Central Coast Mariners FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2025-26

Central Coast Mariners FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Melbourne Victory FC

Sun 1 Feb 2026 · 06:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Central Coast Mariners FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League .

Central Coast Mariners FC 26 games · 32 pts (2026/27)
Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee
Referee Sam Kelly (Australia)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Central Coast Mariners FC 19 games · Avg 2.9 goals Melbourne Victory FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-01 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2025-03-08 Melbourne Victory FC 3–0 Central Coast Mariners FC 2024-10-18 Central Coast Mariners FC 0–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-05-25 Central Coast Mariners FC 3–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-02-25 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Central Coast Mariners FC

Recent Form

Central Coast Mariners FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Feb	Melbourne Victory FC	H	1–0	W
24 Jan	Auckland FC	A	2–2	D
18 Jan	Macarthur FC	H	1–1	D
10 Jan	Perth Glory FC	A	0–3	L
04 Jan	Adelaide United FC	A	4–0	W
31 Dec	Brisbane Roar FC	H	1–2	L

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Feb	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	0–1	L
26 Jan	Sydney FC	H	4–0	W
17 Jan	Adelaide United FC	A	1–2	L
10 Jan	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	0–1	L
02 Jan	Perth Glory FC	H	3–2	W
29 Dec	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	5–1	W

Season Stats

Central Coast Mariners FC		Melbourne Victory FC
#9	Position	#4
32	Points	40
26	Played	26
8 / 8 / 10	W / D / L	11 / 7 / 8
35	Scored	44
42	Conceded	33
-7	GD	+11
1.23	PPG	1.54
31%	Win %	42%

Key Stats

68% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)

53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Central Coast Mariners FC are 9th (32 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Central Coast Mariners FC and Melbourne Victory FC has kicked off!
Melbourne Victory FC will have plenty to reflect on. Central Coast Mariners FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Central Coast Mariners FC Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Matt Simon	3
Jason Cummings	3
Bruno Fornaroli	3
Nishan Velupillay	3
Ryan Edmondson	2
James Troisi	2
Kye Rowles	2
Marco Rojas	2

Head to Head

Central Coast Mariners FC Form

2026-02-01 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC W 2026-01-24 Auckland FC 2–2 Central Coast Mariners FC D 2026-01-18 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–1 Macarthur FC D 2026-01-10 Perth Glory FC 3–0 Central Coast Mariners FC L 2026-01-04 Adelaide United FC 0–4 Central Coast Mariners FC W 2025-12-31 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–2 Brisbane Roar FC L

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2026-02-01 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC L 2026-01-26 Melbourne Victory FC 4–0 Sydney FC W 2026-01-17 Adelaide United FC 2–1 Melbourne Victory FC L 2026-01-10 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Western Sydney Wanderers FC L 2026-01-02 Melbourne Victory FC 3–2 Perth Glory FC W 2025-12-29 Melbourne Victory FC 5–1 Wellington Phoenix FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.28 Central Coast Mariners FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.27 Melbourne Victory FC xG

I would bet for: Central Coast Mariners FC or Melbourne Victory FC 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Central Coast Mariners FC42% Draw27% Melbourne Victory FC31%

Actual: Central Coast Mariners FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes52% 0% No48%

Avg goals/match: 2.55

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	72%	28%
± 2.5	46%	54%
± 3.5	25%	75%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

Central Coast Mariners FC or Draw

69%

Draw or Melbourne Victory FC

58%

Central Coast Mariners FC or Melbourne Victory FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Central Coast Mariners FC26% Draw48% Melbourne Victory FC26%

Actual: Central Coast Mariners FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.7%

0 – 0

10%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 1

8.9%

2 – 1

7.8%

1 – 2

7.7%

2 – 0

6.2%

0 – 2

6.1%

2 – 2

3 – 1

3.3%

1 – 3

3.3%

3 – 0

2.6%

Asian Handicap — Central Coast Mariners FC

Handicap	Central Coast Mariners FC covers	Push	Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	10%	84%
-1.5	16%	—	84%
-1	16%	19%	65%
-0.5	35%	—	65%
+0.5	65%	—	35%
+1	65%	19%	16%
+1.5	84%	—	16%
+2	84%	10%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Central Coast Mariners FC keeps clean sheet

29% ✗

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.