Watford FC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Birmingham City FC — Championship .
- Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
- Birmingham City FC 46 games · 64 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Lewis Smith
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan | Birmingham City FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Dec | Norwich City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Dec | Leicester City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Dec | Stoke City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Dec | Wrexham AFC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Dec | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan | Watford FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Dec | Southampton FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Dec | Derby County FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Dec | Sheffield United FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 13 Dec | Charlton Athletic FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Dec | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Birmingham City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #10 |
| 57 | Points | 64 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 14 / 15 / 17 | W / D / L | 17 / 13 / 16 |
| 53 | Scored | 57 |
| 65 | Conceded | 56 |
| -12 | GD | +1 |
| 1.24 | PPG | 1.39 |
| 30% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Watford FC are 16th (57 pts). Birmingham City FC are 10th (64 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Watford FC is hosting Birmingham City FC for another epic battle.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Birmingham City FC.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
Birmingham City FC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ken Sema | 2 |
| George Hall | 1 |
| Britt Assombalonga | 1 |
| Keinan Davis | 1 |
| Imran Louza | 1 |
| Ryan Andrews | 1 |
| Mileta Rajovic | 1 |
| Emmanuel Dennis | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Birmingham City FC Form
2026-01-01
Watford FC
3–0
Birmingham City FC
L
2025-12-29
Birmingham City FC
1–1
Southampton FC
D
2025-12-26
Birmingham City FC
1–1
Derby County FC
D
2025-12-20
Sheffield United FC
3–0
Birmingham City FC
L
2025-12-13
Birmingham City FC
1–1
Charlton Athletic FC
D
2025-12-09
Queens Park Rangers FC
2–1
Birmingham City FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.78
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.8
Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for:
Watford FC to win 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.58
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
39%
Watford FC or Birmingham City FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.8%
2 – 0
11.7%
1 – 1
11.6%
0 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.3%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
5.1%
1 – 2
4.1%
2 – 2
3.7%
4 – 0
3%
4 – 1
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Birmingham City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 19% | 65% |
| -1.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 25% | 41% |
| -0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
46%
✗
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

