Sunday , 16 August 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 7 Oct 2023 · 13:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena 52,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 34' Yannick Gerhardt
Sehrou Guirassy pen 67' 1–1
Sehrou Guirassy 78' 2–1
Sehrou Guirassy 82' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs VfL WolfsburgBundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Siebert
  • Assistant 1 Jan Seidel
  • Assistant 2 Rafael Foltyn
12 games this season 🟨 2.3/game 5.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Oct VfL Wolfsburg H 3–1 W
30 Sep 1. FC Köln A 2–0 W
22 Sep SV Darmstadt 98 H 3–1 W
16 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 3–1 W
02 Sep SC Freiburg H 5–0 W
25 Aug RB Leipzig A 1–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Oct VfB Stuttgart A 1–3 L
30 Sep Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–0 W
23 Sep Borussia Dortmund A 0–1 L
16 Sep 1. FC Union Berlin H 2–1 W
02 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–3 L
26 Aug 1. FC Köln A 2–1 W

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart VfL Wolfsburg
#10 Position #1
0 Points 29
0 Played 34
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 19
0 Scored 45
0 Conceded 69
+0 GD -24
PPG 0.85
Win % 21%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

VfB Stuttgart are 10th (0 pts). VfL Wolfsburg are 1st (29 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' VfB Stuttgart have kicked off against VfL Wolfsburg. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Mattias Svanberg was booked on 5.
  • 10' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 15' VfB Stuttgart are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined VfL Wolfsburg backline.
  • 20' VfL Wolfsburg is showing some good football. However, VfL Wolfsburg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 25' A quiet spell here at Mercedes-Benz Arena. VfB Stuttgart seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 30' Cedric Zesiger needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 34' Yannick Gerhardt has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 34 minutes.
  • 39' Koen Casteels is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for VfB Stuttgart so far.
  • 42' The referee shows VfL Wolfsburg player a Yellow card on 42.
  • 47' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both VfB Stuttgart and VfL Wolfsburg are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 52' VfL Wolfsburg is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 57' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 61' Deniz Undav has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jamie Leweling on 61 minute.
  • 62' The VfL Wolfsburg manager makes a substitution. Yannick Gerhardt departs to be replaced by Aster Vranckx.
  • 67' What an equalizer from Sehrou Guirassy!
  • 72' It looks surprising VfL Wolfsburg does not make any changes. Jamie Leweling has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 73' A meaty challenge results in booking for Aster Vranckx on 73.
  • 78' Sehrou Guirassy doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 79' Vaclav Cerny is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tiago Tomas at the 79 minute mark.
  • 82' What a moment for Sehrou Guirassy! That strike on 82 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 83' Dan-Axel Zagadou has so much to prove this time. He replaces Anthony Rouault on 83 minute.
  • 88' VfL Wolfsburg fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 90' That is a Yellow card for VfB Stuttgart. Deniz Undav will be fuming at that decision.
  • 90' Leonidas Stergiou gets the nod from VfB Stuttgart. He replaces Sehrou Guirassy and will look to change the dynamic.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.22 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.51 VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 75% + Under — clean sheet likely 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart53% Draw30% VfL Wolfsburg17%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes29% 0% No71%
Avg goals/match: 1.73
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 80%
20%
± 1.5 52%
48%
± 2.5 25%
75%
± 3.5 10%
90%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
84%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
47%
VfB Stuttgart or VfL Wolfsburg
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Stuttgart33% Draw57% VfL Wolfsburg10%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
20.5%
0 – 0
20.3%
2 – 0
12.6%
1 – 1
11.7%
0 – 1
7.7%
2 – 1
6.7%
3 – 0
5%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
2.7%
0 – 2
2%
2 – 2
1.8%
4 – 0
1.6%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 16% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 28% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 86% 14%
+1 86% 11% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 3% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
61%
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.