VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Erzgebirge Aue, 2017

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1. Bundesliga 2017/18 · 2017

VfL Wolfsburg

1 – 4

Full Time

FC Erzgebirge Aue

Sat 12 May 2018 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Erzgebirge Aue — Bundesliga .

VfL Wolfsburg 0 games · 0 pts
FC Erzgebirge Aue 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

VfL Wolfsburg 1.16

Draw 8.00

FC Erzgebirge Aue 15.00

Head-to-Head

VfL Wolfsburg 6 games · Avg 3.0 goals FC Erzgebirge Aue

Last 5 meetings

2018-05-12 VfL Wolfsburg 1–4 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2017-12-16 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg 2016-04-09 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg 2015-11-07 VfL Wolfsburg 4–0 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2015-02-07 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–2 VfL Wolfsburg

Recent Form

VfL Wolfsburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 May	FC Erzgebirge Aue	H	1–4	L
05 May	Karlsruher SC	A	3–1	W
28 Apr	FC Hansa Rostock	H	4–1	W
21 Apr	1. FC Nürnberg	A	3–0	W
17 Apr	SV Drochtersen/Assel	A	6–2	W
14 Apr	VfB Stuttgart	H	5–1	W

FC Erzgebirge Aue

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 May	VfL Wolfsburg	A	4–1	W
05 May	SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen	H	2–0	W
28 Apr	SV Drochtersen/Assel	A	1–0	W
21 Apr	Wroxham FC	H	2–0	W
14 Apr	1. FC Nürnberg	H	1–1	D
08 Apr	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	0–3	L

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! VfL Wolfsburg welcome FC Erzgebirge Aue for this crunch clash at .
FC Erzgebirge Aue celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

FC Erzgebirge Aue Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

VfL Wolfsburg Form

2018-05-12 VfL Wolfsburg 1–4 FC Erzgebirge Aue L 2018-05-05 Karlsruher SC 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg W 2018-04-28 VfL Wolfsburg 4–1 FC Hansa Rostock W 2018-04-21 1. FC Nürnberg 0–3 VfL Wolfsburg W 2018-04-17 SV Drochtersen/Assel 2–6 VfL Wolfsburg W 2018-04-14 VfL Wolfsburg 5–1 VfB Stuttgart W

FC Erzgebirge Aue Form

2018-05-12 VfL Wolfsburg 1–4 FC Erzgebirge Aue W 2018-05-05 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2–0 SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen W 2018-04-28 SV Drochtersen/Assel 0–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue W 2018-04-21 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2–0 Wroxham FC W 2018-04-14 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg D 2018-04-08 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–0 FC Erzgebirge Aue L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 3

1.72 VfL Wolfsburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.45 FC Erzgebirge Aue xG

I would bet for: VfL Wolfsburg or FC Erzgebirge Aue 75% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

VfL Wolfsburg45% Draw25% FC Erzgebirge Aue30%

Actual: FC Erzgebirge Aue win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes63% 0% No37%

Avg goals/match: 3.17

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	60%	40%
± 3.5	39%	61%
± 4.5	22%	78%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw

70%

Draw or FC Erzgebirge Aue

55%

VfL Wolfsburg or FC Erzgebirge Aue

75%

Half-Time Result

VfL Wolfsburg32% Draw43% FC Erzgebirge Aue25%

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted

1 – 4

Actual

1 – 1

11.4%

2 – 1

8.7%

1 – 2

7.3%

1 – 0

6.5%

2 – 2

6.3%

2 – 0

6.2%

0 – 0

5.8%

0 – 1

5.3%

3 – 1

0 – 2

4.4%

3 – 2

3.6%

1 – 3

3.5%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap	VfL Wolfsburg covers	Push	FC Erzgebirge Aue covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	13%	77%
-1.5	23%	—	77%
-1	23%	20%	57%
-0.5	43%	—	57%
+0.5	69%	—	31%
+1	69%	17%	15%
+1.5	85%	—	15%
+2	85%	9%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

FC Erzgebirge Aue keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.