MSV Duisburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, 2017

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1. Bundesliga 2017/18 · 2017

MSV Duisburg

1 – 1

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Sat 15 Oct 2016 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

MSV Duisburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga .

MSV Duisburg 0 games · 0 pts
1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

MSV Duisburg 3.10

Draw 3.40

1. FSV Mainz 05 2.30

Head-to-Head

MSV Duisburg 8 games · Avg 2.4 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2016-10-15 MSV Duisburg 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2016-05-07 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 MSV Duisburg 2015-12-13 MSV Duisburg 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2015-04-05 MSV Duisburg 0–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2014-10-31 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–0 MSV Duisburg

Recent Form

MSV Duisburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Oct	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	1–1	D
30 Sep	TuS Erndtebruck	A	1–2	L
24 Sep	RB Leipzig	H	1–0	W
21 Sep	SV Drochtersen/Assel	A	0–0	D
18 Sep	SV Linx 1949	H	1–3	L
11 Sep	Wroxham FC	A	2–1	W

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Oct	MSV Duisburg	A	1–1	D
02 Oct	VfB Stuttgart	H	4–0	W
25 Sep	SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen	A	1–2	L
21 Sep	Karlsruher SC	H	1–3	L
18 Sep	SV Sandhausen 1916	A	0–2	L
09 Sep	VfL Wolfsburg	H	0–2	L

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

MSV Duisburg Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

MSV Duisburg Form

2016-10-15 MSV Duisburg 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2016-09-30 TuS Erndtebruck 2–1 MSV Duisburg L 2016-09-24 MSV Duisburg 1–0 RB Leipzig W 2016-09-21 SV Drochtersen/Assel 0–0 MSV Duisburg D 2016-09-18 MSV Duisburg 1–3 SV Linx 1949 L 2016-09-11 Wroxham FC 1–2 MSV Duisburg W

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2016-10-15 MSV Duisburg 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2016-10-02 1. FSV Mainz 05 4–0 VfB Stuttgart W 2016-09-25 SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2016-09-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–3 Karlsruher SC L 2016-09-18 SV Sandhausen 1916 2–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2016-09-09 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 VfL Wolfsburg L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 3

1.22 MSV Duisburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.99 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: MSV Duisburg or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

MSV Duisburg43% Draw30% 1. FSV Mainz 0527%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes45% 0% No55%

Avg goals/match: 2.21

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	65%	35%
± 2.5	38%	62%
± 3.5	19%	81%
± 4.5	8%	92%

Double Chance

MSV Duisburg or Draw

72%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

57%

MSV Duisburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05

70%

Half-Time Result

MSV Duisburg27% Draw52% 1. FSV Mainz 0521%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

13.2%

1 – 0

12.1%

0 – 1

9.6%

2 – 1

7.8%

2 – 0

7.8%

1 – 2

6.4%

0 – 2

5.2%

2 – 2

3 – 1

3.2%

3 – 0

3.1%

1 – 3

2.1%

Asian Handicap — MSV Duisburg

Handicap	MSV Duisburg covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	12%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	22%	60%
-0.5	40%	—	60%
+0.5	72%	—	28%
+1	72%	18%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	8%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

MSV Duisburg keeps clean sheet

38% ✓

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.