Swansea City AFC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Swansea City AFC vs Stoke City FC — Championship at Swansea.com Stadium.
- Swansea City AFC 46 games · 64 pts (2026/27)
- Stoke City FC 46 games · 55 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Keith Stroud
- Assistant 1 Matthew Smith
- Assistant 2 Nigel Lugg
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr | Stoke City FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | Middlesbrough FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 01 Apr | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Mar | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Mar | Cardiff City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Mar | Bristol City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr | Swansea City AFC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 06 Apr | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Apr | Huddersfield Town AFC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Mar | Hull City AFC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | Norwich City FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 09 Mar | Preston North End FC | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Swansea City AFC | Stoke City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #17 |
| 64 | Points | 55 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 18 / 10 / 18 | W / D / L | 15 / 10 / 21 |
| 57 | Scored | 51 |
| 59 | Conceded | 56 |
| -2 | GD | -5 |
| 1.39 | PPG | 1.20 |
| 39% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Swansea City AFC are 11th (64 pts). Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Swansea City AFC is hosting Stoke City FC for another epic battle.
- 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Daniel Iversen, as he is very good at scoring at Swansea.com Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 10' Josh Key needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 15' Stoke City FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 19' GOAL! Liam Cullen fires home to make it 1-0!
- 24' The 28-year-old Mehdi Leris has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 29' Josh Laurent, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 34' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 38' That is a card for Stoke City FC. Enda Stevens will be fuming at that decision.
- 43' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Jamie Paterson.
- 46' The Stoke City FC manager makes a substitution. Joon-ho Bae departs to be replaced by Luke Cundle.
- 51' The home supporters are growing impatient. Swansea City AFC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 53' A stunning finish from Matt Grimes — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 58' Both keepers have barely been tested. Swansea City AFC and Stoke City FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 61' Million Manhoef catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 61.
- 63' The crowd applauds Niall Ennis as he leaves the pitch. Tyrese Campbell steps in for Stoke City FC.
- 67' It’s a booking for Swansea City AFC player. Liam Cullen gets a card.
- 70' Swansea City AFC make a change. Oliver Cooper trudges off to be replaced by Jamal Lowe on 70 minutes.
- 73' Josh Key doubles the advantage! 3-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 76' Fresh legs for Swansea City AFC! Liam Walsh comes on to replace Jay Fulton.
- 77' The Swansea City AFC bench stirs into life. Josh Key is withdrawn and Azeem Abdulai gets his opportunity.
- 79' Stoke City FC ring the changes. Enda Stevens has done his job and it is now time for Lewis Baker to step up.
- 83' The Swansea City AFC manager makes a substitution. Liam Cullen departs to be replaced by Charlie Patino.
- 88' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 90' A moment of madness from Jordan Thompson on 90 minutes earns him a card. Stoke City FC will be frustrated.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Swansea City AFC take all three points.
Lineups
Swansea City AFC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
12
Jamie Paterson ↓ Aimar Govea 77'
-
4
Jay Fulton ↓ Liam Walsh 76'
- 8
-
20
Liam Cullen ↓ Charlie Patino 83'
-
2
Josh Key ↓ Azeem Abdulai 77'
- 6
- 5
- 14
-
31
Oliver Cooper ↓ Jamal Lowe 70'
- 22
- 35
Bench
-
10
Jamal Lowe ↑ 70'
-
28
Liam Walsh ↑ 76'
- 1
- 9
- 19
-
47
Azeem Abdulai ↑ 77'
-
18
Charlie Patino ↑ 83'
- 33
-
37
Aimar Govea ↑ 77'
Coach
Martyn Margetson
Stoke City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
3
Enda Stevens ↓ Lewis Baker 79'
- 1
-
6
Wouter Burger ↓ Jordan Thompson 63'
- 7
- 17
-
14
Niall Ennis ↓ Tyrese Campbell 63'
- 5
- 23
-
42
Million Manhoef ↓ Mehdi Leris 63'
- 28
-
22
Joon-ho Bae ↓ Luke Cundle 46'
Bench
- 16
-
10
Tyrese Campbell ↑ 63'
-
8
Lewis Baker ↑ 79'
-
15
Jordan Thompson ↑ 63'
- 13
- 20
-
27
Mehdi Leris ↑ 63'
-
25
Luke Cundle ↑ 46'
- 24
Coach
Paul Gallagher
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Lewis Baker | 3 |
| Sam Clucas | 3 |
| Joshua Laurent | 3 |
| James McClean | 2 |
| Andre Ayew | 2 |
| Nick Powell | 2 |
| Joel Piroe | 2 |
| Wouter Burger | 1 |
Head to Head
Swansea City AFC Form
2024-04-10
Swansea City AFC
3–0
Stoke City FC
W
2024-04-06
Middlesbrough FC
2–0
Swansea City AFC
L
2024-04-01
Swansea City AFC
0–1
Queens Park Rangers FC
L
2024-03-29
Sheffield Wednesday FC
1–1
Swansea City AFC
D
2024-03-16
Swansea City AFC
2–0
Cardiff City FC
W
2024-03-10
Bristol City FC
1–0
Swansea City AFC
L
Stoke City FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.46
Swansea City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06
Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Swansea City AFC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Swansea City AFC or Draw
74%
Draw or Stoke City FC
54%
Swansea City AFC or Stoke City FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Swansea City AFC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
10.7%
0 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
4.7%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 2
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Swansea City AFC
| Handicap | Swansea City AFC covers | Push | Stoke City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 14% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 22% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 16% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

