Wednesday , 7 October 2026

TSV 1860 München vs Holstein Kiel, DFB-Pokal 2026-27 ROUND 1

DFB-Pokal · 2026-27
Sat 22 Aug 2026 · 16:00 UTC Stadion an der Grunwalder Strasse HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 34' Phil Harres
0–2 90+4' Guillermo Balzi

Overview

Match Preview

TSV 1860 München vs Holstein Kiel — DFB-Pokal at Stadion an der Grunwalder Strasse.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Weller (Germany)
  • Assistant 1 Christian Bandurski
  • Assistant 2 Dominic Stock (Germany)
3 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 18.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Aug Holstein Kiel H 0–2 L
29 Jul Borussia Dortmund H 0–3 L
26 Oct FC Schalke 04 H 1–0 W
06 Aug SV Darmstadt 98 H 6–5 W
12 Sep Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–2 L
19 Aug Holstein Kiel H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Aug TSV 1860 München A 2–0 W
14 Aug FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–2 D
08 Aug SV Darmstadt 98 A 2–2 D
17 May SG Dynamo Dresden A 1–2 L
09 May 1. FC Magdeburg H 1–3 L
02 May Eintracht Braunschweig H 2–0 W

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
TSV 1860 München this season
100% Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Holstein Kiel
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Holstein Kiel gets underway.
  • 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 10' Holstein Kiel come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 15' Holstein Kiel have won 180 goals from 284 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 19' It’s gonna be a card for Dennis Dressel.
  • 20' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jonas Therkelsen on 20 minutes.
  • 25' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 30' Holstein Kiel fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 34' What composure from Phil Harres! The Germany international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 39' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 44' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 49' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Benedikt Hoppe made 1 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 54' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Holstein Kiel that had 284 games and scored 180 goals.
  • 55' It is a substitution in Holstein Kiel team. Jonas Therkelsen is replaced by Kasper Davidsen on 55 minute.
  • 58' Holstein Kiel player sees a card in front of him.
  • 63' Holstein Kiel has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 65' Time for substitution for TSV 1860 Munchen. Florian Niederlechner is replaced by Mark Gevorgyan.
  • 70' David Zec is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Holstein Kiel tonight.
  • 74' The referee has no hesitation. Hiroki Sekine is booked for Holstein Kiel — card on 74.
  • 77' Another substitution for TSV 1860 Munchen to replace Julian Bell by Arian Ortivero Calderon on 77 minute.
  • 82' Leon Parduzi has so much to prove this time. He replaces John Tolkin on 82 minute.
  • 87' The referee has no hesitation. Kasper Davidsen is booked for Holstein Kiel — card on 87.
  • 88' Cristian Leone has so much to prove this time. He replaces Fabio Wagner on 88 minute.
  • The final score is 0-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.24 TSV 1860 München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.63 Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
TSV 1860 München28% Draw27% Holstein Kiel45%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.87
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

TSV 1860 München or Draw
55%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
72%
TSV 1860 München or Holstein Kiel
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
TSV 1860 München22% Draw45% Holstein Kiel33%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 1
8.3%
0 – 0
7.5%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
6.8%
1 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.6%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 0
4.3%
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — TSV 1860 München

Handicap TSV 1860 München covers Push Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 16% 72%
-0.5 28% — 72%
+0.5 55% — 45%
+1 55% 21% 24%
+1.5 76% — 24%
+2 76% 14% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

TSV 1860 München keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
30% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.