Thursday , 2 July 2026

Swansea City AFC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Wed 10 Apr 2024 · 19:00 UTC Swansea.com Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Liam Cullen 19' 1–0
Matt Grimes pen 53' 2–0
Josh Key 73' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

Swansea City AFC vs Stoke City FCChampionship at Swansea.com Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Keith Stroud
  • Assistant 1 Matthew Smith
  • Assistant 2 Nigel Lugg

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Apr Stoke City FC H 3–0 W
06 Apr Middlesbrough FC A 0–2 L
01 Apr Queens Park Rangers FC H 0–1 L
29 Mar Sheffield Wednesday FC A 1–1 D
16 Mar Cardiff City FC H 2–0 W
10 Mar Bristol City FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Apr Swansea City AFC A 0–3 L
06 Apr West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–2 D
01 Apr Huddersfield Town AFC H 1–1 D
29 Mar Hull City AFC A 2–0 W
16 Mar Norwich City FC H 0–3 L
09 Mar Preston North End FC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Swansea City AFC Stoke City FC
#11 Position #17
64 Points 55
46 Played 46
18 / 10 / 18 W / D / L 15 / 10 / 21
57 Scored 51
59 Conceded 56
-2 GD -5
1.39 PPG 1.20
39% Win % 33%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Swansea City AFC are 11th (64 pts). Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.46 Swansea City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Swansea City AFC46% Draw28% Stoke City FC26%
Actual: Swansea City AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Swansea City AFC or Draw
74%
Draw or Stoke City FC
54%
Swansea City AFC or Stoke City FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Swansea City AFC32% Draw48% Stoke City FC20%
Actual: Swansea City AFC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
10.7%
0 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
4.7%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Swansea City AFC

Handicap Swansea City AFC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 22% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 16% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
35%
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.