FC Koln keeps clean sheet

16% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.