Thursday , 2 July 2026

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Sun 11 Jan 2026 · 02:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Adelaide United FCA League .

Match Details

  • Referee Lachlan Keevers
  • Referee
15 games this season 🟨 1.2/game 7.2 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

Season Stats

Wellington Phoenix FC Adelaide United FC
#8 Position #2
33 Points 43
26 Played 26
9 / 6 / 11 W / D / L 12 / 7 / 7
36 Scored 46
48 Conceded 36
-12 GD +10
1.27 PPG 1.65
35% Win % 46%

Key Stats

82% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
59% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season
11% Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season

Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Wellington Phoenix FC
0-15
/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
/2
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Adelaide United FC
0-15
/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
/1
46-60
/2
61-75
4/
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Wellington Phoenix FC
Ifeanyi Eze 10 G 1 A
Carlo Armiento 5 G 2 A
Corban Piper 4 G 4 A
Adelaide United FC
Luka Jovanovic 11 G 3 A
Johnny Yull 4 G 5 A
Ethan Alagich 4 G 4 A
Ryan Kitto 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Adelaide United FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.72 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.04 Adelaide United FC xG
I would bet for: Wellington Phoenix FC or Adelaide United FC 76% + Over 2.5 goals 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Wellington Phoenix FC36% Draw24% Adelaide United FC40%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 3.76
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 51%
49%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Adelaide United FC
64%
Wellington Phoenix FC or Adelaide United FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Wellington Phoenix FC26% Draw39% Adelaide United FC35%
Actual: Adelaide United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
6.8%
1 – 3
5.4%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 3
4.7%
0 – 1
4.2%
3 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
3.9%
0 – 0
3.6%
2 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap Wellington Phoenix FC covers Push Adelaide United FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 10% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 16% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 55% 45%
+1 55% 19% 26%
+1.5 74% 26%
+2 74% 14% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
14%
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.