Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SG Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2025-26
SG Dynamo Dresden
2 – 1
Full Time
Holstein Kiel
Sun 17 May 2026 · 13:30 UTC Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion 30,664 HT 45' · FT 45'
Vincent Vermeij 14' 1–0
Vincent Vermeij 36' 2–0
2–1 81' Phil Harres
Alexander Rossipal 1' Y
Y 41' Lasse Rosenboom
Robert Wagner 45' Y
Y 45' Marko Ivezic
Y 90' Phil Harres

Overview

Match Preview

SG Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel — 2. Bundesliga at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Marc Philip Eckermann (Germany)
  • Assistant 1 Asmir Osmanagic
  • Assistant 2 Felix Grund (Germany)
3 games this season 🟨 3.7/game ⚽ 9.0 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Hertha BSC 6 18
2 1. FC Nürnberg 6 16
3 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 6 13
4 VfL Wolfsburg 6 11
5 1. FC Kaiserslautern 6 11
6 1. FC Magdeburg 6 10
7 FC Energie Cottbus 6 8
8 FC St. Pauli 1910 6 7
9 VfL Bochum 1848 6 7
10 Hannover 96 6 7
11 VfL Osnabrück 6 7
12 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 6 6
13 Arminia Bielefeld 6 5
14 Karlsruher SC 6 5
15 Eintracht Braunschweig 6 4
16 Holstein Kiel 6 4
17 SG Dynamo Dresden 6 4
18 SV Darmstadt 98 6 4

Head-to-Head

1
1
SG Dynamo Dresden 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Holstein Kiel
Last 5 meetings
2026-05-17 SG Dynamo Dresden 2–1 Holstein Kiel 2025-12-20 Holstein Kiel 2–1 SG Dynamo Dresden

Recent Form

SG Dynamo Dresden
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Holstein Kiel H 2–1 W
09 May Eintracht Braunschweig A 1–2 L
02 May 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 1–0 W
24 Apr TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf A 1–3 L
18 Apr VfL Bochum 1848 H 2–0 W
11 Apr 1. FC Nürnberg A 2–0 W
Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May SG Dynamo Dresden A 1–2 L
09 May 1. FC Magdeburg H 1–3 L
02 May Eintracht Braunschweig H 2–0 W
25 Apr Hertha BSC A 1–0 W
17 Apr 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 3–0 W
10 Apr TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf A 2–1 W

Season Stats

SG Dynamo Dresden Holstein Kiel
#17 Position #16
4 Points 4
6 Played 6
1 / 1 / 4 W / D / L 0 / 4 / 2
8 Scored 7
14 Conceded 10
-6 GD -3
0.67 PPG 0.67
17% Win % 0%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
SG Dynamo Dresden this season
0% Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season

SG Dynamo Dresden are 17th (4 pts). Holstein Kiel are 16th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SG Dynamo Dresden
0-15
3/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
2/3
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Holstein Kiel
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
–/1
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SG Dynamo Dresden
Jonas Sterner 2 G 1 A
Holstein Kiel
Phil Harres 4 G 2 A
Guillermo Balzi 1 G
Jonas Therkelsen 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion. Ninety minutes of football awaits between SG Dynamo Dresden and Holstein Kiel.
  • 1' A meaty challenge results in booking for Alexander Rossipal on 1.
  • 6' Ivan Nekic has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 11' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 11 minutes.
  • 14' Vincent Vermeij has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 14 minutes.
  • 19' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SG Dynamo Dresden side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 24' Phil Harres has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 5 goals to his name this season.
  • 29' Holstein Kiel come into this ranked 11 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 34' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jonas Meffert suffering a number of foals already.
  • 36' Magnificent from Vincent Vermeij! That is 23 goals in 233 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 37' What a strike from Vincent Vermeij! The score is 3-0.
  • 41' The referee shows Holstein Kiel player a card on 41.
  • 45' Poor challenge from Robert Wagner. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 50' Holstein Kiel fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 55' SG Dynamo Dresden currently sit 13 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 60' Kofi Amoako is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Holstein Kiel so far.
  • 65' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 70' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 75' SG Dynamo Dresden are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 80' SG Dynamo Dresden are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Holstein Kiel's 4-5-1 shape.
  • 81' Brilliant from the forward! Phil Harres makes it 3-1 with a superb finish on 81.
  • 86' Alexander Rossipal has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 90' Phil Harres is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • It finishes all square. SG Dynamo Dresden and Holstein Kiel share the spoils 2-1.

Lineups

SG Dynamo Dresden Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Thomas Stamm

Holstein Kiel Lineups

4-5-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Tim Walter

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Vincent Vermeij 2
Phil Harres 1

Head to Head

2026-05-17 SG Dynamo Dresden 2–1 Holstein Kiel 2025-12-20 Holstein Kiel 2–1 SG Dynamo Dresden

SG Dynamo Dresden Form

2026-05-17 SG Dynamo Dresden 2–1 Holstein Kiel W 2026-05-09 Eintracht Braunschweig 2–1 SG Dynamo Dresden L 2026-05-02 SG Dynamo Dresden 1–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern W 2026-04-24 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf 3–1 SG Dynamo Dresden L 2026-04-18 SG Dynamo Dresden 2–0 VfL Bochum 1848 W 2026-04-11 1. FC Nürnberg 0–2 SG Dynamo Dresden W

Holstein Kiel Form

2026-05-17 SG Dynamo Dresden 2–1 Holstein Kiel L 2026-05-09 Holstein Kiel 1–3 1. FC Magdeburg L 2026-05-02 Holstein Kiel 2–0 Eintracht Braunschweig W 2026-04-25 Hertha BSC 0–1 Holstein Kiel W 2026-04-17 Holstein Kiel 3–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern W 2026-04-10 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf 1–2 Holstein Kiel W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.53 SG Dynamo Dresden xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35 Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for: SG Dynamo Dresden or Holstein Kiel 74% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SG Dynamo Dresden44% Draw26% Holstein Kiel30%
Actual: SG Dynamo Dresden win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

SG Dynamo Dresden or Draw
70%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
56%
SG Dynamo Dresden or Holstein Kiel
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SG Dynamo Dresden30% Draw45% Holstein Kiel25%
Actual: SG Dynamo Dresden win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
7.5%
0 – 0
7.4%
0 – 1
6.7%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.3%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — SG Dynamo Dresden

Handicap SG Dynamo Dresden covers Push Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 20% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 17% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

SG Dynamo Dresden keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.