Thursday , 2 July 2026

Norwich City FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 25 Jan 2025 · 12:30 UTC Carrow Road 25,713 HT 45' · FT 45'
Josh Sargent 44' 1–0
1–1 62' Liam Cullen
Josh Sargent 63' 2–1
Lewis Dobbin 76' 3–1
Ante Crnac 84' 4–1
Emiliano Marcondes 87' 5–1

Overview

Match Preview

Norwich City FC vs Swansea City AFCChampionship at Carrow Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Bramall
  • Assistant 1 Constantine Hatzidakis
  • Assistant 2 Akil Howson

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan Swansea City AFC H 5–1 W
22 Jan Leeds United FC A 0–2 L
18 Jan Sheffield United FC A 0–2 L
11 Jan Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 0–4 L
04 Jan Coventry City FC H 2–1 W
01 Jan Luton Town FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan Norwich City FC A 1–5 L
21 Jan Sheffield United FC H 1–2 L
18 Jan Cardiff City FC A 0–3 L
12 Jan Southampton FC A 0–3 L
04 Jan West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–1 D
01 Jan Portsmouth FC A 0–4 L

Season Stats

Norwich City FC Swansea City AFC
#9 Position #11
65 Points 64
46 Played 46
19 / 8 / 19 W / D / L 18 / 10 / 18
63 Scored 57
56 Conceded 59
+7 GD -2
1.41 PPG 1.39
41% Win % 39%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Norwich City FC are 9th (65 pts). Swansea City AFC are 11th (64 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Swansea City AFC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Swansea City AFC that had 383 games and scored 472 goals.
  • 10' It is a cagey affair so far. Norwich City FC in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past Swansea City AFC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Luke Williams will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 20' Josh Tymon is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Norwich City FC tonight.
  • 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 35' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Callum Doyle made 363 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 40' Both keepers have barely been tested. Norwich City FC and Swansea City AFC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 44' Goal! Josh Sargent scores his 65 goal in 414 matches.
  • 46' Jack Stacey is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kellen Fisher at the 46 minute mark.
  • 51' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 54' Poor challenge from Oscar Schwartau. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 59' Swansea City AFC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 59.
  • 61' The referee has no hesitation. Emiliano Marcondes is booked for Norwich City FC — card on 61.
  • 62' GOAL! Liam Cullen fires home to make it 1-1!
  • 63' Magnificent from Josh Sargent! That is 65 goals in 414 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 64' Benjamin Chrisene gets the nod from Norwich City FC. He replaces Lucien Mahovo and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 69' Swansea City AFC make a change. Florian Bianchini trudges off to be replaced by Zan Vipotnik on 69 minutes.
  • 74' The travelling Swansea City AFC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 76' A tactical swap from Swansea City AFCJi-sung Eom on, Liam Cullen off on 76 minutes.
  • 76' The England Lewis Dobbin breaks the deadlock on 76 minutes. 3-1!
  • 77' The crowd applauds Lewis Dobbin as he leaves the pitch. Jose Cordoba steps in for Norwich City FC.
  • 82' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kellen Fisher suffering a number of foals already.
  • 84' Swansea City AFC ring the changes. Goncalo Franco has done his job and it is now time for Jay Fulton to step up.
  • 84' GOAL! Ante Crnac fires home to make it 4-1!
  • 86' Josh Ginnelly is replacing Ronald for the Swansea City AFC side.
  • 87' Brilliant from the ! Emiliano Marcondes makes it 5-1 with a superb finish on 87.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Jay Fulton is booked for Swansea City AFC — card on 90.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Swansea City AFC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.16 Norwich City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27 Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Norwich City FC56% Draw23% Swansea City AFC21%
Actual: Norwich City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.43
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Norwich City FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
44%
Norwich City FC or Swansea City AFC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Norwich City FC42% Draw40% Swansea City AFC18%
Actual: Norwich City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
6.6%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
5.8%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
5.3%
0 – 0
4.6%
3 – 2
4.2%
4 – 1
3.6%
0 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Norwich City FC

Handicap Norwich City FC covers Push Swansea City AFC covers
-2.5 18% 82%
-2 18% 17% 65%
-1.5 35% 65%
-1 35% 21% 44%
-0.5 56% 44%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 12% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Norwich City FC keeps clean sheet
29%
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
12%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.