Thursday , 2 July 2026

Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Toronto FC
0 – 1
Full Time
FC Cincinnati
Wed 14 May 2025 · 23:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'
Federico Bernardeschi 19' Y
Y 24' Gilberto Flores
Y 32' Evander
Y 90' Lukas Engel

Overview

Match Preview

Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at BMO Field.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Nashville SC 14 33
2 Internacional CF Miami 15 31
3 Chicago Fire FC 14 26
4 New England Revolution 14 25
5 New York Red Bulls 15 22
6 Charlotte FC 15 21
7 FC Cincinnati 15 20
8 New York City FC 15 19
9 D.C. United SC 15 18
10 Columbus Crew SC 15 16
11 Toronto FC 14 14
12 Montreal Impact FC 14 14
13 Orlando City SC 15 14
14 Atlanta United FC 14 11
15 Philadelphia Union 15 7
16 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 14 32
17 San Jose Earthquakes 15 32
18 Real Salt Lake 14 26
19 FC Dallas 15 25
20 Los Angeles FC 15 24
21 Seattle Sounders FC 13 24
22 Houston Dynamo 14 22
23 Minnesota United FC 15 22
24 Los Angeles Galaxy 15 20
25 San Diego FC 15 17
26 Colorado Rapids SC 15 16
27 St. Louis City 14 16
28 Portland Timbers 14 14
29 Austin FC 15 14
30 Sporting Kansas City 14 11

Head-to-Head

5
2
9
Toronto FC 16 games · Avg 2.8 goals FC Cincinnati
Last 5 meetings
2025-05-14 Toronto FC 0–1 FC Cincinnati 2025-03-09 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC 2024-05-25 Toronto FC 3–4 FC Cincinnati 2024-02-25 FC Cincinnati 0–0 Toronto FC 2023-09-30 Toronto FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

Toronto FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 May FC Cincinnati H 0–1 L
10 May D.C. United SC H 2–0 W
03 May New England Revolution H 0–2 L
26 Apr New York City FC H 0–1 L
20 Apr Real Salt Lake A 1–0 W
12 Apr Minnesota United FC H 0–0 D
FC Cincinnati
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 May Toronto FC A 1–0 W
10 May Austin FC H 2–1 W
04 May New York City FC A 0–1 L
26 Apr Sporting Kansas City H 2–1 W
20 Apr Chicago Fire FC A 3–2 W
12 Apr D.C. United SC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Toronto FC FC Cincinnati
#11 Position #7
14 Points 20
14 Played 15
3 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 5 / 5 / 5
22 Scored 36
29 Conceded 37
-7 GD -1
1.00 PPG 1.33
21% Win % 33%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
27% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts). FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Toronto FC and FC Cincinnati has kicked off!
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 15' Paraguay international Gilberto Flores has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 18' FC Cincinnati is taking the lead after the goal scored by Kevin Denkey on 18.
  • 19' Federico Bernardeschi has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 19.
  • 20' Toronto FC make a change. Raoul Petretta trudges off to be replaced by Kobe Franklin on 20 minutes.
  • 24' The referee shows FC Cincinnati player a card on 24.
  • 29' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 32' It’s gonna be a card for Evander.
  • 36' A change in the Toronto FC ranks — Kobe Franklin exits the field as Lazar Stefanovic enters on 36.
  • 41' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Pat Noonan will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 46' The home supporters are growing impatient. Toronto FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 51' DeAndre Yedlin is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Cincinnati so far.
  • 56' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Toronto FC and FC Cincinnati are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 59' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 59 minute. Kevin Denkey leaves to be changed by Sergio Santos.
  • 64' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 69' Another substitution for Toronto FC to replace Lorenzo Insigne by Maxime Dominguez on 69 minute.
  • 74' Alonso Coello Camarero, a Spain , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 77' Alvas Powell gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Teenage Hadebe and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 82' Toronto FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 85' FC Cincinnati make a change. Gerardo Valenzuela trudges off to be replaced by Kei Kamara on 85 minutes.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Lukas Engel.
  • FC Cincinnati celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Toronto FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Robin Fraser

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Luciano Acosta 5
Allan Cruz 2
Brandon Vazquez 2
Luca Orellano 2
Nick DeLeon 2
Emmanuel Ledesma 2
Kevin Denkey 2
Ian Murphy 2

Head to Head

2025-05-14 Toronto FC 0–1 FC Cincinnati 2025-03-09 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC 2024-05-25 Toronto FC 3–4 FC Cincinnati 2024-02-25 FC Cincinnati 0–0 Toronto FC 2023-09-30 Toronto FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati

Toronto FC Form

2025-05-14 Toronto FC 0–1 FC Cincinnati L 2025-05-10 Toronto FC 2–0 D.C. United SC W 2025-05-03 Toronto FC 0–2 New England Revolution L 2025-04-26 Toronto FC 0–1 New York City FC L 2025-04-20 Real Salt Lake 0–1 Toronto FC W 2025-04-12 Toronto FC 0–0 Minnesota United FC D

FC Cincinnati Form

2025-05-14 Toronto FC 0–1 FC Cincinnati W 2025-05-10 FC Cincinnati 2–1 Austin FC W 2025-05-04 New York City FC 1–0 FC Cincinnati L 2025-04-26 FC Cincinnati 2–1 Sporting Kansas City W 2025-04-20 Chicago Fire FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati W 2025-04-12 D.C. United SC 0–1 FC Cincinnati W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.73 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.16 FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC29% Draw23% FC Cincinnati48%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes72% 0% No28%
Avg goals/match: 3.89
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 54%
46%
± 4.5 35%
65%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
52%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
71%
Toronto FC or FC Cincinnati
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC26% Draw38% FC Cincinnati36%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
6.4%
1 – 3
5.7%
2 – 3
4.9%
0 – 2
4.8%
0 – 1
Actual
3 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
3.7%
0 – 3
3.4%
0 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 9% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 15% 69%
-0.5 31% — 69%
+0.5 53% — 47%
+1 53% 19% 28%
+1.5 72% — 28%
+2 72% 14% 14%
+2.5 86% — 14%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
19% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.