Thursday , 2 July 2026

Spezia Calcio vs AC Milan, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2022-23
2 0
Full Time
Sat 13 May 2023 · 16:00 UTC Stadio Alberto Picco HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Spezia Calcio vs AC MilanSerie A at Stadio Alberto Picco.

Match Details

  • Referee Maurizio Mariani
  • Referee Daniele Doveri
  • Referee Marco Bresmes
  • Referee Luca Pairetto
  • Referee Daniele Bindoni
  • Referee Valerio Marini
14 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 4.4 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 May AC Milan H 2–0 W
06 May US Cremonese A 0–2 L
03 May Atalanta BC A 2–3 L
28 Apr AC Monza H 0–2 L
22 Apr UC Sampdoria A 1–1 D
14 Apr SS Lazio H 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 May Spezia Calcio A 0–2 L
10 May FC Internazionale Milano H 0–2 L
06 May SS Lazio H 2–0 W
03 May US Cremonese H 1–1 D
29 Apr AS Roma A 1–1 D
23 Apr US Lecce H 2–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Spezia Calcio and AC Milan has kicked off!
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 10' AC Milan started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
  • 15' Tommaso Pobega has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 38 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 20' Spezia Calcio is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 25' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 35' AC Milan seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 38' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Kelvin Amian Adou.
  • 43' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AC Milan needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 48' Supporters expect more eagerness from Davide Calabria, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio Alberto Picco with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 52' AC Milan receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 52.
  • 57' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Alexis Saelemaekers made 390 appearances and scored 24 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 62' The travelling AC Milan supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 63' The whistle greets Mehdi Bourabia as he departs to be replaced by Szymon Zurkowski.
  • 64' Another change for Spezia Calcio made on 64 minute. Mehdi Bourabia leaves to be changed by Szymon Zurkowski.
  • 69' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Arkadiusz Reca suffering a number of foals already.
  • 71' Yacine Adli has so much to prove this time. He replaces Brahim Diaz on 71 minute.
  • 75' GOAL! Przemyslaw Wisniewski scores on 75.
  • 80' It’s high time Leonardo Semplici made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 85' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Fikayo Tomori is replaced by Davide Calabria.
  • 85' Goal! Salvatore Esposito scores his 9 goal in 236 matches.
  • 90' Spezia Calcio manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Viktor Kovalenko is hanging Emanuel Gyasi on the field on 90 minute.
  • With this win, Spezia Calcio is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.38 Spezia Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Spezia Calcio46% Draw28% AC Milan26%
Actual: Spezia Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Spezia Calcio or Draw
75%
Draw or AC Milan
54%
Spezia Calcio or AC Milan
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Spezia Calcio31% Draw50% AC Milan19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
11.8%
0 – 0
11.5%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 2
4.4%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
4%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Spezia Calcio

Handicap Spezia Calcio covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 23% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 16% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
38%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.