1. FC Nurnberg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, 2017

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1. Bundesliga 2017/18 · 2017

1. FC Nurnberg

1 – 0

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Sun 27 Aug 2017 · 16:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Nurnberg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga .

1. FC Nurnberg 0 games · 0 pts
1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

1. FC Nurnberg 3.30

Draw 3.40

1. FSV Mainz 05 2.20

Head-to-Head

1. FC Nurnberg 8 games · Avg 2.5 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2017-08-27 1. FC Nurnberg 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2016-04-30 1. FC Nurnberg 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2015-12-04 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 1. FC Nurnberg 2015-01-31 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–0 1. FC Nurnberg 2014-08-23 1. FC Nurnberg 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

1. FC Nurnberg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Aug	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	1–0	W
19 Aug	SV Linx 1949	A	1–0	W
13 Aug	VBV De Graafschap	A	6–2	W
21 May	SSV Jahn Regensburg	A	1–1	D
14 May	FC Erzgebirge Aue	H	1–0	W
05 May	1. FC Lok Stendal	A	2–0	W

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Aug	1. FC Nurnberg	A	0–1	L
19 Aug	TuS Erndtebruck	H	2–0	W
14 Aug	CD Feirense	A	2–0	W
20 May	1. FC Koln	A	1–1	D
13 May	TuS Dassendorf	H	1–1	D
07 May	Hamburger SV	A	0–2	L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. 1. FSV Mainz 05 get us underway at .
1. FSV Mainz 05 will have plenty to reflect on. 1. FC Nurnberg were simply the better side today.

Lineups

1. FC Nurnberg Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Robin Quaison	1
Jean-Philippe Mateta	1
Mikael Ishak	1
Jean-Philippe Mateta	1
Mikael Ishak	1
Georg Margreitter	1
Adam Zrelak	1
Daniel Brosinski	1

Head to Head

1. FC Nurnberg Form

2017-08-27 1. FC Nurnberg 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2017-08-19 SV Linx 1949 0–1 1. FC Nurnberg W 2017-08-13 VBV De Graafschap 2–6 1. FC Nurnberg W 2017-05-21 SSV Jahn Regensburg 1–1 1. FC Nurnberg D 2017-05-14 1. FC Nurnberg 1–0 FC Erzgebirge Aue W 2017-05-05 1. FC Lok Stendal 0–2 1. FC Nurnberg W

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2017-08-27 1. FC Nurnberg 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2017-08-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 TuS Erndtebruck W 2017-08-14 CD Feirense 0–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2017-05-20 1. FC Koln 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2017-05-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 TuS Dassendorf D 2017-05-07 Hamburger SV 2–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.15 1. FC Nurnberg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.97 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: 1. FC Nurnberg or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct

1. FC Nurnberg43% Draw30% 1. FSV Mainz 0527%

Actual: 1. FC Nurnberg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes44% 0% No56%

Avg goals/match: 2.12

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	86%	14%
± 1.5	63%	37%
± 2.5	35%	65%
± 3.5	17%	83%
± 4.5	7%	93%

Double Chance

1. FC Nurnberg or Draw

73%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

57%

1. FC Nurnberg or 1. FSV Mainz 05

70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

1. FC Nurnberg26% Draw53% 1. FSV Mainz 0521%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

14.4%

1 – 1

14.3%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 1

10.3%

2 – 0

7.6%

2 – 1

7.5%

1 – 2

6.3%

0 – 2

5.4%

2 – 2

3.8%

3 – 1

2.9%

3 – 0

2.9%

1 – 3

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Nurnberg

Handicap	1. FC Nurnberg covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	11%	84%
-1.5	16%	—	84%
-1	16%	22%	62%
-0.5	38%	—	62%
+0.5	71%	—	29%
+1	71%	18%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	8%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Nurnberg keeps clean sheet

39% ✗

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.