VfB Stuttgart vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
VfB Stuttgart vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.
- VfB Stuttgart 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)
- VfL Wolfsburg 34 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Daniel Siebert
- Assistant 1 Jan Seidel
- Assistant 2 Rafael Foltyn
29 games this season
🟨 1.6/game
⚽ 5.8 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Sep | 1. FC Koln | A | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | SV Darmstadt 98 | H | 3–1 | W |
| 16 Sep | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 3–1 | W |
| 02 Sep | SC Freiburg | H | 5–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | RB Leipzig | A | 1–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Sep | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Sep | Borussia Dortmund | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Sep | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Sep | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Aug | 1. FC Koln | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| VfB Stuttgart | VfL Wolfsburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #16 |
| 62 | Points | 29 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 18 / 8 / 8 | W / D / L | 7 / 8 / 19 |
| 71 | Scored | 45 |
| 49 | Conceded | 69 |
| +22 | GD | -24 |
| 1.82 | PPG | 0.85 |
| 53% | Win % | 21% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
VfB Stuttgart this season
6%
Clean Sheets
VfL Wolfsburg this season
VfL Wolfsburg this season
VfB Stuttgart are 4th (62 pts). VfL Wolfsburg are 16th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
VfB Stuttgart
0-15
2/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
VfL Wolfsburg
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
–/3
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Mercedes-Benz Arena. VfB Stuttgart are looking to make home advantage count against VfL Wolfsburg.
- 5' Mattias Svanberg has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 5.
- 10' It’s high time Sebastian Hoeneß made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
- 30' VfL Wolfsburg fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 34' GOAL! Yannick Gerhardt fires home to make it 0-1!
- 39' With 0 assists to his name this season, Lovro Majer is clearly more than just a goal scorer for VfL Wolfsburg.
- 42' VfL Wolfsburg receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 42.
- 47' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 52' It is a cagey affair so far. VfB Stuttgart in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past VfL Wolfsburg's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 57' The home supporters are growing impatient. VfB Stuttgart must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 61' A change in the VfB Stuttgart ranks — Jamie Leweling exits the field as Deniz Undav enters on 61.
- 62' Another substitution for VfL Wolfsburg to replace Yannick Gerhardt by Aster Vranckx on 62 minute.
- 67' Goal! Sehrou Guirassy scores his 126 goal in 398 matches.
- 72' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His VfB Stuttgart side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 73' VfL Wolfsburg receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 73.
- 78' Against the run of play, Sehrou Guirassy has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 79' VfL Wolfsburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Vaclav Cerny is hanging Tiago Tomas on the field on 79 minute.
- 82' The deadlock is broken! Sehrou Guirassy gets on the scoresheet on 82 minutes.
- 83' It is a substitution in VfB Stuttgart team. Anthony Rouault is replaced by Dan-Axel Zagadou on 83 minute.
- 88' Ridle Baku needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Deniz Undav.
- 90' The VfB Stuttgart bench stirs into life. Sehrou Guirassy is withdrawn and Leonidas Stergiou gets his opportunity.
- Game over. The scoreline of 3-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
VfB Stuttgart Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 16
- 2
- 33
- 15
- 27
- 9
- 21
-
18
Jamie Leweling ↓ Deniz Undav 61'
- 8
- 29
- 6
Bench
-
23
Dan-Axel Zagadou ↑ 83'
- 17
-
7
Maximilian Mittelstadt ↑ 83'
- 1
-
20
Leonidas Stergiou ↑ 90'
- 25
-
26
Deniz Undav ↑ 61'
-
14
Silas Katompa Mvumpa ↑ 61'
- 19
Coach
Sebastian Hoeneß
VfL Wolfsburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4
- 1
- 27
- 31
- 20
- 32
-
19
Lovro Majer ↓ Kevin Paredes 79'
- 21
- 23
- 5
-
11
Tiago Tomas ↓ Vaclav Cerny 79'
Bench
-
7
Vaclav Cerny ↑ 79'
- 8
- 12
- 3
-
6
Aster Vranckx ↑ 62'
- 9
-
16
Jakub Kaminski ↑ 79'
-
40
Kevin Paredes ↑ 79'
- 39
Coach
Niko Kovać
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sehrou Guirassy | 6 |
| Yannick Gerhardt | 3 |
| Gonzalo Castro | 2 |
| Omar Marmoush | 2 |
| Konstantinos Mavropanos | 2 |
| Mohammed Amoura | 2 |
| Wout Weghorst | 2 |
| John Brooks | 1 |
Head to Head
VfB Stuttgart Form
VfL Wolfsburg Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.73
VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07
VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 72% + VfB Stuttgart to win 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: VfB Stuttgart win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.8
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
VfB Stuttgart or Draw
85%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
34%
VfB Stuttgart or VfL Wolfsburg
81%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
8.5%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
7.4%
1 – 1
7.3%
1 – 0
5.9%
4 – 1
5.3%
4 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 2
4.2%
1 – 2
3.5%
0 – 0
3.4%
Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart
| Handicap | VfB Stuttgart covers | Push | VfL Wolfsburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -2 | 31% | 20% | 49% |
| -1.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| -1 | 51% | 20% | 29% |
| -0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

