Wednesday , 30 September 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 7 Oct 2023 · 13:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena 52,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 34' Yannick Gerhardt
Sehrou Guirassy pen 67' 1–1
Sehrou Guirassy 78' 2–1
Sehrou Guirassy 82' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Siebert
  • Assistant 1 Jan Seidel
  • Assistant 2 Rafael Foltyn
5 games this season 🟨 5.4/game ⚽ 12.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Oct VfL Wolfsburg H 3–1 W
30 Sep 1. FC Köln A 2–0 W
22 Sep SV Darmstadt 98 H 3–1 W
16 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 3–1 W
02 Sep SC Freiburg H 5–0 W
25 Aug RB Leipzig A 1–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Oct VfB Stuttgart A 1–3 L
30 Sep Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–0 W
23 Sep Borussia Dortmund A 0–1 L
16 Sep 1. FC Union Berlin H 2–1 W
02 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–3 L
26 Aug 1. FC Köln A 2–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. VfB Stuttgart host VfL Wolfsburg — let the battle begin!
  • 5' It’s a booking for VfL Wolfsburg player. Mattias Svanberg gets a Yellow card.
  • 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both VfB Stuttgart and VfL Wolfsburg are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. VfB Stuttgart needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 20' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 25' VfB Stuttgart are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against VfL Wolfsburg's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 30' Jonas Wind has been relatively quiet despite scoring 42 goals in his last 105 appearances.
  • 34' Yannick Gerhardt has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 34 minutes.
  • 39' VfL Wolfsburg fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 42' The referee has no hesitation. Jonas Wind is booked for VfL Wolfsburg — Yellow card on 42.
  • 47' VfL Wolfsburg come into this ranked 7 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 52' VfB Stuttgart seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 57' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 61' The VfB Stuttgart bench stirs into life. Jamie Leweling is withdrawn and Deniz Undav gets his opportunity.
  • 62' The supporters are chanting for Aster Vranckx. He replaces Yannick Gerhardt on 62 minute.
  • 67' GOAL! Sehrou Guirassy scores on 67. Assisted by Sehrou Guirassy
  • 72' The travelling VfL Wolfsburg supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 73' Aster Vranckx catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 73.
  • 78' A stunning finish from Sehrou Guirassy — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 79' The VfL Wolfsburg bench stirs into life. Tiago Tomas is withdrawn and Vaclav Cerny gets his opportunity.
  • 82' What a moment for Sehrou Guirassy! That strike on 82 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 83' It is a substitution in VfB Stuttgart team. Anthony Rouault is replaced by Dan-Axel Zagadou on 83 minute.
  • 88' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Niko Kovać will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 90' That is a Yellow card for VfB Stuttgart. Deniz Undav will be fuming at that decision.
  • 90' Sehrou Guirassy makes way for Leonidas Stergiou at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from VfB Stuttgart.
  • 3-1 the final result. VfL Wolfsburg will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.86 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for: VfB Stuttgart to win 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart56% Draw24% VfL Wolfsburg20%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.89
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
80%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
44%
VfB Stuttgart or VfL Wolfsburg
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Stuttgart40% Draw44% VfL Wolfsburg16%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
1 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
9.4%
0 – 0
7.3%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
5.7%
1 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 1
4.9%
3 – 2
3.2%
0 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 17% 68%
-1.5 32% — 68%
-1 32% 23% 45%
-0.5 55% — 45%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 12% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.