Thursday , 2 July 2026

Watford FC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Thu 1 Jan 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jan Birmingham City FC H 3–0 W
29 Dec Norwich City FC A 1–0 W
26 Dec Leicester City FC A 2–1 W
20 Dec Stoke City FC H 1–0 W
13 Dec Wrexham AFC A 2–2 D
09 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jan Watford FC A 0–3 L
29 Dec Southampton FC H 1–1 D
26 Dec Derby County FC H 1–1 D
20 Dec Sheffield United FC A 0–3 L
13 Dec Charlton Athletic FC H 1–1 D
09 Dec Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Watford FC Birmingham City FC
#16 Position #10
57 Points 64
46 Played 46
14 / 15 / 17 W / D / L 17 / 13 / 16
53 Scored 57
65 Conceded 56
-12 GD +1
1.24 PPG 1.39
30% Win % 37%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Watford FC are 16th (57 pts). Birmingham City FC are 10th (64 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Watford FC is hosting Birmingham City FC for another epic battle.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Birmingham City FC.

Lineups

Watford FC Lineups

Birmingham City FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.78 Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.8 Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for: Watford FC to win 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Watford FC61% Draw24% Birmingham City FC15%
Actual: Watford FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.58
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Watford FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
39%
Watford FC or Birmingham City FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Watford FC41% Draw46% Birmingham City FC13%
Actual: Watford FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.8%
2 – 0
11.7%
1 – 1
11.6%
0 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.3%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
5.1%
1 – 2
4.1%
2 – 2
3.7%
4 – 0
3%
4 – 1
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Watford FC

Handicap Watford FC covers Push Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 19% 65%
-1.5 35% 65%
-1 35% 25% 41%
-0.5 59% 41%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Watford FC keeps clean sheet
46%
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.