Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Melbourne Victory FC vs Perth Glory FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Fri 2 Jan 2026 · 08:35 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Perth Glory FC — A League .

Match Details

  • Referee Casey Reibelt

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Jan Perth Glory FC H 3–2 W
29 Dec Wellington Phoenix FC H 5–1 W
20 Dec Melbourne City FC A 1–0 W
13 Dec Adelaide United FC H 2–1 W
05 Dec Macarthur FC A 0–0 D
28 Nov Brisbane Roar FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Jan Melbourne Victory FC A 2–3 L
28 Dec Melbourne City FC A 3–1 W
20 Dec Adelaide United FC H 0–1 L
13 Dec Sydney FC H 0–1 L
05 Dec Western Sydney Wanderers FC H 1–0 W
30 Nov Macarthur FC A 2–0 W

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC Perth Glory FC
#4 Position #10
40 Points 31
26 Played 26
11 / 7 / 8 W / D / L 8 / 7 / 11
44 Scored 32
33 Conceded 39
+11 GD -7
1.54 PPG 1.19
42% Win % 31%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Perth Glory FC are 10th (31 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Perth Glory FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.27 Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25 Perth Glory FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC61% Draw21% Perth Glory FC18%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.52
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 46%
54%
± 4.5 28%
72%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Perth Glory FC
39%
Melbourne Victory FC or Perth Glory FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne Victory FC44% Draw39% Perth Glory FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
7.7%
3 – 1
6.9%
1 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
5.7%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
4.3%
4 – 1
4%
4 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap Melbourne Victory FC covers Push Perth Glory FC covers
-2.5 20% — 80%
-2 20% 18% 62%
-1.5 38% — 62%
-1 38% 21% 41%
-0.5 59% — 41%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 11% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 5% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
Perth Glory FC keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.