Stoke City FC vs Oxford United FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Stoke City FC vs Oxford United FC — Championship at Bet365 Stadium.
- Stoke City FC 46 games · 55 pts (2026/27)
- Oxford United FC 46 games · 47 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Farai Hallam (England)
- Assistant 1 Rob Hyde (England)
- Assistant 2 Nigel Lugg
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan | Oxford United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Jan | Portsmouth FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Jan | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Jan | Sunderland AFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Jan | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Jan | Burnley FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan | Stoke City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Jan | Luton Town FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 18 Jan | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Jan | Plymouth Argyle FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Jan | Exeter City FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 04 Jan | Preston North End FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Stoke City FC | Oxford United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #22 |
| 55 | Points | 47 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 15 / 10 / 21 | W / D / L | 11 / 14 / 21 |
| 51 | Scored | 45 |
| 56 | Conceded | 59 |
| -5 | GD | -14 |
| 1.20 | PPG | 1.02 |
| 33% | Win % | 24% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts). Oxford United FC are 22nd (47 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Oxford United FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
- 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Stoke City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 15' Stoke City FC currently sit 20 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jamie Cumming, as he is very good at scoring at Bet365 Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 25' Stoke City FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Oxford United FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 30' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 34' That looks like a foul for a card for Cameron Brannagan.
- 39' Tom Bradshaw has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 39.
- 44' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Stoke City FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 46' Controversy at the stadium! Michael Rose argues furiously but the card stands.
- 51' England international Lewis Baker has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 56' Alex Matos has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 409 appearances.
- 61' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 64' Oxford United FC make a change. Tom Bradshaw trudges off to be replaced by Mark Harris on 64 minutes.
- 68' Fresh legs for Stoke City FC! Joon-ho Bae comes on to replace Lewis Koumas.
- 73' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 76' Enda Stevens is having his name booked by the referee on 76.
- 79' A change in the Oxford United FC ranks — Will Vaulks exits the field as Ole Romeny enters on 79.
- 81' Peter Kioso has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 81.
- 86' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 89' Matt Phillips has so much to prove this time. He replaces Przemyslaw Placheta on 89 minute.
- 90' Controversy at the stadium! Alex Matos argues furiously but the card stands.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Stoke City FC 0-0 Oxford United FC.
Lineups
Stoke City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2
- 3
- 8
- 6
- 5
- 1
- 22
- 26
- 24
- 35
-
11
Lewis Koumas ↓ Joon-ho Bae 68'
Bench
- 23
- 4
- 13
- 7
- 14
- 12
- 33
- 37
-
10
Joon-ho Bae ↑ 68'
Coach
Mark Robins
Oxford United FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
50
Tom Bradshaw ↓ Mark Harris 64'
- 3
-
4
Will Vaulks ↓ Ole Romeny 79'
- 8
-
23
Siriki Dembele ↓ Tyler Goodrham 64'
- 1
- 47
-
20
Ruben Rodrigues ↓ Alex Matos 64'
- 7
- 30
- 22
Bench
-
9
Mark Harris ↑ 64'
-
10
Matt Phillips ↑ 89'
- 21
- 2
- 24
- 15
-
11
Ole Romeny ↑ 79'
-
19
Tyler Goodrham ↑ 64'
-
18
Alex Matos ↑ 64'
Coach
Gary Rowett
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Idris El Mizouni | 1 |
Head to Head
Stoke City FC Form
Oxford United FC Form
2025-01-25
Stoke City FC
0–0
Oxford United FC
D
2025-01-21
Oxford United FC
3–2
Luton Town FC
W
2025-01-18
Oxford United FC
1–0
Blackburn Rovers FC
W
2025-01-14
Plymouth Argyle FC
1–1
Oxford United FC
D
2025-01-11
Exeter City FC
3–1
Oxford United FC
L
2025-01-04
Preston North End FC
1–1
Oxford United FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.79
Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.64
Oxford United FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 82% + Stoke City FC or Draw 74%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.43
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 1.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 2.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 3.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
| ± 4.5 | 2% |
|
98% |
Double Chance
Stoke City FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Oxford United FC
64%
Stoke City FC or Oxford United FC
63%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
17.3%
0 – 1
13.6%
1 – 1
13.1%
2 – 0
7%
2 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.4%
1 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
1.8%
2 – 2
1.7%
3 – 1
1.4%
0 – 3
0.9%
Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC
| Handicap | Stoke City FC covers | Push | Oxford United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 23% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 18% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
53%
✓
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
46%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.