Wellington Phoenix FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2025-26

Wellington Phoenix FC

2 – 2

Full Time

Adelaide United FC

Sun 11 Jan 2026 · 02:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League .

Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2026/27)
Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Lachlan Keevers
Referee

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Wellington Phoenix FC 22 games · Avg 3.0 goals Adelaide United FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-01-11 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–2 Adelaide United FC 2025-11-29 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–1 Adelaide United FC 2025-04-18 Adelaide United FC 3–2 Wellington Phoenix FC 2025-01-11 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Adelaide United FC 2024-03-03 Wellington Phoenix FC 3–2 Adelaide United FC

Recent Form

Wellington Phoenix FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Jan	Adelaide United FC	H	2–2	D
03 Jan	Brisbane Roar FC	A	3–0	W
29 Dec	Melbourne Victory FC	A	1–5	L
21 Dec	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	3–1	W
14 Dec	Newcastle United Jets FC	H	1–3	L
06 Dec	Auckland FC	A	1–3	L

Adelaide United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Jan	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	2–2	D
04 Jan	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	0–4	L
27 Dec	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	3–2	W
20 Dec	Perth Glory FC	A	1–0	W
13 Dec	Melbourne Victory FC	A	1–2	L
07 Dec	Brisbane Roar FC	H	0–1	L

Season Stats

Wellington Phoenix FC		Adelaide United FC
#8	Position	#2
33	Points	43
26	Played	26
9 / 6 / 11	W / D / L	12 / 7 / 7
36	Scored	46
48	Conceded	36
-12	GD	+10
1.27	PPG	1.65
35%	Win %	46%

Key Stats

82% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

59% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Wellington Phoenix FC to score. At the same time, Adelaide United FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
The final score is 2-2.

Lineups

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Adelaide United FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Craig Goodwin	5
Hiroshi Ibusuki	4
Kosta Barbarouses	3
Luka Jovanovic	3
Ken Ilso	2
Ben Old	2
Johan Absalonsen	2
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos	2

Head to Head

Wellington Phoenix FC Form

2026-01-11 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–2 Adelaide United FC D 2026-01-03 Brisbane Roar FC 0–3 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2025-12-29 Melbourne Victory FC 5–1 Wellington Phoenix FC L 2025-12-21 Wellington Phoenix FC 3–1 Central Coast Mariners FC W 2025-12-14 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–3 Newcastle United Jets FC L 2025-12-06 Auckland FC 3–1 Wellington Phoenix FC L

Adelaide United FC Form

2026-01-11 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–2 Adelaide United FC D 2026-01-04 Adelaide United FC 0–4 Central Coast Mariners FC L 2025-12-27 Adelaide United FC 3–2 Western Sydney Wanderers FC W 2025-12-20 Perth Glory FC 0–1 Adelaide United FC W 2025-12-13 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Adelaide United FC L 2025-12-07 Adelaide United FC 0–1 Brisbane Roar FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.72 Wellington Phoenix FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.04 Adelaide United FC xG

I would bet for: Wellington Phoenix FC or Adelaide United FC 76% + Over 2.5 goals 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Wellington Phoenix FC36% Draw24% Adelaide United FC40%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes71% 0% No29%

Avg goals/match: 3.76

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	89%	11%
± 2.5	71%	29%
± 3.5	51%	49%
± 4.5	32%	68%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw

60%

Draw or Adelaide United FC

64%

Wellington Phoenix FC or Adelaide United FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Wellington Phoenix FC26% Draw39% Adelaide United FC35%

Actual: Adelaide United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

1 – 2

8.1%

2 – 2

Actual

2 – 1

6.8%

1 – 3

5.4%

0 – 2

4.9%

2 – 3

4.7%

0 – 1

4.2%

3 – 2

3.9%

3 – 1

3.9%

0 – 0

3.6%

2 – 0

3.5%

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap	Wellington Phoenix FC covers	Push	Adelaide United FC covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	10%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	16%	68%
-0.5	32%	—	68%
+0.5	55%	—	45%
+1	55%	19%	26%
+1.5	74%	—	26%
+2	74%	14%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.