FC Cincinnati vs Austin FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Austin FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- Austin FC 27 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May | Austin FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 May | New York City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Apr | Sporting Kansas City | H | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Apr | Chicago Fire FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 12 Apr | D.C. United SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Apr | New England Revolution | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May | FC Cincinnati | A | 1–2 | L |
| 04 May | Minnesota United FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 27 Apr | Houston Dynamo | A | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Apr | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 05 Apr | Portland Timbers | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Austin FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #28 |
| 33 | Points | 31 |
| 26 | Played | 27 |
| 8 / 9 / 9 | W / D / L | 7 / 10 / 10 |
| 55 | Scored | 35 |
| 64 | Conceded | 47 |
| -9 | GD | -12 |
| 1.27 | PPG | 1.15 |
| 31% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Austin FC this season
Austin FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). Austin FC are 28th (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Austin FC
0-15
5/4
16-30
4/5
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/6
61-75
3/3
76+
12/15
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Austin FC
| Christian Ramirez | 9 G | 2 A |
| Myrto Uzuni | 6 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' FC Cincinnati have kicked off against Austin FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 10' FC Cincinnati have won 368 goals from 255 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 12' Evander has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 12 minutes.
- 17' The 27-year-old Osman Bukari has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 22' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 27' Over 27 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 32' Supporters expect more eagerness from Owen Wolff, as he is very good at scoring at TQL Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 35' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Kevin Denkey on 35 minutes.
- 40' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 45' Teenage Hadebe gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Matt Miazga and will look to change the dynamic.
- 48' Against the run of play, Brandon Vazquez has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 53' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 58' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Cincinnati in their trying to find a way past Austin FC's compact .
- 63' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Cincinnati and Austin FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 68' Yuya Kubo makes way for Brian Anunga at the 68 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
- 69' The referee has no hesitation. Besard Sabovic is booked for Austin FC — card on 69.
- 73' Austin FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. CJ Fodrey is hanging Brandon Vazquez on the field on 73 minute.
- 76' The deadlock is broken! Gerardo Valenzuela gets on the scoresheet on 76 minutes.
- 81' A tactical swap from Austin FC — Jader Obrian on, Besard Sabovic off on 81 minutes.
- 83' DeAndre Yedlin is ready to make an impact after coming on for Luca Orellano at the 83 minute mark.
- 87' Zan Kolmanic makes way for Diego Rubio at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from Austin FC.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Austin FC.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
21
Matt Miazga ↓ Teenage Hadebe 45'
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Brian Anunga 68'
- 4
- 12
- 20
- 9
-
23
Luca Orellano ↓ DeAndre Yedlin 83'
- 17
- 18
- 29
Bench
-
91
DeAndre Yedlin ↑ 83'
- 11
- 13
- 2
- 14
-
16
Teenage Hadebe ↑ 45'
-
27
Brian Anunga ↑ 68'
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 68'
- 3
Coach
Pat Noonan
Austin FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 1
-
9
Brandon Vazquez ↓ CJ Fodrey 73'
- 4
- 5
-
23
Zan Kolmanic ↓ Diego Rubio 87'
-
14
Besard Sabovic ↓ Jader Obrian 81'
-
10
Myrto Uzuni ↓ Osman Bukari 81'
- 17
- 29
- 33
Bench
-
21
Diego Rubio ↑ 87'
- 18
- 30
-
11
Osman Bukari ↑ 81'
-
7
Jader Obrian ↑ 81'
-
19
CJ Fodrey ↑ 73'
-
20
Nicolas Dubersarsky ↑ 73'
- 38
- 2
Coach
Nico Estevez
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Cecilio Dominguez | 3 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 1 |
| Alexander Ring | 1 |
| Sebastian Driussi | 1 |
| Alec Kann | 1 |
| Evander | 1 |
| Gerardo Valenzuela | 1 |
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.24
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.78
Austin FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 74%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.02
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 3.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 4.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
73%
Draw or Austin FC
48%
FC Cincinnati or Austin FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.3%
3 – 1
5.7%
3 – 2
5.1%
2 – 0
4.6%
2 – 3
4.1%
1 – 3
3.7%
1 – 0
3.6%
3 – 0
3.3%
4 – 1
3.2%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Austin FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 14% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 19% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 15% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 9% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Austin FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.