Friday , 2 October 2026

Watford FC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Thu 1 Jan 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Watford FC vs Birmingham City FC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee Lewis Smith
5 games this season 🟨 1.8/game ⚽ 5.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jan Birmingham City FC H 3–0 W
29 Dec Norwich City FC A 1–0 W
26 Dec Leicester City FC A 2–1 W
20 Dec Stoke City FC H 1–0 W
13 Dec Wrexham AFC A 2–2 D
09 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jan Watford FC A 0–3 L
29 Dec Southampton FC H 1–1 D
26 Dec Derby County FC H 1–1 D
20 Dec Sheffield United FC A 0–3 L
13 Dec Charlton Athletic FC H 1–1 D
09 Dec Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Watford FC Birmingham City FC
#20 Position #10
8 Points 11
8 Played 8
2 / 2 / 4 W / D / L 2 / 5 / 1
7 Scored 12
10 Conceded 11
-3 GD +1
1.00 PPG 1.38
25% Win % 25%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
13% Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season

Watford FC are 20th (8 pts). Birmingham City FC are 10th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Watford FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Birmingham City FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/–
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Watford FC
Amin Nabizada 3 G
Iker Bravo 1 G
Luca Kjerrumgaard 1 G
Birmingham City FC
Phil Neumann 2 G
Demarai Gray 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Watford FC Lineups

Birmingham City FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.63 Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77 Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for: Watford FC to win 59% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Watford FC59% Draw25% Birmingham City FC16%
Actual: Watford FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.4
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Watford FC or Draw
84%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
41%
Watford FC or Birmingham City FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Watford FC39% Draw48% Birmingham City FC13%
Actual: Watford FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.9%
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 0
11.7%
0 – 0
11.1%
2 – 1
9%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
5.9%
3 – 1
5%
1 – 2
4.2%
2 – 2
3.5%
4 – 0
2.6%
0 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Watford FC

Handicap Watford FC covers Push Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 18% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 25% 44%
-0.5 56% — 44%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 11% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Watford FC keeps clean sheet
47% ✗
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.