Saturday , 14 November 2026

Birmingham City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Fri 26 Dec 2025 · 12:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Birmingham City FC vs Derby County FC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee Ben Toner
5 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 10.2 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Derby County FC H 1–1 D
20 Dec Sheffield United FC A 0–3 L
13 Dec Charlton Athletic FC H 1–1 D
09 Dec Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–2 L
06 Dec Southampton FC A 1–3 L
01 Dec Watford FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Birmingham City FC A 1–1 D
20 Dec Portsmouth FC H 1–1 D
15 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC A 3–0 W
10 Dec Millwall FC H 1–1 D
06 Dec Leicester City FC H 1–3 L
29 Nov Middlesbrough FC A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Birmingham City FC Derby County FC
#1 Position #23
29 Points 10
15 Played 15
8 / 5 / 2 W / D / L 2 / 4 / 9
28 Scored 14
14 Conceded 30
+14 GD -16
1.93 PPG 0.67
53% Win % 13%

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season
7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Birmingham City FC are 1st (29 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Birmingham City FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
6/1
31-45
4/7
46-60
4/1
61-75
4/1
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Birmingham City FC
August Priske 6 G 1 A
Liam Millar 4 G 3 A
Jay Stansfield 4 G 1 A
Demarai Gray 3 G
Phil Neumann 2 G
Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 3 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Birmingham City FC launch into their encounter with Derby County FC.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Birmingham City FC Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.07 Birmingham City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 59% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Birmingham City FC56% Draw24% Derby County FC20%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.1
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Birmingham City FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Derby County FC
44%
Birmingham City FC or Derby County FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Birmingham City FC43% Draw41% Derby County FC16%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
9.6%
1 – 0
8.7%
3 – 1
6.6%
3 – 0
6.4%
0 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 2
4.8%
0 – 1
3.9%
4 – 1
3.5%
3 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC

Handicap Birmingham City FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 19% — 81%
-2 19% 18% 63%
-1.5 37% — 63%
-1 37% 23% 40%
-0.5 60% — 40%
+0.5 83% — 17%
+1 83% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.