MSV Duisburg vs VfL Wolfsburg, 2016

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1. Bundesliga 2016/17 · 2016

MSV Duisburg

1 – 3

Full Time

VfL Wolfsburg

Sat 29 Oct 2016 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

MSV Duisburg vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga .

MSV Duisburg 0 games · 0 pts
VfL Wolfsburg 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

MSV Duisburg 15.00

Draw 6.50

VfL Wolfsburg 1.20

Head-to-Head

MSV Duisburg 9 games · Avg 3.8 goals VfL Wolfsburg

Last 5 meetings

2016-10-29 MSV Duisburg 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg 2016-10-26 VfL Wolfsburg 3–1 MSV Duisburg 2016-02-14 MSV Duisburg 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg 2015-09-12 VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 MSV Duisburg 2015-05-09 VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 MSV Duisburg

Recent Form

MSV Duisburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Oct	VfL Wolfsburg	H	1–3	L
26 Oct	VfL Wolfsburg	A	1–3	L
22 Oct	Hamburger SV	A	1–2	L
15 Oct	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	1–1	D
30 Sep	TuS Erndtebruck	A	1–2	L
24 Sep	RB Leipzig	H	1–0	W

VfL Wolfsburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Oct	MSV Duisburg	A	3–1	W
26 Oct	MSV Duisburg	H	3–1	W
22 Oct	VfB Stuttgart	H	2–0	W
19 Oct	Cleethorpes Town FC	H	4–1	W
15 Oct	FC Hansa Rostock	A	2–2	D
01 Oct	Karlsruher SC	H	1–1	D

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)

89% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. MSV Duisburg host VfL Wolfsburg — let the battle begin!
The points are shared — MSV Duisburg 1-3 VfL Wolfsburg. Honours even.

Lineups

MSV Duisburg Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

MSV Duisburg Form

2016-10-29 MSV Duisburg 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg L 2016-10-26 VfL Wolfsburg 3–1 MSV Duisburg L 2016-10-22 Hamburger SV 2–1 MSV Duisburg L 2016-10-15 MSV Duisburg 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2016-09-30 TuS Erndtebruck 2–1 MSV Duisburg L 2016-09-24 MSV Duisburg 1–0 RB Leipzig W

VfL Wolfsburg Form

2016-10-29 MSV Duisburg 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg W 2016-10-26 VfL Wolfsburg 3–1 MSV Duisburg W 2016-10-22 VfL Wolfsburg 2–0 VfB Stuttgart W 2016-10-19 VfL Wolfsburg 4–1 Cleethorpes Town FC W 2016-10-15 FC Hansa Rostock 2–2 VfL Wolfsburg D 2016-10-01 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 Karlsruher SC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.22 MSV Duisburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.67 VfL Wolfsburg xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

MSV Duisburg27% Draw26% VfL Wolfsburg47%

Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 2.89

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	78%	22%
± 2.5	54%	46%
± 3.5	33%	67%
± 4.5	17%	83%

Double Chance

MSV Duisburg or Draw

53%

Draw or VfL Wolfsburg

73%

MSV Duisburg or VfL Wolfsburg

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

MSV Duisburg21% Draw45% VfL Wolfsburg34%

Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.2%

1 – 2

9.1%

0 – 1

8.4%

0 – 2

7.6%

0 – 0

7.4%

2 – 1

6.7%

1 – 0

5.9%

2 – 2

5.6%

1 – 3

Actual

0 – 3

4.1%

2 – 0

4.1%

2 – 3

3.2%

Asian Handicap — MSV Duisburg

Handicap	MSV Duisburg covers	Push	VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	8%	88%
-1.5	12%	—	88%
-1	12%	15%	73%
-0.5	27%	—	73%
+0.5	54%	—	46%
+1	54%	21%	25%
+1.5	75%	—	25%
+2	75%	14%	11%
+2.5	89%	—	11%

Clean Sheet

MSV Duisburg keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.