Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Toronto FC
0 – 1
Full Time
FC Cincinnati
Wed 14 May 2025 · 23:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'
Federico Bernardeschi 19' Y
Y 24' Gilberto Flores
Y 32' Evander
Y 90' Lukas Engel

Overview

Match Preview

Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at BMO Field.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 60
2 Internacional CF Miami 27 46
3 New England Revolution 27 46
4 Charlotte FC 27 43
5 Chicago Fire FC 26 42
6 Philadelphia Union 27 39
7 Orlando City SC 27 34
8 New York City FC 27 33
9 FC Cincinnati 26 33
10 New York Red Bulls 26 33
11 D.C. United SC 26 30
12 Columbus Crew SC 27 29
13 Toronto FC 27 29
14 Atlanta United FC 27 27
15 Montreal Impact FC 27 24
16 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 26 50
17 FC Dallas 27 47
18 San Jose Earthquakes 27 45
19 St. Louis City 26 44
20 Houston Dynamo 27 44
21 Los Angeles FC 28 41
22 Colorado Rapids SC 27 36
23 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 36
24 Seattle Sounders FC 26 35
25 San Diego FC 27 32
26 Portland Timbers 27 32
27 Real Salt Lake 27 32
28 Austin FC 27 31
29 Minnesota United FC 27 29
30 Sporting Kansas City 26 21

Head-to-Head

5
2
9
Toronto FC 16 games · Avg 2.8 goals FC Cincinnati
Last 5 meetings
2025-05-14 Toronto FC 0–1 FC Cincinnati 2025-03-09 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC 2024-05-25 Toronto FC 3–4 FC Cincinnati 2024-02-25 FC Cincinnati 0–0 Toronto FC 2023-09-30 Toronto FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

Toronto FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 May FC Cincinnati H 0–1 L
10 May D.C. United SC H 2–0 W
03 May New England Revolution H 0–2 L
26 Apr New York City FC H 0–1 L
20 Apr Real Salt Lake A 1–0 W
12 Apr Minnesota United FC H 0–0 D
FC Cincinnati
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 May Toronto FC A 1–0 W
10 May Austin FC H 2–1 W
04 May New York City FC A 0–1 L
26 Apr Sporting Kansas City H 2–1 W
20 Apr Chicago Fire FC A 3–2 W
12 Apr D.C. United SC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Toronto FC FC Cincinnati
#13 Position #9
29 Points 33
27 Played 26
6 / 11 / 10 W / D / L 8 / 9 / 9
39 Scored 55
51 Conceded 64
-12 GD -9
1.07 PPG 1.27
22% Win % 31%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/7
61-75
7/6
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toronto FC
Daniel Salloi 7 G 5 A
Josh Sargent 7 G 2 A
FC Cincinnati
Kevin Denkey 14 G 1 A
Evander 13 G 7 A
Tom Barlow 7 G 2 A
Pavel Bucha 6 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Toronto FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Toronto FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 10' Theo Corbeanu has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 18' FC Cincinnati is taking the lead after the goal scored by Kevin Denkey on 18.
  • 19' The referee shows Toronto FC player a card on 19.
  • 20' A tactical swap from Toronto FC — Kobe Franklin on, Raoul Petretta off on 20 minutes.
  • 24' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Gilberto Flores.
  • 29' Toronto FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Cincinnati's shape.
  • 32' FC Cincinnati player sees a card in front of him.
  • 36' Time for substitution for Toronto FC. Kobe Franklin is replaced by Lazar Stefanovic.
  • 41' Kei Kamara needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 46' Both keepers have barely been tested. Toronto FC and FC Cincinnati are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 51' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 56' A quiet spell here at BMO Field. FC Cincinnati seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 59' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Sergio Santos is hanging Kevin Denkey on the field on 59 minute.
  • 64' Gilberto Flores is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Toronto FC so far.
  • 69' A change in the Toronto FC ranks — Lorenzo Insigne exits the field as Maxime Dominguez enters on 69.
  • 74' Toronto FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 77' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. Teenage Hadebe is replaced by Alvas Powell.
  • 82' Toronto FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 85' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kei Kamara is hanging Gerardo Valenzuela on the field on 85 minute.
  • 90' Lukas Engel is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • It finishes all square. Toronto FC and FC Cincinnati share the spoils 0-1.

Lineups

Toronto FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Robin Fraser

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Luciano Acosta 5
Ian Murphy 2
Marky Delgado 2
Jonathan Osorio 2
Patrick Mullins 2
Allan Cruz 2
Brandon Vazquez 2
Luca Orellano 2

Head to Head

2025-05-14 Toronto FC 0–1 FC Cincinnati 2025-03-09 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC 2024-05-25 Toronto FC 3–4 FC Cincinnati 2024-02-25 FC Cincinnati 0–0 Toronto FC 2023-09-30 Toronto FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati

Toronto FC Form

2025-05-14 Toronto FC 0–1 FC Cincinnati L 2025-05-10 Toronto FC 2–0 D.C. United SC W 2025-05-03 Toronto FC 0–2 New England Revolution L 2025-04-26 Toronto FC 0–1 New York City FC L 2025-04-20 Real Salt Lake 0–1 Toronto FC W 2025-04-12 Toronto FC 0–0 Minnesota United FC D

FC Cincinnati Form

2025-05-14 Toronto FC 0–1 FC Cincinnati W 2025-05-10 FC Cincinnati 2–1 Austin FC W 2025-05-04 New York City FC 1–0 FC Cincinnati L 2025-04-26 FC Cincinnati 2–1 Sporting Kansas City W 2025-04-20 Chicago Fire FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati W 2025-04-12 D.C. United SC 0–1 FC Cincinnati W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.65 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.9 FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for: Toronto FC or FC Cincinnati 76% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC31% Draw24% FC Cincinnati45%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.55
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
55%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
69%
Toronto FC or FC Cincinnati
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC27% Draw40% FC Cincinnati33%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.8%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.2%
1 – 3
5.2%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 3
4.3%
0 – 0
4.2%
1 – 0
4.1%
2 – 0
3.9%
3 – 1
3.9%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 10% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 16% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 57% — 43%
+1 57% 19% 24%
+1.5 76% — 24%
+2 76% 13% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
20% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.