MSV Duisburg vs VfL Wolfsburg, 2016

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1. Bundesliga 2016/17 · 2016

MSV Duisburg

1 – 3

Full Time

VfL Wolfsburg

Sat 29 Oct 2016 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

MSV Duisburg vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga .

MSV Duisburg 0 games · 0 pts
VfL Wolfsburg 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

MSV Duisburg 15.00

Draw 6.50

VfL Wolfsburg 1.20

Head-to-Head

MSV Duisburg 9 games · Avg 3.8 goals VfL Wolfsburg

Last 5 meetings

2016-10-29 MSV Duisburg 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg 2016-10-26 VfL Wolfsburg 3–1 MSV Duisburg 2016-02-14 MSV Duisburg 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg 2015-09-12 VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 MSV Duisburg 2015-05-09 VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 MSV Duisburg

Recent Form

MSV Duisburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Oct	VfL Wolfsburg	H	1–3	L
26 Oct	VfL Wolfsburg	A	1–3	L
22 Oct	Hamburger SV	A	1–2	L
15 Oct	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	1–1	D
30 Sep	TuS Erndtebruck	A	1–2	L
24 Sep	RB Leipzig	H	1–0	W

VfL Wolfsburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Oct	MSV Duisburg	A	3–1	W
26 Oct	MSV Duisburg	H	3–1	W
22 Oct	VfB Stuttgart	H	2–0	W
19 Oct	Cleethorpes Town FC	H	4–1	W
15 Oct	FC Hansa Rostock	A	2–2	D
01 Oct	Karlsruher SC	H	1–1	D

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)

89% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. VfL Wolfsburg get us underway at .
MSV Duisburg will have plenty to reflect on. VfL Wolfsburg were simply the better side today.

Lineups

MSV Duisburg Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

MSV Duisburg Form

2016-10-29 MSV Duisburg 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg L 2016-10-26 VfL Wolfsburg 3–1 MSV Duisburg L 2016-10-22 Hamburger SV 2–1 MSV Duisburg L 2016-10-15 MSV Duisburg 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2016-09-30 TuS Erndtebruck 2–1 MSV Duisburg L 2016-09-24 MSV Duisburg 1–0 RB Leipzig W

VfL Wolfsburg Form

2016-10-29 MSV Duisburg 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg W 2016-10-26 VfL Wolfsburg 3–1 MSV Duisburg W 2016-10-22 VfL Wolfsburg 2–0 VfB Stuttgart W 2016-10-19 VfL Wolfsburg 4–1 Cleethorpes Town FC W 2016-10-15 FC Hansa Rostock 2–2 VfL Wolfsburg D 2016-10-01 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 Karlsruher SC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.22 MSV Duisburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.67 VfL Wolfsburg xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

MSV Duisburg27% Draw26% VfL Wolfsburg47%

Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 2.89

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	78%	22%
± 2.5	54%	46%
± 3.5	33%	67%
± 4.5	17%	83%

Double Chance

MSV Duisburg or Draw

53%

Draw or VfL Wolfsburg

73%

MSV Duisburg or VfL Wolfsburg

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

MSV Duisburg21% Draw45% VfL Wolfsburg34%

Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.2%

1 – 2

9.1%

0 – 1

8.4%

0 – 2

7.6%

0 – 0

7.4%

2 – 1

6.7%

1 – 0

5.9%

2 – 2

5.6%

1 – 3

Actual

0 – 3

4.1%

2 – 0

4.1%

2 – 3

3.2%

Asian Handicap — MSV Duisburg

Handicap	MSV Duisburg covers	Push	VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	8%	88%
-1.5	12%	—	88%
-1	12%	15%	73%
-0.5	27%	—	73%
+0.5	54%	—	46%
+1	54%	21%	25%
+1.5	75%	—	25%
+2	75%	14%	11%
+2.5	89%	—	11%

Clean Sheet

MSV Duisburg keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.