Thursday , 2 July 2026

Swansea City AFC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 5 Oct 2024 · 14:00 UTC Swansea.com Stadium 14,546 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Swansea City AFC vs Stoke City FCChampionship at Swansea.com Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Andy Davies (England)
  • Assistant 1 Graham Kane
  • Assistant 2 Hristo Karaivanov

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Stoke City FC H 0–0 D
02 Oct Sheffield United FC A 0–1 L
29 Sep Bristol City FC H 1–1 D
21 Sep Coventry City FC A 2–1 W
14 Sep Norwich City FC H 1–0 W
31 Aug West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Swansea City AFC A 0–0 D
02 Oct Portsmouth FC H 6–1 W
28 Sep Middlesbrough FC A 0–2 L
20 Sep Hull City AFC H 1–3 L
14 Sep Oxford United FC A 0–1 L
31 Aug Plymouth Argyle FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Swansea City AFC Stoke City FC
#11 Position #17
64 Points 55
46 Played 46
18 / 10 / 18 W / D / L 15 / 10 / 21
57 Scored 51
59 Conceded 56
-2 GD -5
1.39 PPG 1.20
39% Win % 33%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Swansea City AFC are 11th (64 pts). Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Swansea City AFC and Stoke City FC get this one started.
  • 5' The travelling Stoke City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' Swansea City AFC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 14' Stoke City FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 14.
  • 19' It’s high time Luke Williams made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 24' Andrew Moran needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 29' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 29 minutes.
  • 34' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 39' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Swansea City AFC that had 383 games and scored 472 goals.
  • 44' Swansea City AFC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 44.
  • 49' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 54' The Stoke City FC manager makes a substitution. Lewis Koumas departs to be replaced by Million Manhoef.
  • 59' With 0 assists to his name this season, Million Manhoef is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Stoke City FC.
  • 63' That looks like a foul for a card for Andrew Moran.
  • 64' Liam Cullen is ready to make an impact after coming on for Zan Vipotnik at the 64 minute mark.
  • 65' Another change for Stoke City FC made on 65 minute. Joon-ho Bae leaves to be changed by Andre Vidigal.
  • 70' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Stoke City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 75' Swansea City AFC currently sit 12 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 76' Florian Bianchini has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ji-sung Eom on 76 minute.
  • 81' Stoke City FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 83' Swansea City AFC ring the changes. Goncalo Franco has done his job and it is now time for Jay Fulton to step up.
  • 85' The Stoke City FC bench stirs into life. Sam Gallagher is withdrawn and Emre Tezgel gets his opportunity.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Ben Wilmot is booked for Stoke City FC — card on 90.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.11 Swansea City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.8 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Swansea City AFC or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Swansea City AFC43% Draw32% Stoke City FC25%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 1.91
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 57%
43%
± 2.5 30%
70%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Swansea City AFC or Draw
75%
Draw or Stoke City FC
57%
Swansea City AFC or Stoke City FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Swansea City AFC27% Draw56% Stoke City FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
15%
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 1
10.4%
2 – 0
8.7%
2 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
5.1%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 0
3.2%
2 – 2
3%
3 – 1
2.7%
1 – 3
1.4%

Asian Handicap — Swansea City AFC

Handicap Swansea City AFC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 12% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 24% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 16% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
45%
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.