FC Cincinnati vs Austin FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Austin FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Austin FC 18 games · 17 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May | Austin FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 May | New York City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Apr | Sporting Kansas City | H | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Apr | Chicago Fire FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 12 Apr | D.C. United SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Apr | New England Revolution | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May | FC Cincinnati | A | 1–2 | L |
| 04 May | Minnesota United FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 27 Apr | Houston Dynamo | A | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Apr | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 05 Apr | Portland Timbers | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Austin FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #29 |
| 26 | Points | 17 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 4 / 5 / 9 |
| 45 | Scored | 22 |
| 44 | Conceded | 36 |
| +1 | GD | -14 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 0.94 |
| 39% | Win % | 22% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Austin FC this season
Austin FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts). Austin FC are 29th (17 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Austin FC
0-15
5/3
16-30
1/3
31-45
2/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
6/13
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 10 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 10 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
Austin FC
| Myrto Uzuni | 6 G | |
| Christian Ramirez | 5 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: FC Cincinnati gets underway.
- 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Cincinnati side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 12' The Brazil Evander breaks the deadlock on 12 minutes. 1-0!
- 17' Austin FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 22' Pavel Bucha needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
- 27' FC Cincinnati are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 32' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 35' The referee has no hesitation. Kevin Denkey is booked for FC Cincinnati — card on 35.
- 40' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 45' Matt Miazga makes way for Teenage Hadebe at the 45 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
- 48' Magnificent from Brandon Vazquez! That is 44 goals in 284 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 53' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 58' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Austin FC that had 188 games and scored 263 goals.
- 63' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Austin FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 68' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Yuya Kubo by Brian Anunga on 68 minute.
- 69' That is a card for Austin FC. Besard Sabovic will be fuming at that decision.
- 73' CJ Fodrey gets the nod from Austin FC. He replaces Brandon Vazquez and will look to change the dynamic.
- 76' FC Cincinnati is taking the lead after the goal scored by Gerardo Valenzuela on 76.
- 81' Another change for Austin FC made on 81 minute. Besard Sabovic leaves to be changed by Jader Obrian.
- 83' It is a substitution in FC Cincinnati team. Luca Orellano is replaced by DeAndre Yedlin on 83 minute.
- 87' Diego Rubio is replacing Zan Kolmanic for the Austin FC side.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Austin FC.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
21
Matt Miazga ↓ Teenage Hadebe 45'
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Brian Anunga 68'
- 4
- 12
- 20
- 9
-
23
Luca Orellano ↓ DeAndre Yedlin 83'
- 17
- 18
- 29
Bench
-
91
DeAndre Yedlin ↑ 83'
- 11
- 13
- 2
- 14
-
16
Teenage Hadebe ↑ 45'
-
27
Brian Anunga ↑ 68'
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 68'
- 3
Coach
Pat Noonan
Austin FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 1
-
9
Brandon Vazquez ↓ CJ Fodrey 73'
- 4
- 5
-
23
Zan Kolmanic ↓ Diego Rubio 87'
-
14
Besard Sabovic ↓ Jader Obrian 81'
-
10
Myrto Uzuni ↓ Osman Bukari 81'
- 17
- 29
- 33
Bench
-
21
Diego Rubio ↑ 87'
- 18
- 30
-
11
Osman Bukari ↑ 81'
-
7
Jader Obrian ↑ 81'
-
19
CJ Fodrey ↑ 73'
-
20
Nicolas Dubersarsky ↑ 73'
- 38
- 2
Coach
Nico Estevez
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Cecilio Dominguez | 3 |
| Evander | 1 |
| Gerardo Valenzuela | 1 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 1 |
| Alexander Ring | 1 |
| Sebastian Driussi | 1 |
| Alec Kann | 1 |
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.71
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.72
Austin FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 76%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.43
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 3.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 4.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
78%
Draw or Austin FC
41%
FC Cincinnati or Austin FC
81%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 1
6.5%
1 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
3 – 2
5.6%
1 – 2
4.8%
2 – 0
4.5%
4 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
4%
4 – 2
3.8%
2 – 3
3.6%
3 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Austin FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -2 | 22% | 16% | 61% |
| -1.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| -1 | 39% | 19% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 12% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Austin FC keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.