Wednesday , 30 September 2026

RB Leipzig vs Manchester City FC, Champions League 2023-24 GROUP STAGE

Wed 4 Oct 2023 · 19:00 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 25' Phil Foden
Lois Openda 48' 1–1
1–2 84' Julian Alvarez
1–3 90+2' Jeremy Doku

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs Manchester City FC — Champions League at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Artur Dias (Portugal)
  • Assistant 1 Paulo Soares
  • Assistant 2 Pedro Ribeiro
3 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 7.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Manchester City FC H 1–3 L
30 Sep FC Bayern München H 2–2 D
27 Sep SV Wehen Wiesbaden A 3–2 W
23 Sep Borussia Mönchengladbach A 1–0 W
19 Sep BSC Young Boys A 3–1 W
16 Sep FC Augsburg H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct RB Leipzig A 3–1 W
30 Sep Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 1–2 L
23 Sep Nottingham Forest FC H 2–0 W
19 Sep FK Crvena Zvezda H 3–1 W
16 Sep West Ham United FC A 3–1 W
02 Sep Fulham FC H 5–1 W

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
100% Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Manchester City FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Manchester City FC
Erling Haaland 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.43 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.94 Manchester City FC xG
I would bet for: RB Leipzig or Manchester City FC 74% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig30% Draw26% Manchester City FC44%
Actual: Manchester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.37
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
55%
Draw or Manchester City FC
70%
RB Leipzig or Manchester City FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig23% Draw41% Manchester City FC36%
Actual: Manchester City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
1 – 2
8.9%
2 – 1
6.6%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
6.3%
0 – 1
6.1%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
4.9%
1 – 0
4.3%
2 – 3
4.1%
0 – 3
4.1%
2 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push Manchester City FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 8% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 15% 72%
-0.5 28% — 72%
+0.5 52% — 48%
+1 52% 20% 28%
+1.5 72% — 28%
+2 72% 15% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
15% ✓
Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.