Thursday , 2 July 2026

Central Coast Mariners FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Sun 1 Feb 2026 · 06:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Central Coast Mariners FC vs Melbourne Victory FCA League .

Match Details

  • Referee
  • Referee Sam Kelly (Australia)
19 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 5.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb Melbourne Victory FC H 1–0 W
24 Jan Auckland FC A 2–2 D
18 Jan Macarthur FC H 1–1 D
10 Jan Perth Glory FC A 0–3 L
04 Jan Adelaide United FC A 4–0 W
31 Dec Brisbane Roar FC H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Central Coast Mariners FC Melbourne Victory FC
#9 Position #4
32 Points 40
26 Played 26
8 / 8 / 10 W / D / L 11 / 7 / 8
35 Scored 44
42 Conceded 33
-7 GD +11
1.23 PPG 1.54
31% Win % 42%

Key Stats

68% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Central Coast Mariners FC this season
23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

Central Coast Mariners FC are 9th (32 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Central Coast Mariners FC
0-15
/2
16-30
1/4
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Central Coast Mariners FC
Sabit James 6 G 2 A
Ali Auglah 5 G
Bailey Brandtman 4 G 2 A
Alfie McCalmont 4 G 1 A
Melbourne Victory FC
Nikolaos Vergos 7 G 1 A
Clarismario 6 G
Mata 5 G 12 A
Keegan Jelacic 5 G 2 A
Charles Nduka 5 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Central Coast Mariners FC Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.28 Central Coast Mariners FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27 Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for: Central Coast Mariners FC or Melbourne Victory FC 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Central Coast Mariners FC42% Draw27% Melbourne Victory FC31%
Actual: Central Coast Mariners FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Central Coast Mariners FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
58%
Central Coast Mariners FC or Melbourne Victory FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Central Coast Mariners FC26% Draw48% Melbourne Victory FC26%
Actual: Central Coast Mariners FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 0
10%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 0
6.2%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
3.3%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 0
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Central Coast Mariners FC

Handicap Central Coast Mariners FC covers Push Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 19% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 19% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Central Coast Mariners FC keeps clean sheet
29%
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.