Swansea City AFC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Swansea City AFC vs Stoke City FC — Championship at Swansea.com Stadium.
- Swansea City AFC 46 games · 64 pts (2026/27)
- Stoke City FC 46 games · 55 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb | Stoke City FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Feb | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Feb | Blackpool FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Feb | Sheffield United FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Feb | Birmingham City FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| 21 Jan | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb | Swansea City AFC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Feb | Blackpool FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Feb | Huddersfield Town AFC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Feb | Hull City AFC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Feb | Luton Town FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Jan | Stevenage FC | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Swansea City AFC | Stoke City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #17 |
| 64 | Points | 55 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 18 / 10 / 18 | W / D / L | 15 / 10 / 21 |
| 57 | Scored | 51 |
| 59 | Conceded | 56 |
| -2 | GD | -5 |
| 1.39 | PPG | 1.20 |
| 39% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Swansea City AFC are 11th (64 pts). Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Swansea.com Stadium. Swansea City AFC are looking to make home advantage count against Stoke City FC.
- 2' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Morgan Whittaker makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 7' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Swansea City AFC and Stoke City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 12' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 15' Joshua Laurent adds to his 0 season tally! Stoke City FC lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
- 19' Stoke City FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Joshua Laurent on 19.
- 20' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Joshua Laurent makes no mistake. 1-3!
- 25' Swansea City AFC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Stoke City FC backline.
- 28' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Matthew Sorinola.
- 31' Another substitution for Swansea City AFC to replace Harry Darling by Jules Ntcham on 31 minute.
- 36' Stoke City FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 41' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Matt Grimes on 45.
- 46' The referee shows Swansea City AFC player a Yellow card on 46.
- 51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 55' Ryan Manning catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 55.
- 56' Jordan Thompson is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tyrese Campbell at the 56 minute mark.
- 61' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Dwight Gayle on 61 minutes.
- 66' Tyrese Campbell is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Stoke City FC tonight.
- 71' Swansea City AFC ring the changes. Joe Allen has done his job and it is now time for Liam Walsh to step up.
- 76' The Stoke City FC manager makes a substitution. Ben Pearson departs to be replaced by Lewis Baker.
- 79' Liam Cullen gets the nod from Swansea City AFC. He replaces Matthew Sorinola and will look to change the dynamic.
- 80' Swansea City AFC make a change. Matthew Sorinola trudges off to be replaced by Liam Cullen on 80 minutes.
- 85' A quiet spell here at Swansea.com Stadium. Stoke City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 90' The 29-year-old Jordan Thompson has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- The points are shared — Swansea City AFC 1-3 Stoke City FC. Honours even.
Lineups
Swansea City AFC Lineups
Starting XI
-
7
Joe Allen ↓ Liam Walsh 71'
- 8
- 23
- 1
- 3
-
6
Harry Darling ↓ Jules Ntcham 31'
- 5
- 17
- 19
-
29
Matthew Sorinola ↓ Liam Cullen 79'
- 31
Bench
-
28
Liam Walsh ↑ 71'
- 26
-
20
Liam Cullen ↑ 79'
-
10
Jules Ntcham ↑ 31'
- 27
- 22
- 45
Coach
Russell Martin
Stoke City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 11
- 10
- 9
-
22
Ben Pearson ↓ Lewis Baker 76'
- 3
- 1
- 28
- 20
- 17
- 18
Bench
-
8
Lewis Baker ↑ 76'
-
15
Jordan Thompson ↑ 56'
- 13
- 32
- 47
- 48
- 45
Coach
Alex Neil
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Lewis Baker | 3 |
| Sam Clucas | 3 |
| Joshua Laurent | 3 |
| James McClean | 2 |
| Andre Ayew | 2 |
| Nick Powell | 2 |
| Joel Piroe | 2 |
| Wouter Burger | 1 |
Head to Head
Swansea City AFC Form
2023-02-21
Swansea City AFC
1–3
Stoke City FC
L
2023-02-18
Blackburn Rovers FC
1–0
Swansea City AFC
L
2023-02-15
Swansea City AFC
2–1
Blackpool FC
W
2023-02-11
Sheffield United FC
3–0
Swansea City AFC
L
2023-02-04
Swansea City AFC
3–4
Birmingham City FC
L
2023-01-21
Queens Park Rangers FC
1–1
Swansea City AFC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.32
Swansea City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.58
Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for:
Swansea City AFC or Stoke City FC 73% + Both teams to score 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Stoke City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Swansea City AFC or Draw
59%
Draw or Stoke City FC
69%
Swansea City AFC or Stoke City FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Stoke City FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 2
8.7%
0 – 1
7.9%
0 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 2
6.8%
1 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
5.8%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Swansea City AFC
| Handicap | Swansea City AFC covers | Push | Stoke City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 9% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 17% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 20% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 13% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

