Saturday , 14 November 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sun 4 Feb 2024 · 14:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena 20,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 6' Maximilian Beier
Lovro Majer 58' 1–1
1–2 66' Grischa Promel
Lovro Majer pen 70' 2–2

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Badstubner
  • Assistant 1 Markus Schuller
  • Assistant 2 Philipp Huwe
8 games this season 🟨 2.8/game ⚽ 10.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 2–2 D
27 Jan 1. FC Köln H 1–1 D
20 Jan 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–1 D
13 Jan 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
20 Dec FC Bayern München H 1–2 L
16 Dec SV Darmstadt 98 A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Feb VfL Wolfsburg A 2–2 D
27 Jan 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 1–1 D
20 Jan SC Freiburg A 2–3 L
12 Jan FC Bayern München A 0–3 L
19 Dec SV Darmstadt 98 H 3–3 D
16 Dec RB Leipzig A 1–3 L

Key Stats

88% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
82% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/4
61-75
2/4
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Adam Daghim 2 G 2 A
Bambase Conte 2 G 2 A
Adam Hlozek 2 G 1 A
Tim Lemperle 2 G
Ozan Kabak 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.62 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for: VfL Wolfsburg or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 74% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Wolfsburg44% Draw26% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 2.99
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
70%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
56%
VfL Wolfsburg or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Wolfsburg31% Draw44% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim25%
Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 2
7.4%
1 – 0
7.3%
0 – 0
6.8%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 1
6%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 20% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 17% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.