Birmingham City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Birmingham City FC vs Derby County FC — Championship .
- Birmingham City FC 15 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 15 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Ben Toner
5 games this season
🟨 4.4/game
⚽ 10.2 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec | Derby County FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Dec | Sheffield United FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 13 Dec | Charlton Athletic FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Dec | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Dec | Southampton FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 01 Dec | Watford FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec | Birmingham City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Dec | Portsmouth FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Dec | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Dec | Millwall FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Dec | Leicester City FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Nov | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Birmingham City FC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #23 |
| 29 | Points | 10 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 8 / 5 / 2 | W / D / L | 2 / 4 / 9 |
| 28 | Scored | 14 |
| 14 | Conceded | 30 |
| +14 | GD | -16 |
| 1.93 | PPG | 0.67 |
| 53% | Win % | 13% |
Key Stats
73%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season
Birmingham City FC this season
7%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Birmingham City FC are 1st (29 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Birmingham City FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
6/1
31-45
4/7
46-60
4/1
61-75
4/1
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Birmingham City FC
| August Priske | 6 G | 1 A |
| Liam Millar | 4 G | 3 A |
| Jay Stansfield | 4 G | 1 A |
| Demarai Gray | 3 G | |
| Phil Neumann | 2 G |
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 3 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 3 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Birmingham City FC launch into their encounter with Derby County FC.
- will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Birmingham City FC Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Lukas Jutkiewicz | 4 |
| Colin Kazim-Richards | 3 |
| Krystian Bielik | 2 |
| Martyn Waghorn | 2 |
| Scott Hogan | 2 |
| Ivan Sunjic | 2 |
| Graeme Shinnie | 2 |
| Mason Bennett | 1 |
Head to Head
Birmingham City FC Form
2025-12-26
Birmingham City FC
1–1
Derby County FC
D
2025-12-20
Sheffield United FC
3–0
Birmingham City FC
L
2025-12-13
Birmingham City FC
1–1
Charlton Athletic FC
D
2025-12-09
Queens Park Rangers FC
2–1
Birmingham City FC
L
2025-12-06
Southampton FC
3–1
Birmingham City FC
L
2025-12-01
Birmingham City FC
2–1
Watford FC
W
Derby County FC Form
2025-12-26
Birmingham City FC
1–1
Derby County FC
D
2025-12-20
Derby County FC
1–1
Portsmouth FC
D
2025-12-15
Sheffield Wednesday FC
0–3
Derby County FC
W
2025-12-10
Derby County FC
1–1
Millwall FC
D
2025-12-06
Derby County FC
1–3
Leicester City FC
L
2025-11-29
Middlesbrough FC
2–1
Derby County FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.07
Birmingham City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 59% + Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.1
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
Birmingham City FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Derby County FC
44%
Birmingham City FC or Derby County FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
9.6%
1 – 0
8.7%
3 – 1
6.6%
3 – 0
6.4%
0 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 2
4.8%
0 – 1
3.9%
4 – 1
3.5%
3 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC
| Handicap | Birmingham City FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 18% | 63% |
| -1.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 23% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

