Sunday , 16 August 2026

Spezia Calcio vs AC Milan, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2022-23
2 0
Full Time
Sat 13 May 2023 · 16:00 UTC Stadio Alberto Picco HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Spezia Calcio vs AC MilanSerie A at Stadio Alberto Picco.

Match Details

  • Referee Maurizio Mariani
  • Referee Daniele Doveri
  • Referee Marco Bresmes
  • Referee Luca Pairetto
  • Referee Daniele Bindoni
  • Referee Valerio Marini
11 games this season 🟨 1.4/game 5.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 May AC Milan H 2–0 W
06 May US Cremonese A 0–2 L
03 May Atalanta BC A 2–3 L
28 Apr AC Monza H 0–2 L
22 Apr UC Sampdoria A 1–1 D
14 Apr SS Lazio H 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 May Spezia Calcio A 0–2 L
10 May FC Internazionale Milano H 0–2 L
06 May SS Lazio H 2–0 W
03 May US Cremonese H 1–1 D
29 Apr AS Roma A 1–1 D
23 Apr US Lecce H 2–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Spezia Calcio is hosting AC Milan for another epic battle.
  • 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Leonardo Semplici will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Theo Hernandez is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AC Milan.
  • 15' Salvatore Esposito has been relatively quiet despite scoring 9 goals in his last 236 appearances.
  • 20' Divock Origi, a Belgium , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 30' It looks like no one’s ball. AC Milan is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 35' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 38' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kelvin Amian Adou on 38.
  • 43' AC Milan are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 48' Olivier Giroud needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 52' The referee has no hesitation. Brahim Diaz is booked for AC Milan — Yellow card on 52.
  • 57' The 36-year-old Albin Ekdal has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 62' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 63' Szymon Zurkowski is replacing Mehdi Bourabia for the Spezia Calcio side.
  • 64' The supporters are chanting for Szymon Zurkowski. He replaces Mehdi Bourabia on 64 minute.
  • 69' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 71' AC Milan ring the changes. Brahim Diaz has done his job and it is now time for Yacine Adli to step up.
  • 75' GOAL! Przemyslaw Wisniewski fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 80' It looks surprising AC Milan does not make any changes. Mehdi Bourabia has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 85' The whistle greets Fikayo Tomori as he departs to be replaced by Davide Calabria.
  • 85' Salvatore Esposito does the damage! The net is bulging and Spezia Calcio surge ahead!
  • 90' The whistle greets Emanuel Gyasi as he departs to be replaced by Viktor Kovalenko.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.38 Spezia Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Spezia Calcio46% Draw28% AC Milan26%
Actual: Spezia Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Spezia Calcio or Draw
75%
Draw or AC Milan
54%
Spezia Calcio or AC Milan
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Spezia Calcio31% Draw50% AC Milan19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
11.8%
0 – 0
11.5%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 2
4.4%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
4%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Spezia Calcio

Handicap Spezia Calcio covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 23% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 16% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
38%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.