1. FC Nurnberg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, 2014

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1. Bundesliga 2014/15 · 2014

1. FC Nurnberg

2 – 1

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Sat 23 Aug 2014 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Nurnberg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga .

1. FC Nurnberg 0 games · 0 pts
1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

1. FC Nurnberg 2.90

Draw 3.50

1. FSV Mainz 05 2.30

Head-to-Head

1. FC Nurnberg 8 games · Avg 2.5 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2014-08-23 1. FC Nurnberg 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

1. FC Nurnberg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Aug	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	2–1	W

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Aug	1. FC Nurnberg	A	1–2	L
23 Aug	BFC Dynamo	A	4–4	D
20 Aug	VfB Stuttgart	H	0–0	D
17 Aug	FC Erzgebirge Aue	A	0–4	L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for 1. FC Nurnberg to score. At the same time, 1. FSV Mainz 05 does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

1. FC Nurnberg Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Mikael Ishak	1
Georg Margreitter	1
Adam Zrelak	1
Daniel Brosinski	1
Robin Quaison	1
Jean-Philippe Mateta	1
Mikael Ishak	1
Jean-Philippe Mateta	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 3

1.88 1. FC Nurnberg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.17 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

1. FC Nurnberg54% Draw24% 1. FSV Mainz 0522%

Actual: 1. FC Nurnberg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes59% 0% No41%

Avg goals/match: 3.05

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	81%	19%
± 2.5	58%	42%
± 3.5	36%	64%
± 4.5	20%	80%

Double Chance

1. FC Nurnberg or Draw

78%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

46%

1. FC Nurnberg or 1. FSV Mainz 05

76%

Half-Time Result

1. FC Nurnberg38% Draw43% 1. FSV Mainz 0519%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.3%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

8.3%

1 – 0

8.2%

0 – 0

6.4%

3 – 1

5.9%

1 – 2

5.9%

2 – 2

5.5%

3 – 0

5.1%

0 – 1

4.7%

3 – 2

3.5%

0 – 2

3.2%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Nurnberg

Handicap	1. FC Nurnberg covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	14%	—	86%
-2	14%	16%	69%
-1.5	31%	—	69%
-1	31%	22%	47%
-0.5	53%	—	47%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	13%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Nurnberg keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.