Stoke City FC vs Oxford United FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Stoke City FC vs Oxford United FC — Championship at Bet365 Stadium.
- Stoke City FC 15 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
- Oxford United FC 46 games · 47 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Farai Hallam (England)
- Assistant 1 Rob Hyde (England)
- Assistant 2 Nigel Lugg
6 games this season
🟨 4.2/game
⚽ 10.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan | Oxford United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Jan | Portsmouth FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Jan | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Jan | Sunderland AFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Jan | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Jan | Burnley FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan | Stoke City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Jan | Luton Town FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 18 Jan | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Jan | Plymouth Argyle FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Jan | Exeter City FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 04 Jan | Preston North End FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
Stoke City FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/2
16-30
5/3
31-45
4/–
46-60
4/3
61-75
1/3
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Stoke City FC
| Jack McGlynn | 5 G | 2 A |
| Ethan Galbraith | 4 G | 4 A |
| Eric Bocat | 2 G | 2 A |
| Sam Gallagher | 2 G | 1 A |
| Justin Devenny | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Stoke City FC and Oxford United FC is underway.
- 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Stoke City FC and Oxford United FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Mark Robins might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 15' Stoke City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 20' Enda Stevens is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Oxford United FC tonight.
- 25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 30' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 34' It’s a booking for Oxford United FC player. Cameron Brannagan gets a card.
- 39' Tom Bradshaw catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 39.
- 44' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 46' Poor challenge from Michael Rose. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 51' Oxford United FC is showing some good football. However, Oxford United FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 56' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 61' The travelling Oxford United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 64' Oxford United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Mark Harris is hanging Tom Bradshaw on the field on 64 minute.
- 68' Stoke City FC ring the changes. Lewis Koumas has done his job and it is now time for Joon-ho Bae to step up.
- 73' Stoke City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Oxford United FC backline.
- 76' The referee calls foul for Enda Stevens. He receives a card.
- 79' Another substitution for Oxford United FC to replace Will Vaulks by Ole Romeny on 79 minute.
- 81' A moment of madness from Peter Kioso on 81 minutes earns him a card. Oxford United FC will be frustrated.
- 86' The home supporters are growing impatient. Stoke City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 89' Matt Phillips has so much to prove this time. He replaces Przemyslaw Placheta on 89 minute.
- 90' Poor challenge from Alex Matos. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Stoke City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2
- 3
- 8
- 6
- 5
- 1
- 22
- 26
- 24
- 35
-
11
Lewis Koumas ↓ Joon-ho Bae 68'
Bench
- 23
- 4
- 13
- 7
- 14
- 12
- 33
- 37
-
10
Joon-ho Bae ↑ 68'
Coach
Mark Robins
Oxford United FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
50
Tom Bradshaw ↓ Mark Harris 64'
- 3
-
4
Will Vaulks ↓ Ole Romeny 79'
- 8
-
23
Siriki Dembele ↓ Tyler Goodrham 64'
- 1
- 47
-
20
Ruben Rodrigues ↓ Alex Matos 64'
- 7
- 30
- 22
Bench
-
9
Mark Harris ↑ 64'
-
10
Matt Phillips ↑ 89'
- 21
- 2
- 24
- 15
-
11
Ole Romeny ↑ 79'
-
19
Tyler Goodrham ↑ 64'
-
18
Alex Matos ↑ 64'
Coach
Gary Rowett
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Idris El Mizouni | 1 |
Head to Head
Stoke City FC Form
Oxford United FC Form
2025-01-25
Stoke City FC
0–0
Oxford United FC
D
2025-01-21
Oxford United FC
3–2
Luton Town FC
W
2025-01-18
Oxford United FC
1–0
Blackburn Rovers FC
W
2025-01-14
Plymouth Argyle FC
1–1
Oxford United FC
D
2025-01-11
Exeter City FC
3–1
Oxford United FC
L
2025-01-04
Preston North End FC
1–1
Oxford United FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.81
Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.73
Oxford United FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 79% + Stoke City FC or Draw 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.54
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 1.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 2.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 3.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
| ± 4.5 | 3% |
|
97% |
Double Chance
Stoke City FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Oxford United FC
65%
Stoke City FC or Oxford United FC
64%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
15.8%
0 – 1
14%
1 – 1
13.7%
2 – 0
6.6%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
2.1%
3 – 0
1.8%
3 – 1
1.5%
0 – 3
1.2%
Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC
| Handicap | Stoke City FC covers | Push | Oxford United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 22% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 19% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
49%
✗
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
45%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.