Thursday , 2 July 2026

Hamburger SV vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, 2016

1. Bundesliga 2016/17 · 2016
Sun 7 May 2017 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Hamburger SV 3.30
Draw 3.50
1. FSV Mainz 05 2.15

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 May 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–0 W
29 Apr RB Leipzig A 0–3 L
23 Apr SV Drochtersen/Assel H 2–1 W
15 Apr TuS Erndtebruck A 0–4 L
08 Apr SV Linx 1949 H 1–0 W
05 Apr 1. CfR Pforzheim A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 May Hamburger SV A 0–2 L
28 Apr SV Drochtersen/Assel A 4–1 W
23 Apr TuS Erndtebruck H 1–1 D
16 Apr RB Leipzig A 1–2 L
08 Apr 1. CfR Pforzheim H 4–1 W
04 Apr Wroxham FC A 0–3 L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.48 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.85 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV53% Draw27% 1. FSV Mainz 0520%
Actual: Hamburger SV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.33
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
80%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
47%
Hamburger SV or 1. FSV Mainz 05
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV35% Draw50% 1. FSV Mainz 0515%
Actual: Hamburger SV win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.4%
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 0
11.9%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
7.1%
3 – 0
5%
1 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
2%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 16% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 24% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
43%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.