Norwich City FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Norwich City FC vs Swansea City AFC — Championship at Carrow Road.
- Norwich City FC 46 games · 65 pts (2026/27)
- Swansea City AFC 46 games · 64 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Thomas Bramall
- Assistant 1 Constantine Hatzidakis
- Assistant 2 Akil Howson
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan | Swansea City AFC | H | 5–1 | W |
| 22 Jan | Leeds United FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Jan | Sheffield United FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Jan | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 04 Jan | Coventry City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Jan | Luton Town FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan | Norwich City FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 21 Jan | Sheffield United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Jan | Cardiff City FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 12 Jan | Southampton FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Jan | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Jan | Portsmouth FC | A | 0–4 | L |
Season Stats
| Norwich City FC | Swansea City AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #11 |
| 65 | Points | 64 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 19 / 8 / 19 | W / D / L | 18 / 10 / 18 |
| 63 | Scored | 57 |
| 56 | Conceded | 59 |
| +7 | GD | -2 |
| 1.41 | PPG | 1.39 |
| 41% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Norwich City FC are 9th (65 pts). Swansea City AFC are 11th (64 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Swansea City AFC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Swansea City AFC that had 383 games and scored 472 goals.
- 10' It is a cagey affair so far. Norwich City FC in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past Swansea City AFC's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Luke Williams will be considering his options from the bench.
- 20' Josh Tymon is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Norwich City FC tonight.
- 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 35' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Callum Doyle made 363 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 40' Both keepers have barely been tested. Norwich City FC and Swansea City AFC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 44' Goal! Josh Sargent scores his 65 goal in 414 matches.
- 46' Jack Stacey is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kellen Fisher at the 46 minute mark.
- 51' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 54' Poor challenge from Oscar Schwartau. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 59' Swansea City AFC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 59.
- 61' The referee has no hesitation. Emiliano Marcondes is booked for Norwich City FC — card on 61.
- 62' GOAL! Liam Cullen fires home to make it 1-1!
- 63' Magnificent from Josh Sargent! That is 65 goals in 414 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 64' Benjamin Chrisene gets the nod from Norwich City FC. He replaces Lucien Mahovo and will look to change the dynamic.
- 69' Swansea City AFC make a change. Florian Bianchini trudges off to be replaced by Zan Vipotnik on 69 minutes.
- 74' The travelling Swansea City AFC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 76' A tactical swap from Swansea City AFC — Ji-sung Eom on, Liam Cullen off on 76 minutes.
- 76' The England Lewis Dobbin breaks the deadlock on 76 minutes. 3-1!
- 77' The crowd applauds Lewis Dobbin as he leaves the pitch. Jose Cordoba steps in for Norwich City FC.
- 82' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kellen Fisher suffering a number of foals already.
- 84' Swansea City AFC ring the changes. Goncalo Franco has done his job and it is now time for Jay Fulton to step up.
- 84' GOAL! Ante Crnac fires home to make it 4-1!
- 86' Josh Ginnelly is replacing Ronald for the Swansea City AFC side.
- 87' Brilliant from the ! Emiliano Marcondes makes it 5-1 with a superb finish on 87.
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. Jay Fulton is booked for Swansea City AFC — card on 90.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Swansea City AFC.
Lineups
Norwich City FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1
- 4
-
25
Onel Hernandez ↓ Ante Crnac 46'
- 23
-
9
Josh Sargent ↓ Jacob Sorensen 64'
- 6
-
22
Lewis Dobbin ↓ Jose Cordoba 77'
- 11
-
35
Kellen Fisher ↓ Jack Stacey 46'
- 29
- 47
Bench
- 12
-
3
Jack Stacey ↑ 46'
-
19
Jacob Sorensen ↑ 64'
-
14
Benjamin Chrisene ↑ 64'
- 40
-
33
Jose Cordoba ↑ 77'
- 44
-
17
Ante Crnac ↑ 46'
- 43
Coach
Johannes Thorup
Swansea City AFC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
-
20
Liam Cullen ↓ Ji-sung Eom 76'
- 22
- 2
- 28
- 5
- 14
-
17
Goncalo Franco ↓ Jay Fulton 84'
- 19
-
25
Myles Peart-Harris ↓ Sam Parker 69'
-
35
Ronald ↓ Josh Ginnelly 86'
Bench
-
4
Jay Fulton ↑ 84'
- 26
- 33
- 23
-
11
Josh Ginnelly ↑ 86'
- 21
-
9
Zan Vipotnik ↑ 69'
-
41
Sam Parker ↑ 69'
-
10
Ji-sung Eom ↑ 76'
Coach
Luke Williams
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josh Sargent | 3 |
| Liam Cullen | 2 |
| Gabriel Sara | 2 |
| Marco Stiepermann | 2 |
| Teemu Pukki | 2 |
| Emiliano Buendia | 2 |
| Daniel James | 1 |
| Matt Grimes | 1 |
Head to Head
Norwich City FC Form
2025-01-25
Norwich City FC
5–1
Swansea City AFC
W
2025-01-22
Leeds United FC
2–0
Norwich City FC
L
2025-01-18
Sheffield United FC
2–0
Norwich City FC
L
2025-01-11
Norwich City FC
0–4
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
L
2025-01-04
Norwich City FC
2–1
Coventry City FC
W
2025-01-01
Luton Town FC
0–1
Norwich City FC
W
Swansea City AFC Form
2025-01-25
Norwich City FC
5–1
Swansea City AFC
L
2025-01-21
Swansea City AFC
1–2
Sheffield United FC
L
2025-01-18
Cardiff City FC
3–0
Swansea City AFC
L
2025-01-12
Southampton FC
3–0
Swansea City AFC
L
2025-01-04
Swansea City AFC
1–1
West Bromwich Albion FC
D
2025-01-01
Portsmouth FC
4–0
Swansea City AFC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.16
Norwich City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27
Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Norwich City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.43
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 3.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
Norwich City FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
44%
Norwich City FC or Swansea City AFC
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Norwich City FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–1 not predicted5 – 1Actual
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
6.6%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
5.8%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
5.3%
0 – 0
4.6%
3 – 2
4.2%
4 – 1
3.6%
0 – 1
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Norwich City FC
| Handicap | Norwich City FC covers | Push | Swansea City AFC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 17% | 65% |
| -1.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 21% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 12% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Norwich City FC keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

