Thursday , 2 July 2026

Birmingham City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Birmingham City FC
1 – 1
Full Time
Derby County FC
Fri 26 Dec 2025 · 12:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Birmingham City FC vs Derby County FC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee Ben Toner

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Coventry City FC 46 95
2 Ipswich Town FC 46 84
3 Millwall FC 46 83
4 Southampton FC 46 80
5 Middlesbrough FC 46 80
6 Hull City AFC 46 73
7 Wrexham AFC 46 71
8 Derby County FC 46 69
9 Norwich City FC 46 65
10 Birmingham City FC 46 64
11 Swansea City AFC 46 64
12 Bristol City FC 46 62
13 Sheffield United FC 46 60
14 Preston North End FC 46 60
15 Queens Park Rangers FC 46 58
16 Watford FC 46 57
17 Stoke City FC 46 55
18 Portsmouth FC 46 55
19 Charlton Athletic FC 46 53
20 Blackburn Rovers FC 46 52
21 West Bromwich Albion FC 46 51
22 Oxford United FC 46 47
23 Leicester City FC 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday FC 46 0

Head-to-Head

2
3
5
Birmingham City FC 10 games · Avg 3.3 goals Derby County FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-12-26 Birmingham City FC 1–1 Derby County FC 2022-01-30 Derby County FC 2–2 Birmingham City FC 2021-09-10 Birmingham City FC 2–0 Derby County FC 2021-04-24 Derby County FC 1–2 Birmingham City FC 2020-12-29 Birmingham City FC 0–4 Derby County FC

Recent Form

Birmingham City FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Derby County FC H 1–1 D
20 Dec Sheffield United FC A 0–3 L
13 Dec Charlton Athletic FC H 1–1 D
09 Dec Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–2 L
06 Dec Southampton FC A 1–3 L
01 Dec Watford FC H 2–1 W
Derby County FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Birmingham City FC A 1–1 D
20 Dec Portsmouth FC H 1–1 D
15 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC A 3–0 W
10 Dec Millwall FC H 1–1 D
06 Dec Leicester City FC H 1–3 L
29 Nov Middlesbrough FC A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Birmingham City FC Derby County FC
#10 Position #8
64 Points 69
46 Played 46
17 / 13 / 16 W / D / L 20 / 9 / 17
57 Scored 67
56 Conceded 59
+1 GD +8
1.39 PPG 1.50
37% Win % 43%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Birmingham City FC are 10th (64 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Derby County FC kicks off things out of here…
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

Birmingham City FC Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Lukas Jutkiewicz 4
Colin Kazim-Richards 3
Martyn Waghorn 2
Scott Hogan 2
Ivan Sunjic 2
Graeme Shinnie 2
Krystian Bielik 2
Richard Keogh 1

Head to Head

2025-12-26 Birmingham City FC 1–1 Derby County FC 2022-01-30 Derby County FC 2–2 Birmingham City FC 2021-09-10 Birmingham City FC 2–0 Derby County FC 2021-04-24 Derby County FC 1–2 Birmingham City FC 2020-12-29 Birmingham City FC 0–4 Derby County FC

Birmingham City FC Form

2025-12-26 Birmingham City FC 1–1 Derby County FC D 2025-12-20 Sheffield United FC 3–0 Birmingham City FC L 2025-12-13 Birmingham City FC 1–1 Charlton Athletic FC D 2025-12-09 Queens Park Rangers FC 2–1 Birmingham City FC L 2025-12-06 Southampton FC 3–1 Birmingham City FC L 2025-12-01 Birmingham City FC 2–1 Watford FC W

Derby County FC Form

2025-12-26 Birmingham City FC 1–1 Derby County FC D 2025-12-20 Derby County FC 1–1 Portsmouth FC D 2025-12-15 Sheffield Wednesday FC 0–3 Derby County FC W 2025-12-10 Derby County FC 1–1 Millwall FC D 2025-12-06 Derby County FC 1–3 Leicester City FC L 2025-11-29 Middlesbrough FC 2–1 Derby County FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.32 Birmingham City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.4 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Birmingham City FC or Derby County FC 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Birmingham City FC38% Draw28% Derby County FC34%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Birmingham City FC or Draw
65%
Draw or Derby County FC
62%
Birmingham City FC or Derby County FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Birmingham City FC25% Draw47% Derby County FC28%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 0
7.7%
0 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
5.4%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 1
3.4%
0 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC

Handicap Birmingham City FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 18% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 20% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.