Saturday , 14 November 2026

SG Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2025-26
SG Dynamo Dresden
2 – 1
Full Time
Holstein Kiel
Sun 17 May 2026 · 13:30 UTC Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion 30,664 HT 45' · FT 45'
Vincent Vermeij 14' 1–0
Vincent Vermeij 36' 2–0
2–1 81' Phil Harres
Alexander Rossipal 1' Y
Y 41' Lasse Rosenboom
Robert Wagner 45' Y
Y 45' Marko Ivezic
Y 90' Phil Harres

Overview

Match Preview

SG Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel — 2. Bundesliga at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Marc Philip Eckermann (Germany)
  • Assistant 1 Asmir Osmanagic
  • Assistant 2 Felix Grund (Germany)
4 games this season 🟨 3.5/game ⚽ 9.8 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Hertha BSC 11 31
2 1. FC Nürnberg 11 24
3 1. FC Kaiserslautern 11 21
4 1. FC Magdeburg 11 20
5 VfL Wolfsburg 11 19
6 Arminia Bielefeld 11 17
7 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 11 16
8 VfL Bochum 1848 11 14
9 FC St. Pauli 1910 11 12
10 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 11 12
11 Hannover 96 11 12
12 FC Energie Cottbus 11 11
13 Eintracht Braunschweig 11 11
14 VfL Osnabrück 11 11
15 SG Dynamo Dresden 11 11
16 Karlsruher SC 11 11
17 SV Darmstadt 98 11 9
18 Holstein Kiel 11 8

Head-to-Head

1
2
SG Dynamo Dresden 3 games · Avg 3.0 goals Holstein Kiel
Last 5 meetings
2026-05-17 SG Dynamo Dresden 2–1 Holstein Kiel 2025-12-20 Holstein Kiel 2–1 SG Dynamo Dresden

Recent Form

SG Dynamo Dresden
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Holstein Kiel H 2–1 W
09 May Eintracht Braunschweig A 1–2 L
02 May 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 1–0 W
24 Apr TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf A 1–3 L
18 Apr VfL Bochum 1848 H 2–0 W
11 Apr 1. FC Nürnberg A 2–0 W
Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May SG Dynamo Dresden A 1–2 L
09 May 1. FC Magdeburg H 1–3 L
02 May Eintracht Braunschweig H 2–0 W
25 Apr Hertha BSC A 1–0 W
17 Apr 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 3–0 W
10 Apr TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf A 2–1 W

Season Stats

SG Dynamo Dresden Holstein Kiel
#15 Position #18
11 Points 8
11 Played 11
3 / 2 / 6 W / D / L 1 / 5 / 5
15 Scored 11
20 Conceded 14
-5 GD -3
1.00 PPG 0.73
27% Win % 9%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
SG Dynamo Dresden this season
18% Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season

SG Dynamo Dresden are 15th (11 pts). Holstein Kiel are 18th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SG Dynamo Dresden
0-15
5/4
16-30
1/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/5
76+
1/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Holstein Kiel
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/1
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SG Dynamo Dresden
Vincent Vermeij 2 G 2 A
Jonas Sterner 2 G 2 A
Niklas Hauptmann 2 G 1 A
Robert Wagner 2 G
Holstein Kiel
Phil Harres 5 G 3 A
Jonas Therkelsen 2 G 1 A
Guillermo Balzi 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. SG Dynamo Dresden host Holstein Kiel — let the battle begin!
  • 1' SG Dynamo Dresden player sees a card in front of him.
  • 6' Supporters expect more eagerness from Phil Harres, as he is very good at scoring at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 11' Alexander Rossipal has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 14' SG Dynamo Dresden is taking the lead after the goal scored by Vincent Vermeij on 14.
  • 19' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 24' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both SG Dynamo Dresden and Holstein Kiel are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 29' It’s high time Thomas Stamm made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 34' With 4 assists to his name this season, Alexander Bernhardsson is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SG Dynamo Dresden.
  • 36' Brilliant from the ! Vincent Vermeij makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 36.
  • 37' Magnificent from Vincent Vermeij! That is 23 goals in 233 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 41' Lasse Rosenboom is having his name booked by the referee on 41.
  • 45' Robert Wagner picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 50' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 55' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SG Dynamo Dresden and Holstein Kiel are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 60' The home supporters are growing impatient. SG Dynamo Dresden must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 65' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 70' Lasse Rosenboom has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 75' It looks surprising Holstein Kiel does not make any changes. Umut Tohumcu has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 80' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 81' Phil Harres has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 81 minutes.
  • 86' SG Dynamo Dresden is showing some good football. However, SG Dynamo Dresden are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 90' Phil Harres has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-1.

Lineups

SG Dynamo Dresden Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Thomas Stamm

Holstein Kiel Lineups

4-5-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Tim Walter

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Vincent Vermeij 2
Phil Harres 2
Giorgi Kvilitaia 1
Jonas Therkelsen 1

Head to Head

2026-05-17 SG Dynamo Dresden 2–1 Holstein Kiel 2025-12-20 Holstein Kiel 2–1 SG Dynamo Dresden

SG Dynamo Dresden Form

2026-05-17 SG Dynamo Dresden 2–1 Holstein Kiel W 2026-05-09 Eintracht Braunschweig 2–1 SG Dynamo Dresden L 2026-05-02 SG Dynamo Dresden 1–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern W 2026-04-24 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf 3–1 SG Dynamo Dresden L 2026-04-18 SG Dynamo Dresden 2–0 VfL Bochum 1848 W 2026-04-11 1. FC Nürnberg 0–2 SG Dynamo Dresden W

Holstein Kiel Form

2026-05-17 SG Dynamo Dresden 2–1 Holstein Kiel L 2026-05-09 Holstein Kiel 1–3 1. FC Magdeburg L 2026-05-02 Holstein Kiel 2–0 Eintracht Braunschweig W 2026-04-25 Hertha BSC 0–1 Holstein Kiel W 2026-04-17 Holstein Kiel 3–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern W 2026-04-10 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf 1–2 Holstein Kiel W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.42 SG Dynamo Dresden xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15 Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for: SG Dynamo Dresden or Holstein Kiel 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SG Dynamo Dresden45% Draw28% Holstein Kiel27%
Actual: SG Dynamo Dresden win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

SG Dynamo Dresden or Draw
72%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
55%
SG Dynamo Dresden or Holstein Kiel
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SG Dynamo Dresden30% Draw48% Holstein Kiel22%
Actual: SG Dynamo Dresden win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
9.8%
0 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
7.7%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — SG Dynamo Dresden

Handicap SG Dynamo Dresden covers Push Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 21% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

SG Dynamo Dresden keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.