Thursday , 2 July 2026

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne City FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Fri 30 Jan 2026 · 06:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne City FCA League .

Match Details

  • Referee Alireza Faghani
  • Referee
19 games this season 🟨 1.1/game 4.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jan Melbourne City FC H 2–2 D
23 Jan Newcastle United Jets FC A 1–4 L
18 Jan Sydney FC A 2–0 W
11 Jan Adelaide United FC H 2–2 D
03 Jan Brisbane Roar FC A 3–0 W
29 Dec Melbourne Victory FC A 1–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jan Wellington Phoenix FC A 2–2 D
24 Jan Macarthur FC A 2–6 L
16 Jan Auckland FC H 2–1 W
11 Jan Newcastle United Jets FC H 0–1 L
06 Jan Brisbane Roar FC H 1–0 W
03 Jan Sydney FC H 0–0 D

Season Stats

Wellington Phoenix FC Melbourne City FC
#8 Position #6
33 Points 38
26 Played 26
9 / 6 / 11 W / D / L 10 / 8 / 8
36 Scored 33
48 Conceded 33
-12 GD +0
1.27 PPG 1.46
35% Win % 38%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season
38% Clean Sheets
Melbourne City FC this season

Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts). Melbourne City FC are 6th (38 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Wellington Phoenix FC
0-15
/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
/2
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Melbourne City FC
0-15
/
16-30
4/
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/
61-75
3/
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Wellington Phoenix FC
Ifeanyi Eze 10 G 1 A
Carlo Armiento 5 G 2 A
Corban Piper 4 G 4 A
Melbourne City FC
Max Caputo 8 G 1 A
Marcus Younis 7 G 3 A
Medin Memeti 5 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Melbourne City FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.76 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.67 Melbourne City FC xG
I would bet for: Wellington Phoenix FC or Melbourne City FC 75% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Wellington Phoenix FC40% Draw25% Melbourne City FC35%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.43
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Melbourne City FC
60%
Wellington Phoenix FC or Melbourne City FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Wellington Phoenix FC31% Draw41% Melbourne City FC28%
Actual: Wellington Phoenix FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
5.1%
2 – 0
5.1%
0 – 1
4.7%
3 – 1
4.7%
0 – 0
4.7%
0 – 2
4.5%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 2
4%

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap Wellington Phoenix FC covers Push Melbourne City FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 18% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 17% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 11% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
20%
Melbourne City FC keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.