VfL Wolfsburg vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
VfL Wolfsburg vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.
- VfL Wolfsburg 34 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 games · 61 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
- Assistant 1 Jonas Weickenmeier
- Assistant 2 Christof Gunsch
20 games this season
🟨 1.0/game
⚽ 5.6 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 2–2 | D |
| 03 May | Borussia Dortmund | A | 0–4 | L |
| 26 Apr | SC Freiburg | H | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Apr | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Apr | RB Leipzig | H | 2–3 | L |
| 06 Apr | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 2–2 | D |
| 03 May | Borussia Monchengladbach | A | 4–4 | D |
| 26 Apr | Borussia Dortmund | H | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Apr | SC Freiburg | A | 2–3 | L |
| 12 Apr | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Apr | RB Leipzig | A | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| VfL Wolfsburg | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #5 |
| 29 | Points | 61 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 7 / 8 / 19 | W / D / L | 18 / 7 / 9 |
| 45 | Scored | 65 |
| 69 | Conceded | 52 |
| -24 | GD | +13 |
| 0.85 | PPG | 1.79 |
| 21% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
88%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
82%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
6%
Clean Sheets
VfL Wolfsburg this season
VfL Wolfsburg this season
21%
Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
VfL Wolfsburg are 16th (29 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
VfL Wolfsburg
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
–/3
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — VfL Wolfsburg and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim get this one started.
- 1' What a moment for Leo Ostigard! That strike on 1 puts his side firmly in control.
- 6' VfL Wolfsburg have won 479 goals from 471 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 11' The home supporters are growing impatient. VfL Wolfsburg must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 16' A quiet spell here at Volkswagen Arena. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 21' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim come into this ranked 15 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 26' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Oliver Baumann made 407 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 31' VfL Wolfsburg currently sit 12 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 34' GOAL! Pavel Kaderabek fires home to make it 0-2!
- 39' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 43' Anton Stach picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 46' The VfL Wolfsburg manager makes a substitution. Jakub Kaminski departs to be replaced by Lovro Majer.
- 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 56' Kevin Akpoguma has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 61' Time for substitution for VfL Wolfsburg. Kilian Fischer is replaced by Mads Roerslev.
- 66' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 71' Haris Tabakovic has so much to prove this time. He replaces Bazoumana Toure on 71 minute.
- 72' Lukas Nmecha is ready to make an impact after coming on for Patrick Wimmer at the 72 minute mark.
- 77' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering VfL Wolfsburg that had 471 games and scored 479 goals.
- 80' A moment of madness from Andrej Kramaric on 80 minutes earns him a card. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim will be frustrated.
- 81' The deadlock is broken! Jonas Wind gets on the scoresheet on 81 minutes.
- 84' Marius Bulter makes no mistake. The score reads 1-3 and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are in front.
- 88' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim make a change. Tom Bischof trudges off to be replaced by Finn Ole Becker on 88 minutes.
- 89' Tiago Tomas is replacing Mohammed Amoura for the VfL Wolfsburg side.
- 90' The crowd applauds Andrej Kramaric as he leaves the pitch. Dennis Geiger steps in for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.
- will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.
Lineups
VfL Wolfsburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1
- 31
- 21
- 18
- 23
- 6
-
16
Jakub Kaminski ↓ Lovro Majer 46'
-
39
Patrick Wimmer ↓ Lukas Nmecha 72'
-
2
Kilian Fischer ↓ Mads Roerslev 61'
-
9
Mohammed Amoura ↓ Tiago Tomas 89'
- 4
Bench
-
10
Lukas Nmecha ↑ 72'
- 12
-
19
Lovro Majer ↑ 46'
-
5
Mads Roerslev ↑ 61'
-
7
Andreas Skov Olsen ↑ 46'
-
11
Tiago Tomas ↑ 89'
- 33
- 24
- 44
Coach
Tobias Holm
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 25
- 1
- 3
-
27
Andrej Kramaric ↓ Dennis Geiger 90'
- 21
- 23
- 4
- 16
- 35
-
7
Tom Bischof ↓ Finn Ole Becker 88'
- 29
Bench
-
8
Dennis Geiger ↑ 90'
-
20
Finn Ole Becker ↑ 88'
-
26
Haris Tabakovic ↑ 71'
- 37
- 22
- 17
- 19
- 33
- 2
Coach
Christian Ilzer
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Wout Weghorst | 7 |
| Andrej Kramaric | 5 |
| Christoph Baumgartner | 4 |
| Pavel Kaderabek | 3 |
| Jonas Wind | 3 |
| Maximilian Beier | 2 |
| Ridle Baku | 2 |
| Lovro Majer | 2 |
Head to Head
VfL Wolfsburg Form
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form
2025-05-09
VfL Wolfsburg
2–2
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
D
2025-05-03
Borussia Monchengladbach
4–4
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
D
2025-04-26
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2–3
Borussia Dortmund
L
2025-04-19
SC Freiburg
3–2
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
2025-04-12
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2–0
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2025-04-05
RB Leipzig
3–1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.77
VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.13
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for:
VfL Wolfsburg or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 77% + Over 2.5 goals 73%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.9
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 3.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 4.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
Double Chance
VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
59%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
64%
VfL Wolfsburg or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
6.6%
1 – 3
5.5%
2 – 3
4.9%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 1
3.9%
3 – 1
3.9%
2 – 0
3.3%
0 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg
| Handicap | VfL Wolfsburg covers | Push | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 10% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 15% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +1 | 54% | 19% | 27% |
| +1.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +2 | 73% | 14% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.