Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

Toronto FC

0 – 1

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Wed 14 May 2025 · 23:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Federico Bernardeschi 19' Y

Y 24' Gilberto Flores

Y 32' Evander

Y 90' Lukas Engel

Overview

Match Preview

Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at BMO Field.

Toronto FC 18 games · 17 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

Toronto FC 16 games · Avg 2.8 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2025-05-14 Toronto FC 0–1 FC Cincinnati 2025-03-09 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC 2024-05-25 Toronto FC 3–4 FC Cincinnati 2024-02-25 FC Cincinnati 0–0 Toronto FC 2023-09-30 Toronto FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

Toronto FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 May	FC Cincinnati	H	0–1	L
10 May	D.C. United SC	H	2–0	W
03 May	New England Revolution	H	0–2	L
26 Apr	New York City FC	H	0–1	L
20 Apr	Real Salt Lake	A	1–0	W
12 Apr	Minnesota United FC	H	0–0	D

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 May	Toronto FC	A	1–0	W
10 May	Austin FC	H	2–1	W
04 May	New York City FC	A	0–1	L
26 Apr	Sporting Kansas City	H	2–1	W
20 Apr	Chicago Fire FC	A	3–2	W
12 Apr	D.C. United SC	A	1–0	W

Season Stats

Toronto FC		FC Cincinnati
#12	Position	#6
17	Points	26
18	Played	18
3 / 8 / 7	W / D / L	7 / 5 / 6
24	Scored	45
32	Conceded	44
-8	GD	+1
0.94	PPG	1.44
17%	Win %	39%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

16% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

21% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts). FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC

0-15

1/2

16-30

1/3

31-45

4/3

46-60

2/5

61-75

4/4

76+

6/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

3/2

16-30

4/7

31-45

9/5

46-60

4/7

61-75

2/1

76+

11/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

Evander	10 G	4 A
Kevin Denkey	10 G	1 A
Tom Barlow	5 G

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Toronto FC and FC Cincinnati get this one started.
5' Kevin Long has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
18' Kevin Denkey is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 7 goals this season for the .
19' A moment of madness from Federico Bernardeschi on 19 minutes earns him a card. Toronto FC will be frustrated.
20' A change in the Toronto FC ranks — Raoul Petretta exits the field as Kobe Franklin enters on 20.
24' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Gilberto Flores on 24 minutes.
29' FC Cincinnati are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
32' A meaty challenge results in booking for Evander on 32.
36' Another substitution for Toronto FC to replace Kobe Franklin by Lazar Stefanovic on 36 minute.
41' FC Cincinnati have won 361 goals from 248 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
46' Gerardo Valenzuela is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Cincinnati tonight.
51' It’s high time Pat Noonan made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
56' A quiet spell here at BMO Field. FC Cincinnati seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
59' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. Kevin Denkey is replaced by Sergio Santos.
64' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Cincinnati that had 248 games and scored 361 goals.
69' Fresh legs for Toronto FC! Maxime Dominguez comes on to replace Lorenzo Insigne.
74' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Cincinnati is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
77' FC Cincinnati make a change. Teenage Hadebe trudges off to be replaced by Alvas Powell on 77 minutes.
82' Toronto FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Cincinnati backline.
85' Kei Kamara is replacing Gerardo Valenzuela for the FC Cincinnati side.
90' That is a card for FC Cincinnati. Lukas Engel will be fuming at that decision.
That’s it! Another goalless match for Toronto FC and FC Cincinnati (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

Toronto FC Lineups

Starting XI

5
Kevin Long
10
Federico Bernardeschi ↓ Tyrese Spicer 69'
24
Lorenzo Insigne ↓ Maxime Dominguez 69'
28
Raoul Petretta ↓ Kobe Franklin 20'
1
Sean Johnson
17
Sigurd Rosted
9
Ola Brynhildsen ↓ Derrick Etienne 69'
7
Theo Corbeanu
6
Kosi Thompson
14
Alonso Coello Camarero
20
Deybi Flores

Bench

Coach Robin Fraser

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

7
Yuya Kubo ↑ 59'
11
Corey Baird
13
Evan Louro
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 77'
4
Nick Hagglund
85
Kei Kamara ↑ 85'
5
Obinna Nwobodo
17
Sergio Santos ↑ 59'
29
Lukas Engel ↑ 59'

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Luciano Acosta	5
Ian Murphy	2
Marky Delgado	2
Jonathan Osorio	2
Patrick Mullins	2
Allan Cruz	2
Brandon Vazquez	2
Luca Orellano	2

Head to Head

Toronto FC Form

2025-05-14 Toronto FC 0–1 FC Cincinnati L 2025-05-10 Toronto FC 2–0 D.C. United SC W 2025-05-03 Toronto FC 0–2 New England Revolution L 2025-04-26 Toronto FC 0–1 New York City FC L 2025-04-20 Real Salt Lake 0–1 Toronto FC W 2025-04-12 Toronto FC 0–0 Minnesota United FC D

FC Cincinnati Form

2025-05-14 Toronto FC 0–1 FC Cincinnati W 2025-05-10 FC Cincinnati 2–1 Austin FC W 2025-05-04 New York City FC 1–0 FC Cincinnati L 2025-04-26 FC Cincinnati 2–1 Sporting Kansas City W 2025-04-20 Chicago Fire FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati W 2025-04-12 D.C. United SC 0–1 FC Cincinnati W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.55 Toronto FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.04 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Toronto FC28% Draw24% FC Cincinnati48%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes68% 0% No32%

Avg goals/match: 3.59

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	68%	32%
± 3.5	48%	52%
± 4.5	29%	71%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw

52%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

72%

Toronto FC or FC Cincinnati

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Toronto FC24% Draw40% FC Cincinnati36%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.6%

1 – 2

8.6%

2 – 2

6.6%

2 – 1

6.6%

1 – 3

5.8%

0 – 2

5.8%

0 – 1

Actual

2 – 3

4.5%

0 – 0

4.1%

0 – 3

3.9%

1 – 0

3.7%

3 – 2

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap	Toronto FC covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	8%	86%
-1.5	14%	—	86%
-1	14%	15%	71%
-0.5	29%	—	71%
+0.5	52%	—	48%
+1	52%	20%	28%
+1.5	72%	—	28%
+2	72%	15%	14%
+2.5	86%	—	14%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

22% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.