Sunday , 16 August 2026

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 2 Sep 2023 · 13:30 UTC PreZero Arena 17,500 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 36' Tiago Tomas
John Brooks 45+2' 1–1
Maximilian Beier 60' 2–1
Robert Skov 74' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfL WolfsburgBundesliga at PreZero Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Zwayer
  • Assistant 1 Thomas Gorniak
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Pelgrim
16 games this season 🟨 2.7/game 10.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Sep VfL Wolfsburg H 3–1 W
26 Aug 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 3–2 W
19 Aug SC Freiburg H 1–2 L
14 Aug VfB Lubeck A 4–1 W
27 May VfB Stuttgart A 1–1 D
20 May 1. FC Union Berlin H 4–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–3 L
26 Aug 1. FC Köln A 2–1 W
19 Aug 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–0 W
13 Aug TuS Makkabi Berlin A 6–0 W
27 May Hertha BSC H 1–2 L
19 May SC Freiburg A 0–2 L

Season Stats

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim VfL Wolfsburg
#11 Position #1
0 Points 29
0 Played 34
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 19
0 Scored 45
0 Conceded 69
+0 GD -24
PPG 0.85
Win % 21%

Key Stats

88% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
82% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 11th (0 pts). VfL Wolfsburg are 1st (29 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at PreZero Arena!
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' The referee shows TSG 1899 Hoffenheim player a Yellow card on 10.
  • 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 20' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 25' Ihlas Bebou was booked on 25.
  • 30' VfL Wolfsburg is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 35' VfL Wolfsburg fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 36' A stunning finish from Tiago Tomas — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 41' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 43' Joakim Maehle was booked on 43.
  • 47' Goal! John Brooks scores his 11 goal in 471 matches.
  • 52' It looks surprising VfL Wolfsburg does not make any changes. Wout Weghorst has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 57' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Maxence Lacroix made 328 appearances and scored 10 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 59' A change in the TSG 1899 Hoffenheim ranks — Marius Bulter exits the field as Robert Skov enters on 59.
  • 60' A stunning finish from Maximilian Beier — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 65' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 65 minutes.
  • 68' Maximilian Beier makes way for Mergim Berisha at the 68 minute mark. A tactical switch from TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.
  • 73' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 74' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Robert Skov makes no mistake. 3-1!
  • 74' Mattias Svanberg is having his name booked by the referee on 74.
  • 75' VfL Wolfsburg receives a card for a hard tackle on 75.
  • 78' Yannick Gerhardt gets the nod from VfL Wolfsburg. He replaces Mattias Svanberg and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 83' Fresh legs for VfL Wolfsburg! Jakub Kaminski comes on to replace Vaclav Cerny.
  • 88' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering TSG 1899 Hoffenheim that had 407 games and scored 529 goals.
  • 90' A tactical swap from TSG 1899 HoffenheimDiadie Samassekou on, Andrej Kramaric off on 90 minutes.
  • The points are shared — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3-1 VfL Wolfsburg. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.07 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim43% Draw31% VfL Wolfsburg26%
Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 1.95
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 58%
42%
± 2.5 31%
69%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw
74%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
57%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or VfL Wolfsburg
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim25% Draw55% VfL Wolfsburg20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.7%
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
13.9%
0 – 1
11.2%
2 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
7%
1 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
3.2%
3 – 0
2.7%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Handicap TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 11% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 22% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 18% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
42%
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
35%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.