Stoke City FC vs Oxford United FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Stoke City FC vs Oxford United FC — Championship at Bet365 Stadium.
- Stoke City FC 8 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
- Oxford United FC 46 games · 47 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Farai Hallam (England)
- Assistant 1 Rob Hyde (England)
- Assistant 2 Nigel Lugg
5 games this season
🟨 2.4/game
⚽ 10.2 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan | Oxford United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Jan | Portsmouth FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Jan | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Jan | Sunderland AFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Jan | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Jan | Burnley FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan | Stoke City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Jan | Luton Town FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 18 Jan | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Jan | Plymouth Argyle FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Jan | Exeter City FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 04 Jan | Preston North End FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
Stoke City FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Stoke City FC
| Ethan Galbraith | 4 G | 1 A |
| Eric Bocat | 2 G | 2 A |
| Sam Gallagher | 2 G | 1 A |
| Justin Devenny | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Bet365 Stadium!
- 5' A quiet spell here at Bet365 Stadium. Stoke City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' Oxford United FC is showing some good football. However, Oxford United FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 25' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Mark Robins will be considering his options from the bench.
- 30' Jamie Cumming is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Stoke City FC tonight.
- 34' The referee shows Oxford United FC player a card on 34.
- 39' Controversy at the stadium! Tom Bradshaw argues furiously but the card stands.
- 44' Viktor Johansson has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 46' Michael Rose has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 46.
- 51' It looks like no one’s ball. Oxford United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 56' Alex Matos has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 61' Stoke City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Oxford United FC backline.
- 64' Mark Harris is replacing Tom Bradshaw for the Oxford United FC side.
- 68' The Stoke City FC bench stirs into life. Lewis Koumas is withdrawn and Joon-ho Bae gets his opportunity.
- 73' The home supporters are growing impatient. Stoke City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 76' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Enda Stevens on 76 minutes.
- 79' The whistle greets Will Vaulks as he departs to be replaced by Ole Romeny.
- 81' It’s gonna be a card for Peter Kioso.
- 86' It looks surprising Stoke City FC does not make any changes. Junior Tchamadeu has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 89' A tactical swap from Oxford United FC — Matt Phillips on, Przemyslaw Placheta off on 89 minutes.
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. Alex Matos is booked for Oxford United FC — card on 90.
- Game over. The scoreline of 0-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Stoke City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2
- 3
- 8
- 6
- 5
- 1
- 22
- 26
- 24
- 35
-
11
Lewis Koumas ↓ Joon-ho Bae 68'
Bench
- 23
- 4
- 13
- 7
- 14
- 12
- 33
- 37
-
10
Joon-ho Bae ↑ 68'
Coach
Mark Robins
Oxford United FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
50
Tom Bradshaw ↓ Mark Harris 64'
- 3
-
4
Will Vaulks ↓ Ole Romeny 79'
- 8
-
23
Siriki Dembele ↓ Tyler Goodrham 64'
- 1
- 47
-
20
Ruben Rodrigues ↓ Alex Matos 64'
- 7
- 30
- 22
Bench
-
9
Mark Harris ↑ 64'
-
10
Matt Phillips ↑ 89'
- 21
- 2
- 24
- 15
-
11
Ole Romeny ↑ 79'
-
19
Tyler Goodrham ↑ 64'
-
18
Alex Matos ↑ 64'
Coach
Gary Rowett
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Idris El Mizouni | 1 |
Head to Head
Stoke City FC Form
Oxford United FC Form
2025-01-25
Stoke City FC
0–0
Oxford United FC
D
2025-01-21
Oxford United FC
3–2
Luton Town FC
W
2025-01-18
Oxford United FC
1–0
Blackburn Rovers FC
W
2025-01-14
Plymouth Argyle FC
1–1
Oxford United FC
D
2025-01-11
Exeter City FC
3–1
Oxford United FC
L
2025-01-04
Preston North End FC
1–1
Oxford United FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.81
Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.73
Oxford United FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 79% + Stoke City FC or Draw 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.54
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 1.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 2.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 3.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
| ± 4.5 | 3% |
|
97% |
Double Chance
Stoke City FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Oxford United FC
65%
Stoke City FC or Oxford United FC
64%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
15.8%
0 – 1
14%
1 – 1
13.7%
2 – 0
6.6%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
2.1%
3 – 0
1.8%
3 – 1
1.5%
0 – 3
1.2%
Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC
| Handicap | Stoke City FC covers | Push | Oxford United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 22% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 19% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
49%
✗
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
45%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.