Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Melbourne Victory FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Sat 10 Jan 2026 · 06:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers FC — A League .

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Elder
  • Referee Lara Lee

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Jan Western Sydney Wanderers FC H 0–1 L
02 Jan Perth Glory FC H 3–2 W
29 Dec Wellington Phoenix FC H 5–1 W
20 Dec Melbourne City FC A 1–0 W
13 Dec Adelaide United FC H 2–1 W
05 Dec Macarthur FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Jan Melbourne Victory FC A 1–0 W
01 Jan Macarthur FC H 0–1 L
27 Dec Adelaide United FC A 2–3 L
19 Dec Auckland FC H 0–2 L
13 Dec Brisbane Roar FC H 0–0 D
05 Dec Perth Glory FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC Western Sydney Wanderers FC
#4 Position #12
40 Points 21
26 Played 26
11 / 7 / 8 W / D / L 5 / 6 / 15
44 Scored 27
33 Conceded 43
+11 GD -16
1.54 PPG 0.81
42% Win % 19%

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
59% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Western Sydney Wanderers FC are 12th (21 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Western Sydney Wanderers FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
2.14 Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38 Western Sydney Wanderers FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne Victory FC50% Draw24% Western Sydney Wanderers FC26%
Actual: Western Sydney Wanderers FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.52
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 46%
54%
± 4.5 28%
72%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Western Sydney Wanderers FC
50%
Melbourne Victory FC or Western Sydney Wanderers FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne Victory FC40% Draw40% Western Sydney Wanderers FC20%
Actual: Western Sydney Wanderers FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
6.8%
3 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
6.2%
1 – 2
5.9%
1 – 0
5.8%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 2
4.4%
0 – 0
4.3%
0 – 1
Actual
4 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap Melbourne Victory FC covers Push Western Sydney Wanderers FC covers
-2.5 17% — 83%
-2 17% 16% 67%
-1.5 33% — 67%
-1 33% 21% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 13% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Western Sydney Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
13% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.