Bristol City FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Bristol City FC vs Swansea City AFC — Championship at Ashton Gate.
- Bristol City FC 46 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
- Swansea City AFC 46 games · 64 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee John Busby
- Assistant 1 Darren Williams (England)
- Assistant 2 Gregory Read (England)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb | Swansea City AFC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Feb | Oxford United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Jan | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Jan | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Jan | Coventry City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Jan | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb | Bristol City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Feb | Coventry City FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Jan | Norwich City FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 21 Jan | Sheffield United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Jan | Cardiff City FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 12 Jan | Southampton FC | A | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Bristol City FC | Swansea City AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #11 |
| 62 | Points | 64 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 17 / 11 / 18 | W / D / L | 18 / 10 / 18 |
| 59 | Scored | 57 |
| 59 | Conceded | 59 |
| +0 | GD | -2 |
| 1.35 | PPG | 1.39 |
| 37% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Bristol City FC are 12th (62 pts). Swansea City AFC are 11th (64 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Bristol City FC and Swansea City AFC get this one started.
- 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Nahki Wells suffering a number of foals already.
- 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kyle Naughton, as he is very good at scoring at Ashton Gate with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 15' Swansea City AFC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 20' Zak Vyner, a England , has 25 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 25' Haiti international Hannes Delcroix has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 35' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 40' Swansea City AFC come into this ranked 17 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 45' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 50' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jason Knight is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Swansea City AFC.
- 55' Brilliant from the ! Josh Tymon makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 55.
- 60' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 62' The crowd applauds Nahki Wells as he leaves the pitch. Sinclair Armstrong steps in for Bristol City FC.
- 63' George Earthy has so much to prove this time. He replaces Anis Mehmeti on 63 minute.
- 68' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Josh Key made 198 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 70' The supporters are chanting for Florian Bianchini. He replaces Zan Vipotnik on 70 minute.
- 73' Swansea City AFC ring the changes. Kyle Naughton has done his job and it is now time for Josh Key to step up.
- 74' Bristol City FC make a change. Luke McNally trudges off to be replaced by Sam Bell on 74 minutes.
- 79' Bristol City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Swansea City AFC backline.
- 84' Jay Fulton has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ji-sung Eom on 84 minute.
- 87' The crowd applauds Mark Sykes as he leaves the pitch. Yu Hirakawa steps in for Bristol City FC.
- The points are shared — Bristol City FC 0-1 Swansea City AFC. Honours even.
Lineups
Bristol City FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 6
- 21
- 14
- 16
-
10
Scott Twine ↓ Harry Cornick 87'
-
17
Mark Sykes ↓ Yu Hirakawa 87'
- 12
- 24
-
15
Luke McNally ↓ Sam Bell 74'
-
11
Anis Mehmeti ↓ George Earthy 63'
- 1
Bench
-
27
Harry Cornick ↑ 87'
- 29
- 19
- 23
-
20
Sam Bell ↑ 74'
-
30
Sinclair Armstrong ↑ 62'
- 31
-
40
George Earthy ↑ 63'
-
7
Yu Hirakawa ↑ 87'
Coach
Liam Manning
Swansea City AFC Lineups
5-4-1Starting XI
-
26
Kyle Naughton ↓ Josh Key 73'
-
20
Liam Cullen ↓ Oliver Cooper 84'
- 8
- 22
- 28
- 5
- 14
- 17
- 9
- 35
-
10
Ji-sung Eom ↓ Jay Fulton 84'
Bench
-
4
Jay Fulton ↑ 84'
- 33
- 23
- 11
-
2
Josh Key ↑ 73'
-
19
Florian Bianchini ↑ 70'
-
31
Oliver Cooper ↑ 84'
- 25
- 41
Coach
Luke Williams
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joel Piroe | 3 |
| Andreas Weimann | 3 |
| Oliver Cooper | 2 |
| Antoine Semenyo | 2 |
| Liam Cullen | 2 |
| Jules Ntcham | 2 |
| Mark Sykes | 2 |
| Nahki Wells | 2 |
Head to Head
Bristol City FC Form
2025-02-09
Bristol City FC
0–1
Swansea City AFC
L
2025-02-01
Oxford United FC
1–1
Bristol City FC
D
2025-01-25
Bristol City FC
2–1
Blackburn Rovers FC
W
2025-01-22
Sheffield Wednesday FC
2–2
Bristol City FC
D
2025-01-18
Coventry City FC
1–0
Bristol City FC
L
2025-01-11
Bristol City FC
1–2
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC
L
Swansea City AFC Form
2025-02-09
Bristol City FC
0–1
Swansea City AFC
W
2025-02-01
Swansea City AFC
0–2
Coventry City FC
L
2025-01-25
Norwich City FC
5–1
Swansea City AFC
L
2025-01-21
Swansea City AFC
1–2
Sheffield United FC
L
2025-01-18
Cardiff City FC
3–0
Swansea City AFC
L
2025-01-12
Southampton FC
3–0
Swansea City AFC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.42
Bristol City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08
Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for:
Bristol City FC or Draw 72%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Swansea City AFC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Bristol City FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
57%
Bristol City FC or Swansea City AFC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
1 – 0
10.6%
0 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
8.6%
2 – 0
8%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
4.7%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Bristol City FC
| Handicap | Bristol City FC covers | Push | Swansea City AFC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 22% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 16% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Bristol City FC keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
25%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

