TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga at PreZero Arena.
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 games · 61 pts (2025/26)
- VfL Wolfsburg 34 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Felix Zwayer
- Assistant 1 Thomas Gorniak
- Assistant 2 Marcel Pelgrim
35 games this season
🟨 1.6/game
⚽ 7.2 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Aug | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Aug | SC Freiburg | H | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Aug | VfB Lubeck | A | 4–1 | W |
| 27 May | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 May | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 4–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Aug | 1. FC Koln | A | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Aug | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Aug | TuS Makkabi Berlin | A | 6–0 | W |
| 27 May | Hertha BSC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 19 May | SC Freiburg | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | VfL Wolfsburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #16 |
| 61 | Points | 29 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 18 / 7 / 9 | W / D / L | 7 / 8 / 19 |
| 65 | Scored | 45 |
| 52 | Conceded | 69 |
| +13 | GD | -24 |
| 1.79 | PPG | 0.85 |
| 53% | Win % | 21% |
Key Stats
88%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
82%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
6%
Clean Sheets
VfL Wolfsburg this season
VfL Wolfsburg this season
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts). VfL Wolfsburg are 16th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
VfL Wolfsburg
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
–/3
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to PreZero Arena that hosts another battle between TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and VfL Wolfsburg.
- 5' It looks like no one’s ball. VfL Wolfsburg is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 10' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Wout Weghorst.
- 15' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim currently sit 10 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 25' A moment of madness from Ihlas Bebou on 25 minutes earns him a Yellow card. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim will be frustrated.
- 30' Wout Weghorst is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim tonight.
- 35' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 36' Magnificent from Tiago Tomas! That is 24 goals in 505 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 41' VfL Wolfsburg fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 43' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Joakim Maehle on 43 minutes.
- 47' What composure from John Brooks! The USA international strokes it home. 1-1.
- 52' Maximilian Arnold has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 57' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 59' The TSG 1899 Hoffenheim bench stirs into life. Marius Bulter is withdrawn and Robert Skov gets his opportunity.
- 60' A goal from the Germany international Maximilian Beier! He fires home on 60 to make it 2-1!
- 65' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 68' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Mergim Berisha is hanging Maximilian Beier on the field on 68 minute.
- 73' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with TSG 1899 Hoffenheim winning 50% of all matches.
- 74' The deadlock is broken! Robert Skov gets on the scoresheet on 74 minutes.
- 74' That is a Yellow card for VfL Wolfsburg. Mattias Svanberg will be fuming at that decision.
- 75' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Mattias Svanberg on 75 minutes.
- 78' The supporters are chanting for Yannick Gerhardt. He replaces Mattias Svanberg on 78 minute.
- 83' VfL Wolfsburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jakub Kaminski is hanging Vaclav Cerny on the field on 83 minute.
- 88' The home supporters are growing impatient. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 90' The TSG 1899 Hoffenheim bench stirs into life. Andrej Kramaric is withdrawn and Diadie Samassekou gets his opportunity.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 10
- 23
- 9
- 22
- 1
- 27
- 11
- 6
-
21
Marius Bulter ↓ Robert Skov 59'
- 41
- 14
Bench
-
7
Mergim Berisha ↑ 68'
-
18
Diadie Samassekou ↑ 90'
-
29
Robert Skov ↑ 59'
- 20
- 17
- 36
- 39
- 48
- 34
Coach
Pellegrino Matarazzo
VfL Wolfsburg Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
7
Vaclav Cerny ↓ Jakub Kaminski 83'
- 4
- 1
- 27
- 32
- 13
-
19
Lovro Majer ↓ Amin Sarr 68'
-
21
Joakim Maehle ↓ Ridle Baku 68'
- 23
- 5
-
11
Tiago Tomas ↓ Kevin Paredes 68'
Bench
-
31
Yannick Gerhardt ↑ 78'
- 12
-
20
Ridle Baku ↑ 68'
- 6
-
9
Amin Sarr ↑ 68'
-
16
Jakub Kaminski ↑ 83'
-
40
Kevin Paredes ↑ 68'
- 35
- 25
Coach
Niko Kovać
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Wout Weghorst | 7 |
| Andrej Kramaric | 5 |
| Christoph Baumgartner | 4 |
| Jonas Wind | 3 |
| Pavel Kaderabek | 3 |
| Lovro Majer | 2 |
| William | 2 |
| Maximilian Beier | 2 |
Head to Head
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form
2023-09-02
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
3–1
VfL Wolfsburg
W
2023-08-26
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
2–3
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
2023-08-19
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–2
SC Freiburg
L
2023-08-14
VfB Lubeck
1–4
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
2023-05-27
VfB Stuttgart
1–1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
D
2023-05-20
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
4–2
1. FC Union Berlin
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.45
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48
VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 70%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.93
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 4.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
Double Chance
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw
78%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
43%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or VfL Wolfsburg
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 1
7.9%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 0
6%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 2
5%
3 – 0
4.8%
1 – 0
4.5%
4 – 1
4.2%
4 – 2
3.1%
0 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
| Handicap | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers | Push | VfL Wolfsburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -2 | 21% | 17% | 62% |
| -1.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 20% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 12% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 6% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

