Birmingham City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Birmingham City FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Derby County FC

Fri 26 Dec 2025 · 12:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Birmingham City FC vs Derby County FC — Championship .

Birmingham City FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Ben Toner

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Hull City AFC	46	73
4	Oxford United FC	46	47
5	Leicester City FC	46	46
6	Blackburn Rovers FC	1	1
7	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	1	1
8	Queens Park Rangers FC	0	0
9	Millwall FC	0	0
10	Middlesbrough FC	0	0
11	Swansea City AFC	0	0
12	Charlton Athletic FC	0	0
13	West Bromwich Albion FC	0	0
14	Bolton Wanderers FC	0	0
15	Birmingham City FC	0	0
16	Sheffield United FC	0	0
17	Southampton FC	0	0
18	Wrexham AFC	0	0
19	Watford FC	0	0
20	Burnley FC	0	0
21	Cardiff City FC	0	0
22	West Ham United FC	0	0
23	Derby County FC	0	0
24	Norwich City FC	0	0
25	Preston North End FC	0	0
26	Stoke City FC	0	0
27	Lincoln City FC	0	0
28	Portsmouth FC	0	0
29	Bristol City FC	0	0
30	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Birmingham City FC 10 games · Avg 3.3 goals Derby County FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-12-26 Birmingham City FC 1–1 Derby County FC 2022-01-30 Derby County FC 2–2 Birmingham City FC 2021-09-10 Birmingham City FC 2–0 Derby County FC 2021-04-24 Derby County FC 1–2 Birmingham City FC 2020-12-29 Birmingham City FC 0–4 Derby County FC

Recent Form

Birmingham City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Dec	Derby County FC	H	1–1	D
20 Dec	Sheffield United FC	A	0–3	L
13 Dec	Charlton Athletic FC	H	1–1	D
09 Dec	Queens Park Rangers FC	A	1–2	L
06 Dec	Southampton FC	A	1–3	L
01 Dec	Watford FC	H	2–1	W

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Dec	Birmingham City FC	A	1–1	D
20 Dec	Portsmouth FC	H	1–1	D
15 Dec	Sheffield Wednesday FC	A	3–0	W
10 Dec	Millwall FC	H	1–1	D
06 Dec	Leicester City FC	H	1–3	L
29 Nov	Middlesbrough FC	A	1–2	L

Season Stats

Birmingham City FC		Derby County FC
#15	Position	#23
0	Points	0
0	Played	0
0 / 0 / 0	W / D / L	0 / 0 / 0
0	Scored	0
0	Conceded	0
+0	GD	+0
–	PPG	–
–	Win %	–

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

100% Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season

0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Birmingham City FC are 15th (0 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/–

31-45

–/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

–/1

76+

–/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Birmingham City FC to score. At the same time, Derby County FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Birmingham City FC Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Lukas Jutkiewicz	4
Colin Kazim-Richards	3
Ivan Sunjic	2
Graeme Shinnie	2
Krystian Bielik	2
Martyn Waghorn	2
Scott Hogan	2
Luke Plange	1

Head to Head

Birmingham City FC Form

2025-12-26 Birmingham City FC 1–1 Derby County FC D 2025-12-20 Sheffield United FC 3–0 Birmingham City FC L 2025-12-13 Birmingham City FC 1–1 Charlton Athletic FC D 2025-12-09 Queens Park Rangers FC 2–1 Birmingham City FC L 2025-12-06 Southampton FC 3–1 Birmingham City FC L 2025-12-01 Birmingham City FC 2–1 Watford FC W

Derby County FC Form

2025-12-26 Birmingham City FC 1–1 Derby County FC D 2025-12-20 Derby County FC 1–1 Portsmouth FC D 2025-12-15 Sheffield Wednesday FC 0–3 Derby County FC W 2025-12-10 Derby County FC 1–1 Millwall FC D 2025-12-06 Derby County FC 1–3 Leicester City FC L 2025-11-29 Middlesbrough FC 2–1 Derby County FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

0.61 Birmingham City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.75 Derby County FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 84% + Under — clean sheet likely 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Birmingham City FC31% Draw38% Derby County FC31%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes26% 0% No74%

Avg goals/match: 1.36

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	72%	28%
± 1.5	40%	60%
± 2.5	16%	84%
± 3.5	6%	94%
± 4.5	2%	98%

Double Chance

Birmingham City FC or Draw

69%

Draw or Derby County FC

69%

Birmingham City FC or Derby County FC

62%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Birmingham City FC15% Draw65% Derby County FC20%

Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

28.4%

0 – 1

17.5%

1 – 0

14%

1 – 1

Actual

0 – 2

6.6%

1 – 2

4.5%

2 – 0

4.4%

2 – 1

3.7%

0 – 3

1.6%

2 – 2

1.6%

1 – 3

1.2%

3 – 0

0.9%

Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC

Handicap	Birmingham City FC covers	Push	Derby County FC covers
-2.5	1%	—	99%
-2	1%	5%	94%
-1.5	6%	—	94%
-1	6%	18%	75%
-0.5	25%	—	75%
+0.5	67%	—	33%
+1	67%	22%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	8%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet

48% ✓

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

54% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.