Thursday , 2 July 2026

Melbourne Victory FC vs Perth Glory FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Fri 2 Jan 2026 · 08:35 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Perth Glory FCA League .

Match Details

  • Referee Casey Reibelt
15 games this season 🟨 0.8/game 3.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Jan Perth Glory FC H 3–2 W
29 Dec Wellington Phoenix FC H 5–1 W
20 Dec Melbourne City FC A 1–0 W
13 Dec Adelaide United FC H 2–1 W
05 Dec Macarthur FC A 0–0 D
28 Nov Brisbane Roar FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Jan Melbourne Victory FC A 2–3 L
28 Dec Melbourne City FC A 3–1 W
20 Dec Adelaide United FC H 0–1 L
13 Dec Sydney FC H 0–1 L
05 Dec Western Sydney Wanderers FC H 1–0 W
30 Nov Macarthur FC A 2–0 W

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC Perth Glory FC
#4 Position #10
40 Points 31
26 Played 26
11 / 7 / 8 W / D / L 8 / 7 / 11
44 Scored 32
33 Conceded 39
+11 GD -7
1.54 PPG 1.19
42% Win % 31%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
15% Clean Sheets
Perth Glory FC this season

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Perth Glory FC are 10th (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Perth Glory FC
0-15
2/
16-30
1/
31-45
/1
46-60
1/
61-75
/3
76+
3/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC
Nikolaos Vergos 7 G 1 A
Clarismario 6 G
Mata 5 G 12 A
Keegan Jelacic 5 G 2 A
Charles Nduka 5 G 2 A
Perth Glory FC
Tom Lawrence 5 G 2 A
Adam Taggart 5 G 1 A
Nicholas Pennington 5 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Perth Glory FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.27 Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25 Perth Glory FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC61% Draw21% Perth Glory FC18%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.52
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 46%
54%
± 4.5 28%
72%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Perth Glory FC
39%
Melbourne Victory FC or Perth Glory FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne Victory FC44% Draw39% Perth Glory FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
7.7%
3 – 1
6.9%
1 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
5.7%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
4.3%
4 – 1
4%
4 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap Melbourne Victory FC covers Push Perth Glory FC covers
-2.5 20% 80%
-2 20% 18% 62%
-1.5 38% 62%
-1 38% 21% 41%
-0.5 59% 41%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 11% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 5% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
29%
Perth Glory FC keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.