Sunday , 16 August 2026

RB Leipzig vs Manchester City FC, Champions League 2023-24 GROUP STAGE

Wed 4 Oct 2023 · 19:00 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 25' Phil Foden
Lois Openda 48' 1–1
1–2 84' Julian Alvarez
1–3 90+2' Jeremy Doku

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs Manchester City FCChampions League at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Artur Dias (Portugal)
  • Assistant 1 Paulo Soares
  • Assistant 2 Pedro Ribeiro
3 games this season 🟨 3.0/game 7.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Manchester City FC H 1–3 L
30 Sep FC Bayern München H 2–2 D
27 Sep SV Wehen Wiesbaden A 3–2 W
23 Sep Borussia Mönchengladbach A 1–0 W
19 Sep BSC Young Boys A 3–1 W
16 Sep FC Augsburg H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct RB Leipzig A 3–1 W
30 Sep Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 1–2 L
23 Sep Nottingham Forest FC H 2–0 W
19 Sep FK Crvena Zvezda H 3–1 W
16 Sep West Ham United FC A 3–1 W
02 Sep Fulham FC H 5–1 W

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
30% Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season

Top Scorers (This Season)

Manchester City FC
Erling Haaland 8 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for RB Leipzig to score. At the same time, Manchester City FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-2-4-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 15' RB Leipzig have won 719 goals from 513 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 25' Phil Foden adds to his 3 season tally! Manchester City FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 30' Nathan Ake is a natural defender and has been asked to do a very specific job for Manchester City FC tonight.
  • 35' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 40' Belgium international Jeremy Doku has been a key figure this campaign — 3 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 45' The energy levels are beginning to show. Pep Guardiola might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 48' What composure from Lois Openda! The Belgium international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 53' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 58' Castello Lukeba has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 63' It is a cagey affair so far. RB Leipzig in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Manchester City FC's compact 3-2-4-1.
  • 66' Manuel Akanji picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 70' Benjamin Sesko has so much to prove this time. He replaces Emil Forsberg on 70 minute.
  • 72' The Manchester City FC bench stirs into life. Jack Grealish is withdrawn and Nathan Ake gets his opportunity.
  • 73' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Xaver Schlager.
  • 75' RB Leipzig manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Christoph Baumgartner is hanging Yussuf Poulsen on the field on 75 minute.
  • 78' That is a Yellow card for RB Leipzig. David Raum will be fuming at that decision.
  • 79' A change in the Manchester City FC ranks — Phil Foden exits the field as Julian Alvarez enters on 79.
  • 84' A goal from the Argentina international Julian Alvarez! He fires home on 84 to make it 1-2!
  • 86' Fresh legs for RB Leipzig! Amadou Haidara comes on to replace Nicolas Seiwald.
  • 87' The supporters are chanting for Matheus Nunes. He replaces Bernardo Silva on 87 minute.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — RB Leipzig 1-3 Manchester City FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.43 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.94 Manchester City FC xG
I would bet for: RB Leipzig or Manchester City FC 74% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig30% Draw26% Manchester City FC44%
Actual: Manchester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.37
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
55%
Draw or Manchester City FC
70%
RB Leipzig or Manchester City FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig23% Draw41% Manchester City FC36%
Actual: Manchester City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
1 – 2
8.9%
2 – 1
6.6%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
6.3%
0 – 1
6.1%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
4.9%
1 – 0
4.3%
2 – 3
4.1%
0 – 3
4.1%
2 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push Manchester City FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 8% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 15% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 52% 48%
+1 52% 20% 28%
+1.5 72% 28%
+2 72% 15% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
15%
Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.