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1. FC Koln vs MSV Duisburg, 2016

1. Bundesliga 2016/17 · 2016
Sat 5 Nov 2016 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Koln vs MSV Duisburg — Bundesliga .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

1. FC Koln 2.10
Draw 3.30
MSV Duisburg 3.75

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Nov MSV Duisburg H 0–2 L
29 Oct SV Linx 1949 A 0–2 L
25 Oct FC Hansa Rostock A 0–0 D
22 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 3–3 D
15 Oct Karlsruher SC A 1–2 L
01 Oct SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Nov 1. FC Koln A 2–0 W
29 Oct VfL Wolfsburg H 1–3 L
26 Oct VfL Wolfsburg A 1–3 L
22 Oct Hamburger SV A 1–2 L
15 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–1 D
30 Sep TuS Erndtebruck A 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! 1. FC Köln vs MSV Duisburg — let the football do the talking.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 0-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

1. FC Koln Lineups

MSV Duisburg Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.28 1. FC Koln xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31 MSV Duisburg xG
I would bet for: 1. FC Koln or MSV Duisburg 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FC Koln36% Draw29% MSV Duisburg35%
Actual: MSV Duisburg win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

1. FC Koln or Draw
65%
Draw or MSV Duisburg
64%
1. FC Koln or MSV Duisburg
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Koln26% Draw48% MSV Duisburg26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 0
9.5%
0 – 1
8.8%
1 – 0
8.5%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
7.7%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
3.3%
0 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Koln

Handicap 1. FC Koln covers Push MSV Duisburg covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 19% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 19% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Koln keeps clean sheet
28%
MSV Duisburg keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.