Thursday , 2 July 2026

RB Leipzig vs Manchester City FC, Champions League 2023-24 GROUP STAGE

Wed 4 Oct 2023 · 19:00 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 25' Phil Foden
Lois Openda 48' 1–1
1–2 84' Julian Alvarez
1–3 90+2' Jeremy Doku

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs Manchester City FCChampions League at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Artur Dias (Portugal)
  • Assistant 1 Paulo Soares
  • Assistant 2 Pedro Ribeiro
3 games this season 🟨 3.0/game 7.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Manchester City FC H 1–3 L
30 Sep FC Bayern München H 2–2 D
27 Sep SV Wehen Wiesbaden A 3–2 W
23 Sep Borussia Monchengladbach A 1–0 W
19 Sep BSC Young Boys A 3–1 W
16 Sep FC Augsburg H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct RB Leipzig A 3–1 W
30 Sep Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 1–2 L
23 Sep Nottingham Forest FC H 2–0 W
19 Sep FK Crvena Zvezda H 3–1 W
16 Sep West Ham United FC A 3–1 W
02 Sep Fulham FC H 5–1 W

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
30% Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Red Bull Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' Manchester City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 20' It’s high time Pep Guardiola made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 25' GOAL! Phil Foden scores on 25. Assisted by Rico Lewis
  • 30' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 35' Supporters expect more eagerness from David Raum, as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
  • 40' It looks like no one’s ball. RB Leipzig is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 45' The travelling Manchester City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 48' What a strike from Lois Openda! The score is 1-1.
  • 53' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 53 minutes.
  • 58' Nathan Ake needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 63' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Josko Gvardiol made 188 appearances and scored 22 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 66' Manuel Akanji was booked on 66.
  • 70' Time for substitution for RB Leipzig. Emil Forsberg is replaced by Benjamin Sesko.
  • 72' The Manchester City FC manager makes a substitution. Jack Grealish departs to be replaced by Nathan Ake.
  • 73' RB Leipzig receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 73.
  • 75' It is a substitution in RB Leipzig team. Yussuf Poulsen is replaced by Christoph Baumgartner on 75 minute.
  • 78' It’s a booking for RB Leipzig player. David Raum gets a Yellow card.
  • 79' Julian Alvarez is replacing Phil Foden for the Manchester City FC side.
  • 84' What a strike from Julian Alvarez! The score is 1-2.
  • 86' The RB Leipzig manager makes a substitution. Nicolas Seiwald departs to be replaced by Amadou Haidara.
  • 87' The Manchester City FC manager makes a substitution. Bernardo Silva departs to be replaced by Matheus Nunes.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for RB Leipzig.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.43 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.94 Manchester City FC xG
I would bet for: RB Leipzig or Manchester City FC 74% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig30% Draw26% Manchester City FC44%
Actual: Manchester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.37
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
55%
Draw or Manchester City FC
70%
RB Leipzig or Manchester City FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig23% Draw41% Manchester City FC36%
Actual: Manchester City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
1 – 2
8.9%
2 – 1
6.6%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
6.3%
0 – 1
6.1%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
4.9%
1 – 0
4.3%
2 – 3
4.1%
0 – 3
4.1%
2 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push Manchester City FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 8% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 15% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 52% 48%
+1 52% 20% 28%
+1.5 72% 28%
+2 72% 15% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
15%
Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.