Saturday , 14 November 2026

Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Toronto FC
0 – 1
Full Time
FC Cincinnati
Wed 14 May 2025 · 23:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'
Federico Bernardeschi 19' Y
Y 24' Gilberto Flores
Y 32' Evander
Y 90' Lukas Engel

Overview

Match Preview

Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at BMO Field.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Nashville SC 34 77
2 Internacional CF Miami 34 60
3 New England Revolution 34 58
4 Chicago Fire FC 34 55
5 Charlotte FC 34 54
6 Philadelphia Union 34 50
7 Columbus Crew SC 34 47
8 FC Cincinnati 34 46
9 Orlando City SC 34 46
10 New York City FC 34 42
11 New York Red Bulls 34 42
12 Toronto FC 34 39
13 Atlanta United FC 34 33
14 D.C. United SC 34 33
15 Montreal Impact FC 34 26
16 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 34 64
17 FC Dallas 34 58
18 St. Louis City 34 54
19 San Jose Earthquakes 34 52
20 Houston Dynamo 34 51
21 Los Angeles FC 34 47
22 Portland Timbers 34 46
23 Seattle Sounders FC 34 46
24 Real Salt Lake 34 45
25 Minnesota United FC 34 44
26 Los Angeles Galaxy 34 44
27 Colorado Rapids SC 34 43
28 San Diego FC 34 38
29 Austin FC 34 34
30 Sporting Kansas City 34 26

Head-to-Head

5
2
9
Toronto FC 16 games · Avg 2.8 goals FC Cincinnati
Last 5 meetings
2025-05-14 Toronto FC 0–1 FC Cincinnati 2025-03-09 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC 2024-05-25 Toronto FC 3–4 FC Cincinnati 2024-02-25 FC Cincinnati 0–0 Toronto FC 2023-09-30 Toronto FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

Toronto FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 May FC Cincinnati H 0–1 L
10 May D.C. United SC H 2–0 W
03 May New England Revolution H 0–2 L
26 Apr New York City FC H 0–1 L
20 Apr Real Salt Lake A 1–0 W
12 Apr Minnesota United FC H 0–0 D
FC Cincinnati
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 May Toronto FC A 1–0 W
10 May Austin FC H 2–1 W
04 May New York City FC A 0–1 L
26 Apr Sporting Kansas City H 2–1 W
20 Apr Chicago Fire FC A 3–2 W
12 Apr D.C. United SC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Toronto FC FC Cincinnati
#12 Position #8
39 Points 46
34 Played 34
9 / 12 / 13 W / D / L 12 / 10 / 12
52 Scored 67
67 Conceded 75
-15 GD -8
1.15 PPG 1.35
26% Win % 35%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
18% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Toronto FC are 12th (39 pts). FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/10
31-45
6/9
46-60
5/12
61-75
9/7
76+
16/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toronto FC
Josh Sargent 10 G 4 A
Daniel Salloi 9 G 6 A
FC Cincinnati
Kevin Denkey 17 G 2 A
Evander 14 G 13 A
Tom Barlow 10 G 4 A
Pavel Bucha 6 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at BMO Field. Toronto FC are looking to make home advantage count against FC Cincinnati.
  • 5' Toronto FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 10' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 15' Kei Kamara has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 18' Kevin Denkey doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 19' A meaty challenge results in booking for Federico Bernardeschi on 19.
  • 20' Kobe Franklin is ready to make an impact after coming on for Raoul Petretta at the 20 minute mark.
  • 24' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Gilberto Flores.
  • 29' The energy levels are beginning to show. Robin Fraser might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 32' FC Cincinnati receives a card for a hard tackle on 32.
  • 36' Lazar Stefanovic is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kobe Franklin at the 36 minute mark.
  • 41' With 0 assists to his name this season, Federico Bernardeschi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Toronto FC.
  • 46' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 51' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kosi Thompson, as he is very good at scoring at BMO Field with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 56' Toronto FC have won 397 goals from 300 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 59' FC Cincinnati ring the changes. Kevin Denkey has done his job and it is now time for Sergio Santos to step up.
  • 64' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 69' A tactical swap from Toronto FC — Maxime Dominguez on, Lorenzo Insigne off on 69 minutes.
  • 74' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 77' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Teenage Hadebe exits the field as Alvas Powell enters on 77.
  • 82' Toronto FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Cincinnati backline.
  • 85' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Kei Kamara comes on to replace Gerardo Valenzuela.
  • 90' FC Cincinnati receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • 0-1 the final result. Toronto FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Toronto FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Robin Fraser

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Luciano Acosta 5
Luca Orellano 2
Nick DeLeon 2
Emmanuel Ledesma 2
Kevin Denkey 2
Ian Murphy 2
Marky Delgado 2
Jonathan Osorio 2

Head to Head

2025-05-14 Toronto FC 0–1 FC Cincinnati 2025-03-09 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC 2024-05-25 Toronto FC 3–4 FC Cincinnati 2024-02-25 FC Cincinnati 0–0 Toronto FC 2023-09-30 Toronto FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati

Toronto FC Form

2025-05-14 Toronto FC 0–1 FC Cincinnati L 2025-05-10 Toronto FC 2–0 D.C. United SC W 2025-05-03 Toronto FC 0–2 New England Revolution L 2025-04-26 Toronto FC 0–1 New York City FC L 2025-04-20 Real Salt Lake 0–1 Toronto FC W 2025-04-12 Toronto FC 0–0 Minnesota United FC D

FC Cincinnati Form

2025-05-14 Toronto FC 0–1 FC Cincinnati W 2025-05-10 FC Cincinnati 2–1 Austin FC W 2025-05-04 New York City FC 1–0 FC Cincinnati L 2025-04-26 FC Cincinnati 2–1 Sporting Kansas City W 2025-04-20 Chicago Fire FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati W 2025-04-12 D.C. United SC 0–1 FC Cincinnati W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.58 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.86 FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 67% + Over 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC30% Draw24% FC Cincinnati46%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.44
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
55%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
70%
Toronto FC or FC Cincinnati
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC26% Draw41% FC Cincinnati33%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.3%
1 – 2
8.5%
2 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
5.6%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
5.2%
0 – 0
4.7%
1 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
4.1%
2 – 0
4%
3 – 1
3.8%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 16% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 56% — 44%
+1 56% 19% 24%
+1.5 76% — 24%
+2 76% 13% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
21% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.