Thursday , 2 July 2026

SG Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2025-26
SG Dynamo Dresden
2 – 1
Full Time
Holstein Kiel
Sun 17 May 2026 · 13:30 UTC Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion 30,664 HT 45' · FT 45'
Vincent Vermeij 14' 1–0
Vincent Vermeij 36' 2–0
2–1 81' Phil Harres
Alexander Rossipal 1' Y
Y 41' Lasse Rosenboom
Robert Wagner 45' Y
Y 45' Marko Ivezic
Y 90' Phil Harres

Overview

Match Preview

SG Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel — 2. Bundesliga at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Marc Philip Eckermann (Germany)
  • Assistant 1 Asmir Osmanagic
  • Assistant 2 Felix Grund (Germany)
10 games this season 🟨 0.8/game ⚽ 4.7 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Schalke 04 34 70
2 SV 07 Elversberg 34 62
3 SC Paderborn 07 34 62
4 Hannover 96 34 60
5 SV Darmstadt 98 34 52
6 1. FC Kaiserslautern 34 52
7 Hertha BSC 34 51
8 1. FC Nurnberg 34 46
9 VfL Bochum 1848 34 44
10 Karlsruher SC 34 44
11 SG Dynamo Dresden 34 41
12 Holstein Kiel 34 41
13 Arminia Bielefeld 34 39
14 1. FC Magdeburg 34 39
15 Eintracht Braunschweig 34 37
16 SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 34 37
17 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 34 37
18 SC Preussen Munster 34 30

Head-to-Head

1
1
SG Dynamo Dresden 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Holstein Kiel
Last 5 meetings
2026-05-17 SG Dynamo Dresden 2–1 Holstein Kiel 2025-12-20 Holstein Kiel 2–1 SG Dynamo Dresden

Recent Form

SG Dynamo Dresden
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Holstein Kiel H 2–1 W
09 May Eintracht Braunschweig A 1–2 L
02 May 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 1–0 W
24 Apr TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf A 1–3 L
18 Apr VfL Bochum 1848 H 2–0 W
11 Apr 1. FC Nurnberg A 2–0 W
Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May SG Dynamo Dresden A 1–2 L
09 May 1. FC Magdeburg H 1–3 L
02 May Eintracht Braunschweig H 2–0 W
25 Apr Hertha BSC A 1–0 W
17 Apr 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 3–0 W
10 Apr TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf A 2–1 W

Season Stats

SG Dynamo Dresden Holstein Kiel
#11 Position #12
41 Points 41
34 Played 34
11 / 8 / 15 W / D / L 11 / 8 / 15
54 Scored 44
53 Conceded 48
+1 GD -4
1.21 PPG 1.21
32% Win % 32%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
SG Dynamo Dresden this season
26% Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season

SG Dynamo Dresden are 11th (41 pts). Holstein Kiel are 12th (41 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SG Dynamo Dresden
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/–
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Holstein Kiel
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against SG Dynamo Dresden and Holstein Kiel has kicked off!
  • 1' It’s gonna be a card for Alexander Rossipal.
  • 6' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Holstein Kiel winning 50% of all matches.
  • 11' Holstein Kiel seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 14' What a strike from Vincent Vermeij! The score is 1-0.
  • 19' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SG Dynamo Dresden needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 24' It looks like no one’s ball. Holstein Kiel is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 29' Supporters expect more eagerness from Phil Harres, as he is very good at scoring at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 34' Jason Ceka has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 36' Vincent Vermeij with the second goal in the match!
  • 37' Vincent Vermeij makes a hat-trick on 37.
  • 41' Lasse Rosenboom was booked on 41.
  • 45' The referee calls foul for Robert Wagner. He receives a card.
  • 50' The travelling Holstein Kiel supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 55' Timon Weiner needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 60' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 65' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ivan Nekic made 277 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 70' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 75' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 80' Holstein Kiel looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Phil Harres scoring 1 goals.
  • 81' What a strike from Phil Harres! The score is 3-1.
  • 86' Holstein Kiel started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 86.
  • 90' Holstein Kiel player sees a card in front of him.
  • Another three points for SG Dynamo Dresden.

Lineups

SG Dynamo Dresden Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Thomas Stamm

Holstein Kiel Lineups

4-5-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Tim Walter

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Vincent Vermeij 2
Phil Harres 1

Head to Head

2026-05-17 SG Dynamo Dresden 2–1 Holstein Kiel 2025-12-20 Holstein Kiel 2–1 SG Dynamo Dresden

SG Dynamo Dresden Form

2026-05-17 SG Dynamo Dresden 2–1 Holstein Kiel W 2026-05-09 Eintracht Braunschweig 2–1 SG Dynamo Dresden L 2026-05-02 SG Dynamo Dresden 1–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern W 2026-04-24 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 3–1 SG Dynamo Dresden L 2026-04-18 SG Dynamo Dresden 2–0 VfL Bochum 1848 W 2026-04-11 1. FC Nurnberg 0–2 SG Dynamo Dresden W

Holstein Kiel Form

2026-05-17 SG Dynamo Dresden 2–1 Holstein Kiel L 2026-05-09 Holstein Kiel 1–3 1. FC Magdeburg L 2026-05-02 Holstein Kiel 2–0 Eintracht Braunschweig W 2026-04-25 Hertha BSC 0–1 Holstein Kiel W 2026-04-17 Holstein Kiel 3–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern W 2026-04-10 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 1–2 Holstein Kiel W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.64 SG Dynamo Dresden xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23 Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SG Dynamo Dresden48% Draw26% Holstein Kiel26%
Actual: SG Dynamo Dresden win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.87
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

SG Dynamo Dresden or Draw
73%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
52%
SG Dynamo Dresden or Holstein Kiel
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SG Dynamo Dresden33% Draw45% Holstein Kiel22%
Actual: SG Dynamo Dresden win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.5%
0 – 0
7.5%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 1
6.1%
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — SG Dynamo Dresden

Handicap SG Dynamo Dresden covers Push Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 21% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

SG Dynamo Dresden keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.