Birmingham City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Birmingham City FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Derby County FC

Fri 26 Dec 2025 · 12:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Birmingham City FC vs Derby County FC — Championship .

Birmingham City FC 8 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Derby County FC 8 games · 5 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Ben Toner

4 games this season 🟨 5.5/game ⚽ 12.5 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Swansea City AFC	8	17
2	West Ham United FC	8	15
3	Middlesbrough FC	8	15
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	7	14
5	West Bromwich Albion FC	8	14
6	Queens Park Rangers FC	8	13
7	Stoke City FC	8	13
8	Bristol City FC	8	13
9	Charlton Athletic FC	8	12
10	Birmingham City FC	8	11
11	Millwall FC	8	11
12	Lincoln City FC	8	11
13	Southampton FC	8	10
14	Wrexham AFC	8	10
15	Bolton Wanderers FC	8	10
16	Blackburn Rovers FC	8	9
17	Norwich City FC	8	9
18	Sheffield United FC	8	9
19	Portsmouth FC	7	8
20	Watford FC	8	8
21	Cardiff City FC	8	7
22	Derby County FC	8	5
23	Preston North End FC	8	4
24	Burnley FC	8	4

Head-to-Head

Birmingham City FC 11 games · Avg 3.3 goals Derby County FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-12-26 Birmingham City FC 1–1 Derby County FC 2022-01-30 Derby County FC 2–2 Birmingham City FC 2021-09-10 Birmingham City FC 2–0 Derby County FC 2021-04-24 Derby County FC 1–2 Birmingham City FC 2020-12-29 Birmingham City FC 0–4 Derby County FC

Recent Form

Birmingham City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Dec	Derby County FC	H	1–1	D
20 Dec	Sheffield United FC	A	0–3	L
13 Dec	Charlton Athletic FC	H	1–1	D
09 Dec	Queens Park Rangers FC	A	1–2	L
06 Dec	Southampton FC	A	1–3	L
01 Dec	Watford FC	H	2–1	W

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Dec	Birmingham City FC	A	1–1	D
20 Dec	Portsmouth FC	H	1–1	D
15 Dec	Sheffield Wednesday FC	A	3–0	W
10 Dec	Millwall FC	H	1–1	D
06 Dec	Leicester City FC	H	1–3	L
29 Nov	Middlesbrough FC	A	1–2	L

Season Stats

Birmingham City FC		Derby County FC
#10	Position	#22
11	Points	5
8	Played	8
2 / 5 / 1	W / D / L	1 / 2 / 5
12	Scored	7
11	Conceded	14
+1	GD	-7
1.38	PPG	0.63
25%	Win %	13%

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)

73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

13% Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season

13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Birmingham City FC are 10th (11 pts). Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Birmingham City FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

1/6

46-60

2/1

61-75

3/–

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Derby County FC

0-15

–/2

16-30

3/2

31-45

1/4

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/2

76+

1/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Birmingham City FC

Phil Neumann	2 G
Demarai Gray	1 G

Derby County FC

Bobby Clark	2 G	2 A
Samuel Szmodics	2 G	1 A
Carlton Morris	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Birmingham City FC launch into their encounter with Derby County FC.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Birmingham City FC 1-1 Derby County FC.

Lineups

Birmingham City FC Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Lukas Jutkiewicz	4
Colin Kazim-Richards	3
Scott Hogan	2
Ivan Sunjic	2
Graeme Shinnie	2
Krystian Bielik	2
Martyn Waghorn	2
Jamie Paterson	1

Head to Head

Birmingham City FC Form

2025-12-26 Birmingham City FC 1–1 Derby County FC D 2025-12-20 Sheffield United FC 3–0 Birmingham City FC L 2025-12-13 Birmingham City FC 1–1 Charlton Athletic FC D 2025-12-09 Queens Park Rangers FC 2–1 Birmingham City FC L 2025-12-06 Southampton FC 3–1 Birmingham City FC L 2025-12-01 Birmingham City FC 2–1 Watford FC W

Derby County FC Form

2025-12-26 Birmingham City FC 1–1 Derby County FC D 2025-12-20 Derby County FC 1–1 Portsmouth FC D 2025-12-15 Sheffield Wednesday FC 0–3 Derby County FC W 2025-12-10 Derby County FC 1–1 Millwall FC D 2025-12-06 Derby County FC 1–3 Leicester City FC L 2025-11-29 Middlesbrough FC 2–1 Derby County FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.65 Birmingham City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.14 Derby County FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Birmingham City FC47% Draw27% Derby County FC26%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes55% 0% No45%

Avg goals/match: 2.79

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	77%	23%
± 2.5	52%	48%
± 3.5	31%	69%
± 4.5	16%	84%

Double Chance

Birmingham City FC or Draw

74%

Draw or Derby County FC

53%

Birmingham City FC or Derby County FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Birmingham City FC34% Draw46% Derby County FC20%

Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

9.2%

2 – 1

9.2%

2 – 0

8.2%

0 – 0

1 – 2

6.3%

0 – 1

6.1%

2 – 2

5.3%

3 – 1

5.1%

3 – 0

4.4%

0 – 2

3.9%

3 – 2

Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC

Handicap	Birmingham City FC covers	Push	Derby County FC covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	15%	74%
-1.5	26%	—	74%
-1	26%	22%	52%
-0.5	48%	—	52%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	15%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet

33% ✓

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.