Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Swansea City AFC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 5 Oct 2024 · 14:00 UTC Swansea.com Stadium 14,546 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Swansea City AFC vs Stoke City FC — Championship at Swansea.com Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Andy Davies (England)
  • Assistant 1 Graham Kane
  • Assistant 2 Hristo Karaivanov

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Stoke City FC H 0–0 D
02 Oct Sheffield United FC A 0–1 L
29 Sep Bristol City FC H 1–1 D
21 Sep Coventry City FC A 2–1 W
14 Sep Norwich City FC H 1–0 W
31 Aug West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Swansea City AFC A 0–0 D
02 Oct Portsmouth FC H 6–1 W
28 Sep Middlesbrough FC A 0–2 L
20 Sep Hull City AFC H 1–3 L
14 Sep Oxford United FC A 0–1 L
31 Aug Plymouth Argyle FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Swansea City AFC Stoke City FC
#1 Position #7
17 Points 13
8 Played 8
5 / 2 / 1 W / D / L 4 / 1 / 3
13 Scored 13
6 Conceded 12
+7 GD +1
2.13 PPG 1.63
63% Win % 50%

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
59% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Swansea City AFC this season
25% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

Swansea City AFC are 1st (17 pts). Stoke City FC are 7th (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Swansea City AFC
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
3/1
61-75
2/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Swansea City AFC
Adam Idah 3 G 1 A
Ji-sung Eom 2 G 2 A
Joseph Opoku 2 G
Stoke City FC
Ethan Galbraith 4 G 1 A
Eric Bocat 2 G 2 A
Sam Gallagher 2 G 1 A
Justin Devenny 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Swansea City AFC to score. At the same time, Stoke City FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Million Manhoef needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 10' The 24-year-old Zan Vipotnik has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 14' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Wouter Burger on 14 minutes.
  • 19' Swansea City AFC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Stoke City FC backline.
  • 24' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Stoke City FC that had 386 games and scored 409 goals.
  • 29' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 34' Swansea City AFC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 39' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 44' Swansea City AFC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Adam Idah scoring 1 goals.
  • 49' Over 49 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 54' Million Manhoef gets the nod from Stoke City FC. He replaces Lewis Koumas and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 59' Joon-ho Bae is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Stoke City FC tonight.
  • 63' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Andrew Moran on 63 minutes.
  • 64' Zan Vipotnik makes way for Liam Cullen at the 64 minute mark. A tactical switch from Swansea City AFC.
  • 65' A change in the Stoke City FC ranks — Joon-ho Bae exits the field as Andre Vidigal enters on 65.
  • 70' Swansea City AFC have won 480 goals from 389 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 75' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 76' Swansea City AFC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Florian Bianchini is hanging Ji-sung Eom on the field on 76 minute.
  • 81' Swansea City AFC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 83' Fresh legs for Swansea City AFC! Jay Fulton comes on to replace Goncalo Franco.
  • 85' Emre Tezgel is ready to make an impact after coming on for Sam Gallagher at the 85 minute mark.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Ben Wilmot.
  • The points are shared — Swansea City AFC 0-0 Stoke City FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.41 Swansea City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.68 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Swansea City AFC51% Draw29% Stoke City FC20%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 2.09
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Swansea City AFC or Draw
80%
Draw or Stoke City FC
49%
Swansea City AFC or Stoke City FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Swansea City AFC35% Draw52% Stoke City FC13%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
16.4%
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.7%
2 – 0
11.8%
2 – 1
8.2%
0 – 1
7.2%
3 – 0
5.5%
3 – 1
3.9%
1 – 2
3.9%
2 – 2
2.9%
0 – 2
2.7%
4 – 0
2%

Asian Handicap — Swansea City AFC

Handicap Swansea City AFC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 26% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 12% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
51% ✓
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.