VfL Wolfsburg vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2023-24

VfL Wolfsburg

2 – 2

Full Time

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Sun 4 Feb 2024 · 14:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena 20,000 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 6' Maximilian Beier

Lovro Majer 58' 1–1

1–2 66' Grischa Promel

Lovro Majer pen 70' 2–2

Y 57' Ozan Kabak

Y 69' Stanley N'Soki

Moritz Jenz 90' Y

Y 90' John Brooks

Lovro Majer 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

VfL Wolfsburg 34 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 games · 61 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Florian Badstubner
Assistant 1 Markus Schuller
Assistant 2 Philipp Huwe

18 games this season 🟨 0.8/game ⚽ 4.5 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

VfL Wolfsburg 17 games · Avg 3.4 goals TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Last 5 meetings

2024-02-04 VfL Wolfsburg 2–2 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2023-09-02 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3–1 VfL Wolfsburg 2023-05-13 VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2022-11-12 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg 2022-02-19 VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Recent Form

VfL Wolfsburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Feb	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	2–2	D
27 Jan	1. FC Koln	H	1–1	D
20 Jan	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	A	1–1	D
13 Jan	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	1–1	D
20 Dec	FC Bayern München	H	1–2	L
16 Dec	SV Darmstadt 98	A	1–0	W

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Feb	VfL Wolfsburg	A	2–2	D
27 Jan	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	H	1–1	D
20 Jan	SC Freiburg	A	2–3	L
12 Jan	FC Bayern München	A	0–3	L
19 Dec	SV Darmstadt 98	H	3–3	D
16 Dec	RB Leipzig	A	1–3	L

Season Stats

VfL Wolfsburg		TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#16	Position	#5
29	Points	61
34	Played	34
7 / 8 / 19	W / D / L	18 / 7 / 9
45	Scored	65
69	Conceded	52
-24	GD	+13
0.85	PPG	1.79
21%	Win %	53%

Key Stats

88% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

82% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

6% Clean Sheets
VfL Wolfsburg this season

21% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

VfL Wolfsburg are 16th (29 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfL Wolfsburg

0-15

1/–

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/2

46-60

2/3

61-75

–/3

76+

2/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

0-15

1/4

16-30

4/2

31-45

4/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/1

76+

1/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for VfL Wolfsburg to score. At the same time, TSG 1899 Hoffenheim does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
5' VfL Wolfsburg have won 479 goals from 471 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
6' Magnificent from Maximilian Beier! That is 31 goals in 407 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
11' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
16' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His VfL Wolfsburg side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
21' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with TSG 1899 Hoffenheim winning 50% of all matches.
26' VfL Wolfsburg are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined TSG 1899 Hoffenheim backline.
31' Both keepers have barely been tested. VfL Wolfsburg and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
36' Supporters expect more eagerness from Koen Casteels, as he is very good at scoring at Volkswagen Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
41' It’s high time Niko Kovać made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
46' The VfL Wolfsburg bench stirs into life. Vaclav Cerny is withdrawn and Mattias Svanberg gets his opportunity.
51' The energy levels are beginning to show. Pellegrino Matarazzo might look to freshen things up shortly.
55' Another substitution for VfL Wolfsburg to replace Aster Vranckx by Lovro Majer on 55 minute.
56' The VfL Wolfsburg manager makes a substitution. Aster Vranckx departs to be replaced by Lovro Majer.
57' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 57.
58' Assisted by Kevin Behrens with the perfectly-timed delivery and Lovro Majer makes no mistake. 1-1!
63' VfL Wolfsburg started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 63.
65' Fresh legs for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim! Robert Skov comes on to replace Umut Tohumcu.
66' Grischa Promel doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
69' Stanley N'Soki was booked on 69.
70' GOAL! Lovro Majer scores on 70. Assisted by Lovro Majer
75' VfL Wolfsburg are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against TSG 1899 Hoffenheim's 4-1-2-1-2 shape.
80' Marius Bulter needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
84' Dzenan Pejcinovic has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kevin Behrens on 84 minute.
86' Time for substitution for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim. Andrej Kramaric is replaced by Bambase Conte.
90' A change in the TSG 1899 Hoffenheim ranks — Maximilian Beier exits the field as Marius Bulter enters on 90.
90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Moritz Jenz on 90.
celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

7
Vaclav Cerny ↓ Mattias Svanberg 46'
1
Koen Casteels
27
Maximilian Arnold
17
Kevin Behrens ↓ Dzenan Pejcinovic 84'
13
Rogerio
21
Joakim Maehle ↓ Ridle Baku 55'
3
Sebastiaan Bornauw
23
Jonas Wind
6
Aster Vranckx ↓ Lovro Majer 56'
40
Kevin Paredes
25
Moritz Jenz

Bench

Coach Niko Kovać

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

4-1-2-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

9
Ihlas Bebou ↑ 65'
25
Kevin Akpoguma
21
Marius Bulter ↑ 90'
29
Robert Skov ↑ 65'
37
Luca Philipp
39
Tom Bischof
15
Kasim Adams
19
David Jurasek
31
Bambase Conte ↑ 86'

Coach Pellegrino Matarazzo

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Wout Weghorst	7
Andrej Kramaric	5
Christoph Baumgartner	4
Jonas Wind	3
Pavel Kaderabek	3
Ridle Baku	2
Lovro Majer	2
William	2

Head to Head

VfL Wolfsburg Form

2024-02-04 VfL Wolfsburg 2–2 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim D 2024-01-27 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 1. FC Koln D 2024-01-20 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg D 2024-01-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg D 2023-12-20 VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 FC Bayern München L 2023-12-16 SV Darmstadt 98 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg W

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form

2024-02-04 VfL Wolfsburg 2–2 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim D 2024-01-27 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 D 2024-01-20 SC Freiburg 3–2 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim L 2024-01-12 FC Bayern München 3–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim L 2023-12-19 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3–3 SV Darmstadt 98 D 2023-12-16 RB Leipzig 3–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.69 VfL Wolfsburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG

I would bet for: VfL Wolfsburg or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 76% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

VfL Wolfsburg37% Draw24% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim39%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes70% 0% No30%

Avg goals/match: 3.69

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	70%	30%
± 3.5	50%	50%
± 4.5	31%	69%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw

61%

Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

63%

VfL Wolfsburg or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

VfL Wolfsburg26% Draw40% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim34%

Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.3%

1 – 2

8.2%

2 – 1

6.9%

2 – 2

Actual

1 – 3

5.4%

0 – 2

5.1%

2 – 3

4.5%

0 – 1

4.5%

3 – 1

3.9%

3 – 2

3.9%

0 – 0

3.8%

1 – 0

3.7%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap	VfL Wolfsburg covers	Push	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	10%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	16%	68%
-0.5	32%	—	68%
+0.5	56%	—	44%
+1	56%	19%	26%
+1.5	74%	—	26%
+2	74%	13%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.