VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Erzgebirge Aue, 2017

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1. Bundesliga 2017/18 · 2017

VfL Wolfsburg

1 – 4

Full Time

FC Erzgebirge Aue

Sat 12 May 2018 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Erzgebirge Aue — Bundesliga .

VfL Wolfsburg 0 games · 0 pts
FC Erzgebirge Aue 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

VfL Wolfsburg 1.16

Draw 8.00

FC Erzgebirge Aue 15.00

Head-to-Head

VfL Wolfsburg 6 games · Avg 3.0 goals FC Erzgebirge Aue

Last 5 meetings

2018-05-12 VfL Wolfsburg 1–4 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2017-12-16 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg 2016-04-09 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg 2015-11-07 VfL Wolfsburg 4–0 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2015-02-07 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–2 VfL Wolfsburg

Recent Form

VfL Wolfsburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 May	FC Erzgebirge Aue	H	1–4	L
05 May	Karlsruher SC	A	3–1	W
28 Apr	FC Hansa Rostock	H	4–1	W
21 Apr	1. FC Nurnberg	A	3–0	W
17 Apr	SV Drochtersen/Assel	A	6–2	W
14 Apr	VfB Stuttgart	H	5–1	W

FC Erzgebirge Aue

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 May	VfL Wolfsburg	A	4–1	W
05 May	SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen	H	2–0	W
28 Apr	SV Drochtersen/Assel	A	1–0	W
21 Apr	Wroxham FC	H	2–0	W
14 Apr	1. FC Nurnberg	H	1–1	D
08 Apr	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	0–3	L

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. VfL Wolfsburg is hosting FC Erzgebirge Aue for another epic battle.
Another three points for FC Erzgebirge Aue.

Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

FC Erzgebirge Aue Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

VfL Wolfsburg Form

2018-05-12 VfL Wolfsburg 1–4 FC Erzgebirge Aue L 2018-05-05 Karlsruher SC 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg W 2018-04-28 VfL Wolfsburg 4–1 FC Hansa Rostock W 2018-04-21 1. FC Nurnberg 0–3 VfL Wolfsburg W 2018-04-17 SV Drochtersen/Assel 2–6 VfL Wolfsburg W 2018-04-14 VfL Wolfsburg 5–1 VfB Stuttgart W

FC Erzgebirge Aue Form

2018-05-12 VfL Wolfsburg 1–4 FC Erzgebirge Aue W 2018-05-05 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2–0 SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen W 2018-04-28 SV Drochtersen/Assel 0–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue W 2018-04-21 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2–0 Wroxham FC W 2018-04-14 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–1 1. FC Nurnberg D 2018-04-08 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–0 FC Erzgebirge Aue L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 3

1.72 VfL Wolfsburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.45 FC Erzgebirge Aue xG

I would bet for: VfL Wolfsburg or FC Erzgebirge Aue 75% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

VfL Wolfsburg45% Draw25% FC Erzgebirge Aue30%

Actual: FC Erzgebirge Aue win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes63% 0% No37%

Avg goals/match: 3.17

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	60%	40%
± 3.5	39%	61%
± 4.5	22%	78%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw

70%

Draw or FC Erzgebirge Aue

55%

VfL Wolfsburg or FC Erzgebirge Aue

75%

Half-Time Result

VfL Wolfsburg32% Draw43% FC Erzgebirge Aue25%

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted

1 – 4

Actual

1 – 1

11.4%

2 – 1

8.7%

1 – 2

7.3%

1 – 0

6.5%

2 – 2

6.3%

2 – 0

6.2%

0 – 0

5.8%

0 – 1

5.3%

3 – 1

0 – 2

4.4%

3 – 2

3.6%

1 – 3

3.5%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap	VfL Wolfsburg covers	Push	FC Erzgebirge Aue covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	13%	77%
-1.5	23%	—	77%
-1	23%	20%	57%
-0.5	43%	—	57%
+0.5	69%	—	31%
+1	69%	17%	15%
+1.5	85%	—	15%
+2	85%	9%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

FC Erzgebirge Aue keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.