Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne City FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Fri 30 Jan 2026 · 06:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne City FC — A League .

Match Details

  • Referee Alireza Faghani
  • Referee
7 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 12.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jan Melbourne City FC H 2–2 D
23 Jan Newcastle United Jets FC A 1–4 L
18 Jan Sydney FC A 2–0 W
11 Jan Adelaide United FC H 2–2 D
03 Jan Brisbane Roar FC A 3–0 W
29 Dec Melbourne Victory FC A 1–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jan Wellington Phoenix FC A 2–2 D
24 Jan Macarthur FC A 2–6 L
16 Jan Auckland FC H 2–1 W
11 Jan Newcastle United Jets FC H 0–1 L
06 Jan Brisbane Roar FC H 1–0 W
03 Jan Sydney FC H 0–0 D

Season Stats

Wellington Phoenix FC Melbourne City FC
#8 Position #6
33 Points 38
26 Played 26
9 / 6 / 11 W / D / L 10 / 8 / 8
36 Scored 33
48 Conceded 33
-12 GD +0
1.27 PPG 1.46
35% Win % 38%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts). Melbourne City FC are 6th (38 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Melbourne City FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.76 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.67 Melbourne City FC xG
I would bet for: Wellington Phoenix FC or Melbourne City FC 75% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Wellington Phoenix FC40% Draw25% Melbourne City FC35%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.43
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Melbourne City FC
60%
Wellington Phoenix FC or Melbourne City FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Wellington Phoenix FC31% Draw41% Melbourne City FC28%
Actual: Wellington Phoenix FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
5.1%
2 – 0
5.1%
0 – 1
4.7%
3 – 1
4.7%
0 – 0
4.7%
0 – 2
4.5%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 2
4%

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap Wellington Phoenix FC covers Push Melbourne City FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 18% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 17% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 11% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
Melbourne City FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.